ShawniganLake Posted October 16 Report Share Posted October 16 13 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Feeling a stormy November with above normy temps. Late month crash, perhaps! But I agree on the stormy November idea. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iFred Posted October 16 Report Share Posted October 16 30 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Geeze. The hating on late October cold is just out of control on here. For some reason I just like having frost in October. It feels so amazing to walk outside on that first frosty morning. BTW it's not an either or proposition. It can get cold in October and still get cold in the winter. See 1949, 1956, 1971, 1984, etc. Just wait until you see people hate on that -1.3f departure in December or January. People just don't appreciate temps in the mid to upper 40s like we do. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 16 Report Share Posted October 16 3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Late month crash, perhaps! But I agree on the stormy November idea. 12/4/24 2 2 2 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 16 Report Share Posted October 16 32 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Geeze. The hating on late October cold is just out of control on here. For some reason I just like having frost in October. It feels so amazing to walk outside on that first frosty morning. BTW it's not an either or proposition. It can get cold in October and still get cold in the winter. See 1949, 1956, 1971, 1984, etc. I’m not saying us getting cold in October is a good or bad sign for winter. I don’t think it means anything good or bad. I’m just saying most people aren’t really going to find some frosty pumpkins and some days in the low to mid 40s around Halloween all that interesting. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 16 Author Report Share Posted October 16 14 minutes ago, Deweydog said: 12/4/24 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2024-25 Stats: Coldest high: 51F (Oct 30, 2024) Coldest low: 29F (Oct 25, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 2 (Most recent: Oct 25, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last ice storm accumulation: Jan 16, 2024 (2.25”) Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Total ice since joining TheWeatherForums: 2.25" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 16 Report Share Posted October 16 1 hour ago, RentonHill said: yesterday's euro weekly OOC Purple Amoeba season is back!!!!! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 16 Report Share Posted October 16 Let’s have a massive Thanksgiving windstorm!!! 1 1 1 2 2 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tanis Leach Posted October 16 Report Share Posted October 16 For anyone in the Portland area: Winter Weather Forecast Confrence this coming Saturday (the 19th) at 10AM at OMSI. Come see what some of us think the upcoming winter will look like. 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_convergence_zone Posted October 16 Report Share Posted October 16 Last 10 days of October. Not sure where these calls of October cold are coming from. It's likely going to be a seasonally chilly maritime airmass. Maybe some brief intrusion of continental air, but short lived. Warmer than both the 2023 and 2022 October cold snaps. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted October 16 Report Share Posted October 16 12 minutes ago, MossMan said: Let’s have a massive Thanksgiving windstorm!!! No. But Thanksgiving is a week later. You can thank FDR for that. 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2024-2025 Snowfall totals: HIghest snow total (per event): Most recent accumulation (non trace): Days with trace or more snowfall: First Freeze: 10/18/24 Last Sub freezing Day: Coldest low: 28F on 11/6/24 Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_convergence_zone Posted October 16 Report Share Posted October 16 1 hour ago, Mapletree said: Personally I'm not a fan of the warm atmospheric rivers we get. I think it's a waste of moisture. It would be better if cold fronts brought the majority of our cool season precip. A warm atmospheric river with high snow levels does nothing to help our mountain snowpack and in fact, makes things worse. We all know that rain does a good job of melting snow. The warm September/October ARs are highly beneficial for recharging groundwater / river levels and getting the salmon run going. The same storm in January is a different story. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Sunriver Snow Zone Posted October 16 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 16 Snowing at Timberline Lodge now 16 2 Quote Did somebody say SNOW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted October 16 Report Share Posted October 16 1 hour ago, TacomaWx said: I’m not saying us getting cold in October is a good or bad sign for winter. I don’t think it means anything good or bad. I’m just saying most people aren’t really going to find some frosty pumpkins and some days in the low to mid 40s around Halloween all that interesting. I read some of the reactions to say that people wish the pattern was happening later in the winter so it would produce snow. Not any specific reaction against cold in October. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 Thunderstorm! 3 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 It appears there is some heavy rain about to move in. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: It appears there is some heavy rain about to move in. Got all blustery here but seems to have missed me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 1 minute ago, T-Town said: Got all blustery here but seems to have missed me. Yeah missed to the north here it looks like as well. Bad sign for this winter… 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 Took a pic of this cell producing lightning near Monroe. 4 3 Quote 2024 Warm Season Stats Number of 80+ days - 35 Number of 85+ days - 25 Number of 90+ days - 3 Number of 95+ days - 2 (Warmest - 96) Number of 60+ lows - 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 54F degrees and heavy hail outside in Everett. Very dark clouds and the hail is coming down sideways aiming southward. 6 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunriver Snow Zone Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 2 hours ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said: Snowing at Timberline Lodge now Not bad, I'm sure by tommorow morning there will be a lot more. 3 Quote Did somebody say SNOW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iFred Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 Getting some soft hail out of this cell. The development reminds me of a weird convergence cell from a few years ago that was effectively stationary over downtown Everett. 6 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 3 hours ago, Tanis Leach said: For anyone in the Portland area: Winter Weather Forecast Confrence this coming Saturday (the 19th) at 10AM at OMSI. Come see what some of us think the upcoming winter will look like. I'll def be there! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 Going to a weather spotter refresher meeting tonight. Currently 57F. 5 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2024-2025 Snowfall totals: HIghest snow total (per event): Most recent accumulation (non trace): Days with trace or more snowfall: First Freeze: 10/18/24 Last Sub freezing Day: Coldest low: 28F on 11/6/24 Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 Hail has stopped, now rain. Just had lightning at 5:36 with thunder several seconds behind. