November 2024 PNW Weather Discussion

[snow drift]

35 minutes ago, Phil said:

I think 1993/94 is likely to be a closer match than 1992/93, though not sure I’d weight either of them heavily in analog pools (for different reasons, respectively).

This is  reminding me of 1993-94, but without the Arctic outbreak of November 1993.

[Slushy Inch]

EPS looking better. Solid retrogression signal.

[Slushy Inch]

Nice to have the eps!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Ya gotta laugh.

[bainbridgekid]

30 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Warm drizzle below 8'k is a pretty horrendous weather condition during the winter. I'd rather it just be cloudy and warm.

Whistler forecast calling for rain and a 9,500 foot snow level late next week. Not out of the question Camp Muir at 10,000 feet sees raindrops. That's pretty absurd for December.

[DeepFriedEgg]

5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Ya gotta laugh.

An unmitigated disaster. Hopefully Mother Nature repays us in a big way, but the luck we’ve had as of late may have run out.

[bainbridgekid]

9 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Ya gotta laugh.

I would have guessed that image was from September if it didn't have a December date at the top. 

[DeepFriedEgg]

We’re going tropical before we go arctic

[Deweydog]

36.7!

[snow_wizard]

I like the run to run change on the EPS.

 

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

36.7!

I noticed there is already some east wind kicking in down there.  Should just get colder from here.

[snow_wizard]

12 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Whistler forecast calling for rain and a 9,500 foot snow level late next week. Not out of the question Camp Muir at 10,000 feet sees raindrops. That's pretty absurd for December.

But...that happening with a weak Nina is a pretty good argument for a big flip at some point.  We've seen this before and it usually ends well in this ENSO state.

[Meatyorologist]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I like the run to run change on the EPS.

 

Good signs!

[Skagit Weather]

12 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Whistler forecast calling for rain and a 9,500 foot snow level late next week. Not out of the question Camp Muir at 10,000 feet sees raindrops. That's pretty absurd for December.

Fortunately it doesn't look like there should be too much precip with freezing levels that high. An inch or two of rain with high snow levels is not going to do much damage (what the Euro shows) and while the GFS shows a bit more warm rain, it also buries the peaks in snow later in the run. I'd be more worried if it looked like an atmospheric river with those snow levels.

[Skagit Weather]

Managed to squeak out a freeze this morning for a low of 31.6F. Second latest freeze on record here behind only 2016. At least we managed to get one in November.

[Deweydog]

13 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I noticed there is already some east wind kicking in down there.  Should just get colder from here.

I think the temperature will go up when the sun comes up.

[snow_wizard]

A lot of high cloud debris drifting through tonight.  I'm glad it dropped so much while it was clear.  Currently 31.5

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

19 degrees currently, 40/8 day and 34/17 yesterday. Hoping all can get a white Christmas this year, I think there's a good shot at it.

 

[Cold Snap]

6 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

19 degrees currently, 40/8 day and 34/17 yesterday. Hoping all can get a white Christmas this year, I think there's a good shot at it.

 

Love the temp spreads of your climate. You can pull off some insane spreads.

[Cold Snap]

Down to 32 here so far. No fog up here yet.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

Canadian ensembles say we will have this ridge parked over us until the end of time.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

(removed, double post)

Edited November 30 by Brian_in_Leavenworth

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS returns us to a much more active pattern in the long range. 

Currently 29 with dense fog. An astonishing 31/27 day yesterday. Really solid for November. 

Pro tip: If you are concerned about how long your mother in law left the food out on Thanksgiving, do not consume massive amounts of leftovers the following day.

 

[Groundhog]

8 hours ago, Wetsnowlover said:

Eh... no thanks.

But then again, I root for 80 and 90-burgers in summer which is definitely unpopular on this forum.

There are some of us here that revel in those hot, sunny days. I enjoy the full range of weather in its time. 

[Gradient Keeper]

I went to bed early, and I see the Night Shift 6z GFS/GEFS was improved. "La Nina strikes back" is what I'd call this movie. The ensembles were a step closer to being pretty good.

GIF: Day 8-16 500mb Height Anomaly GFS/GEFS, GFS 16 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Lock it in!

[Tyler Mode]

A little more clearing down here, still 35 at my place, but 20's pretty close.

[T-Town]

Freezing temps away from the water up here. Except in Auburn where it’s still June 2021. 

[Ken in Wood Village]

I found this picture from a group I follow on Facebook. This is from Springville, NY

[KeyPeninsula_Wx]

31 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Freezing temps away from the water up here. Except in Auburn where it’s still June 2021. 

Yeah, I thought we might get atleast one freezing low with this inversion but have just managed mid 30s. Wouldn’t be surprised if we have to wait until our first actual snowfall at this point lol. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Skies cleared overnight and we were able to hit the mid-20s.

[BLI snowman]

11 hours ago, Snownerd3000 said:

My kids chose Gremlins for movie night tonight. Been probably 20+ yrs since I last saw it. Phoebe Cates nearly ruined christmas for my kids as she relived how her dad died dressed as Santa. 

 

 Also, that movie was rated PG. How in the hell is that the rating? The 80s let so many movies get away with a PG rating. 

Funny enough, Gremlins and Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom were actually the reasons for the PG-13 rating. The first PG-13 movie was Red Dawn and came out two months later. 

[FroYoBro]

First freeze is going to need to wait until December here. 37 this morning. 

[awright-31]

38 here this morning, and that is our overnight low.

Such a weird setup with places north and south of us in the low-mid 30s. Usually we are colder.

Not sure if I'm team "active weather with moderate temps" or team "death ridge with fake cold". Leaning towards active weather.

[Ken in Wood Village]

I got down to 33.4° at 7am and I'm now at 34.5°

[BLI snowman]

10 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

First freeze is going to need to wait until December here. 37 this morning. 

Not a slam dunk that PDX sees one with this these next few days. 

Freezeless winter still on the table there. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Seems pretty clear this whole ridge complex starts breaking down by the end of the coming work week.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Temperature held steady at 40˚F overnight IMBY.

[Snownerd3000]

23 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Funny enough, Gremlins and Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom were actually the reasons for the PG-13 rating. The first PG-13 movie was Red Dawn and came out two months later. 

Dude I love trivia like this. I also showed my son Temple of Doom earlier this year and the face melting scene was so over the top. 

[T-Town]

19 minutes ago, awright-31 said:

38 here this morning, and that is our overnight low.

Such a weird setup with places north and south of us in the low-mid 30s. Usually we are colder.

Not sure if I'm team "active weather with moderate temps" or team "death ridge with fake cold". Leaning towards active weather.

We’ve had a fair amount of sun here, which is always welcome this time of year. But from a weather enthusiast perspective it’s been pretty boring.