June in the Parched PNW - 2025 Edition

[Phil]

44 minutes ago, iFred said:

Wow thats way worse than anything seen in Seattle a couple years ago. Are you guys getting ash fall now too?

No it’s not.

I have a live streaming weather cam with archived video in my signature if you wish to validate my observations.  

[StormchaserChuck1]

0z GFS for June 8th

[StormchaserChuck1]

9th is warm too

[BLI snowman]

2 hours ago, Phil said:

Dry but not extraordinarily so.

18th driest out of 85 at OLM and 19th driest out of 133 at SLE. Maybe not "extraordinary" but significant. 

That makes 7 out of the last 11 that have been very, very dry for big chunks of the region. 2015, 2016, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2023, and 2025. Definitely yet another month that has lost its way.

[DareDuck]

Fun day skiing at Crater Lake today. Dropped down close to freezing this morning and only reached the low 50s so the snow stayed in nice shape on the northern exposure. 

[StormchaserChuck1]

2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

18th driest out of 85 at OLM and 19th driest out of 133 at SLE. Maybe not "extraordinary" but significant. 

That makes 7 out of the last 11 that have been very, very dry for big chunks of the region. 2015, 2016, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2023, and 2025. Definitely yet another month that has lost its way.

Looks like a drier tendency carries into June

[KeyPeninsula_Wx]

Any word about tonight from our forum Aurora borealis wizards? 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

16 minutes ago, KeyPeninsula_Wx said:

Any word about tonight from our forum Aurora borealis wizards? 

Numbers are decent, but not nearly as good as last night. I'll look at dark, but unless numbers get a lot better I wont go all night again. 

[Number1AIFSfan]

2 hours ago, iFred said:

Wow thats way worse than anything seen in Seattle a couple years ago. Are you guys getting ash fall now too?

Careful, you're acting pretty sociopathic here

[Number1AIFSfan]

Seeing some pics on the Elon website of the aurora being out already further east. Despite the slightly worse numbers tonight, we might have a shot here shortly

[Chewbacca Defense]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

67.   Pretty chilly but kids got in.

How did you measure it.  How deep did you take the measurement?  How deep was the water where you measured it?  Would @Phil approve of the measurement methods/depths? 

[The Harbor]

Can anyone point me to where I can get daily rainfall amounts for the Tacoma Narrows Airport in 2022? Thank you!

[Meatyorologist]

Tim went a little further east than he anticipated!

[Meatyorologist]

1 hour ago, The Harbor said:

Can anyone point me to where I can get daily rainfall amounts for the Tacoma Narrows Airport in 2022? Thank you!

This is a PDF link that I generated using amACIS2. It's a plot of daily average temperatures, daily precipitation, snowfall, and snow depth.

https://xmacis.rcc-acis.org/?fbclid=IwAR3VHcn6uDSOVR-MFtIwnJzfhFQj392kDJlsNIOjbdKnahjd8OqtNN3olQw

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

A decent show the last hour

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

[DeepFriedEgg]

2 hours ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Winter 25-26 is over before it started.

[TT-SEA]

Smoke models don't really show it but there is definitely some high level smoke from Canada that has wrapped around to the west and now coming down into WA.

 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

3 hours ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

Winter 25-26 is over before it started.

I have seen decent aurora shows every year I have lived here. We have had some decent winters most years. 

[Phil]

10 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

I have seen decent aurora shows every year I have lived here. We have had some decent winters most years. 

We haven’t had G4/G5 class geomagnetic storms every year you’ve lived there.

Of course solar/winter connections are state dependent, what hurts in one year may help in another year, the winter cancel one-liners are in-jest on my part.

The effects of solar storming probably did hurt the PNW last winter via augmented +TNH. But that isn’t always the pattern response.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

5 minutes ago, Phil said:

We haven’t had G4/G5 class geomagnetic storms every year you’ve lived there.

G4 a few years and at least 1 G3 every year. I'm not convinced it has a huge impact on winter. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Next weekend will be our first brutal heat of the year. 80s are a lock region wide Friday thru Sunday. 90s in a lot of places. Maybe upper 90s? 

[KeyPeninsula_Wx]

26 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

G4 a few years and at least 1 G3 every year. I'm not convinced it has a huge impact on winter. 