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 Possible funnel cloud? Earlier a vigorous cell moved east-southeast of West Linn/Oregon City intensifying as it approached the Redland area. Velocities mode indicated an area of rotation with this storm moved from west to east in the vicinity of S Redland Road, S Fischers Mill Road, S Strowbridge Road, and S Springwater Road. Correlation Coefficient even suggested a small and brief area of debris may have occurred best estimated to be near the Redland Family Farm. Hopefully someone took video of this storm which did produce several lightning strikes to get an idea what structure it had or to confirm the rotation. It's kind of fun to see active weather returning to the area with this cell today and yesterday's impressive funnel cloud west of Battle Ground. 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Port Angeles Foothiller Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 Pouring. 42 degrees. 0.5” away from last year’s total rainfall. Going to crush it this year. 2 1 Quote PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220 2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 1 minute ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said: Pouring. 42 degrees. 0.5” away from last year’s total rainfall. Going to crush it this year. Getting a bit chilly up there. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 The blocking / trough next week doesn't look as impressive on the models now, but still a pretty cool period coming it appears. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2024-25 stats Total Snowfall = 0.0 Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.0 Coldest Low = 35 Lows 32 or below = 0 Highs 32 or below = 0 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Getting a bit chilly up there. Reasonably cold trough over us right now. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2024-25 stats Total Snowfall = 0.0 Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.0 Coldest Low = 35 Lows 32 or below = 0 Highs 32 or below = 0 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 7 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Possible funnel cloud? Earlier a vigorous cell moved east-southeast of West Linn/Oregon City intensifying as it approached the Redland area. Velocities mode indicated an area of rotation with this storm moved from west to east in the vicinity of S Redland Road, S Fischers Mill Road, S Strowbridge Road, and S Springwater Road. Correlation Coefficient even suggested a small and brief area of debris may have occurred best estimated to be near the Redland Family Farm. Hopefully someone took video of this storm which did produce several lightning strikes to get an idea what structure it had or to confirm the rotation. It's kind of fun to see active weather returning to the area with this cell today and yesterday's impressive funnel cloud west of Battle Ground. I was going to comment yesterday that it didn't seem like a funnel cloud kind of day at all. That is not the case today. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2024-25 stats Total Snowfall = 0.0 Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.0 Coldest Low = 35 Lows 32 or below = 0 Highs 32 or below = 0 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: The blocking / trough next week doesn't look as impressive on the models now, but still a pretty cool period coming it appears. That's a bummer. We know that could change quickly. Maybe models in 5 days will look more interesting. 00z GFS (Monday, Oct 21) in 122 hours 48 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 16 minutes ago, iFred said: Getting some soft hail out of this cell. The development reminds me of a weird convergence cell from a few years ago that was effectively stationary over downtown Everett. KOMO was right about graupel today. That is not the easiest thing to forecast a few days in advance like they did. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2024-25 stats Total Snowfall = 0.0 Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.0 Coldest Low = 35 Lows 32 or below = 0 Highs 32 or below = 0 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: That's a bummer. We know that could change quickly. Maybe models in 5 days will look more interesting. 00z GFS (Monday, Oct 21) in 122 hours 48 minutes It certainly could change again. It doesn't look terrible now, but it's not as pretty as previous days. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2024-25 stats Total Snowfall = 0.0 Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.0 Coldest Low = 35 Lows 32 or below = 0 Highs 32 or below = 0 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tanis Leach Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 Also as a tease for the forecast, I did decide to use the QBO in making forecasts and deciding analog years. Take that how you will. 5 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 Just now, snow_wizard said: It certainly could change again. It doesn't look terrible now, but it's not as pretty as previous days. That cut-off low energy needs to not eject back towards us. That would be good. 00z ECMWF in 4 hours 17 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 3 hours ago, MossMan said: Let’s have a massive Thanksgiving windstorm!!! nothing screams Thanksgiving like power outages, the fence blowing down or trees on the roof 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 1 hour ago, T-Town said: I read some of the reactions to say that people wish the pattern was happening later in the winter so it would produce snow. Not any specific reaction against cold in October. It's just the implication is always there that a cold pattern out of season is somehow wasted. Actually, given patterns have a tendency to repeat so that simply is not true. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2024-25 stats Total Snowfall = 0.0 Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.0 Coldest Low = 35 Lows 32 or below = 0 Highs 32 or below = 0 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 2 minutes ago, Tanis Leach said: Also as a tease for the forecast, I did decide to use the QBO in making forecasts and deciding analog years. Take that how you will. +QBO in combination with a Nina is about as good as it gets for us. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2024-25 stats Total Snowfall = 0.0 Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.0 Coldest Low = 35 Lows 32 or below = 0 Highs 32 or below = 0 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said: nothing screams Thanksgiving like power outages, the fence blowing down or trees on the roof Seems like were on a roll for that back in the later part of the 20th century. Either wind, snow, ice, bitter cold, or something. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2024-25 stats Total Snowfall = 0.0 Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.0 Coldest Low = 35 Lows 32 or below = 0 Highs 32 or below = 0 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted October 17 Report Share Posted October 17 Pounding pea sized hail here in South Everett. Don't see that light pink color on the radar here very often! PXL_20241017_005600134.mp4 7 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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