I don’t really buy the solar implications either…but I’m also not a scientist. From our microscope view of weather in the PNW…last winter still had some decent snow and extended cold all despite major solar activity. 

[DeepFriedEgg]

57 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

I have seen decent aurora shows every year I have lived here. We have had some decent winters most years. 

I was mostly trolling since it was a big discussion point last winter.

[ClarkCountyChill]

37 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Next weekend will be our first brutal heat of the year. 80s are a lock region wide Friday thru Sunday. 90s in a lot of places. Maybe upper 90s? 

Keep these posts coming. Worked pretty well last time.

[Front Ranger]

All models continue to point to a 2-3 day heat event, with gradual cooling following. 85-90 for SEA, 90-95 for PDX still looks good.

Fairly robust signal for GOA ridge and lower heights/cooler weather in PNW days 10-14.

[DeepFriedEgg]

2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

All models continue to point to a 2-3 day heat event, with gradual cooling following. 85-90 for SEA, 90-95 for PDX still looks good.

Fairly robust signal for GOA ridge and lower heights/cooler weather in PNW days 10-14.

2 days at 90+ isn’t a heatwave for PDX. Still a good chance the first heatwave of the year waits until the very end of June or July

[Front Ranger]

8 minutes ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

2 days at 90+ isn’t a heatwave for PDX. Still a good chance the first heatwave of the year waits until the very end of June or July

You'll notice I used the term "heat event".

[MossMan]

Not too shabby! 

[DeepFriedEgg]

41 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

You'll notice I used the term "heat event".

Yes I agree with you.

[ShawniganLake]

Doesn’t look like 80-90s will be locked in for the rest of summer.  Things will likely cool to near seasonable by mid month.  Warm ups and cool downs.  

[iFred]

2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Doesn’t look like 80-90s will be locked in for the rest of summer.  Things will likely cool to near seasonable by mid month.  Warm ups and cool downs.  

Still pretty nice - just wondering how the mountains will fare in our typical seasonal dry spell.

 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

1 hour ago, ClarkCountyChill said:

Keep these posts coming. Worked pretty well last time.

Going to be hard to jinx this agreement. And last time we did have heat and 90s in the area. 

[BLI snowman]

6 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Doesn’t look like 80-90s will be locked in for the rest of summer.  Things will likely cool to near seasonable by mid month.  Warm ups and cool downs.  

You're right, GFS and CMC say screw the 90s and vaults us straight into the 100s. 

Deadly, dangerous, and damaging record heat is looking likely for the Portland area for at least several days. Going to be wilting plants, dehydration hospitalizations, fires, and a number of drownings. Hyperthermia in several cases as well. 

[ClarkCountyChill]

Just now, BLI snowman said:

You're right, GFS and CMC say screw the 90s and vaults us straight into the 100s. 

Deadly, dangerous, and damaging record heat is looking likely for the Portland area for at least several days. Going to be wilting plants, dehydration hospitalizations, fires, and a number of drownings. Hyperthermia in several cases as well. 

LightlyChilledEgg?

[ClarkCountyChill]

13 minutes ago, iFred said:

Still pretty nice - just wondering how the mountains will fare in our typical seasonal dry spell.

Of course, the dry season has started much earlier than what is typical. And that’s coming off a much drier than normal winter, especially for the Olympics and North Cascades.

[BLI snowman]

16 minutes ago, ClarkCountyChill said:

LightlyChilledEgg?

If it rains this month at all it will be absolutely historic. 

[LowerGarfield]

NWS is hiring. Not full staffing but really needed.

https://www.wlwt.com/article/nws-hiring-meteorologists-staffing/64945909

[Chewbacca Defense]

2 hours ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

2 days at 90+ isn’t a heatwave for PDX. Still a good chance the first heatwave of the year waits until the very end of June or July

So, you're saying it's more like heat nod or a heat tip of the hat?

[TT-SEA]

3 hours ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Next weekend will be our first brutal heat of the year. 80s are a lock region wide Friday thru Sunday. 90s in a lot of places. Maybe upper 90s? 

I think you are just trolling here.   Brutal heat wave?   You probably won't touch 80 at your house.