June in the Parched PNW - 2025 Edition

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

I think you are just trolling here.   Brutal heat wave?   You probably won't touch 80 at your house.   

I'm talking about the region. Areas that hit 90 with no AC will be brutal. Especially for elderly people. 

[the_convergence_zone]

Hard to complain about this run. One truly warm day out of the first 16 in June. A little above climo but nothing remarkable. Some precip toward the end of next week perhaps. 

 

[TT-SEA]

13 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

I'm talking about the region. Areas that hit 90 with no AC will be brutal. Especially for elderly people. 

Area that hit 90 with this should be accustomed to summer warmth. 

[Deweydog]

Death toll forecast contest?

[BLI snowman]

11 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Hard to complain about this run. One truly warm day out of the first 16 in June. A little above climo but nothing remarkable. Some precip toward the end of next week perhaps. 

 

SEA not having a single high below 67 through the first 16+ days of June would, in fact, be pretty remarkable. Even 2015 couldn't pull that off.

[ShawniganLake]

18 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

SEA not having a single high below 67 through the first 16+ days of June would, in fact, be pretty remarkable. Even 2015 couldn't pull that off.

What about 2008?   

[T-Town]

47 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

So, you're saying it's more like heat nod or a heat tip of the hat?

Oh boy…

[Front Ranger]

40 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Hard to complain about this run. One truly warm day out of the first 16 in June. A little above climo but nothing remarkable. Some precip toward the end of next week perhaps. 

 

Brutally historic.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

41 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Area that hit 90 with this should be accustomed to summer warmth. 

Few people are accustomed to 90s in the PNW. That why we live here and not the south. That why most don't have AC. The days in the 90s are notable. Brutal is just an adjective that has subjective meaning to different people. Yall love to get hung up on specific words. 

[BLI snowman]

24 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

What about 2008?   

I checked just for kicks and it turns out that 2013 is the only other year to feature zero <67F highs at SEA in June through 6/16.

Of course late May was completely different that year and had brought some cool temps/rainfall benchmarks that we no longer appear to be capable of reaching at this point. It also managed a 60F day at SEA on 6/17, which obviously won't happen this year either. 

Hopefully the firefighters in MB/SK see some relief at least with the coming pattern, though it'll undoubtedly come at our expense as our region withers and shrivels.....

[Phishy Wx]

we need about 1000 more of these

 

 

 

[Phishy Wx]

34 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Oh boy…

Just the tip..

[Phishy Wx]

59 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Death toll forecast contest?

6

[NorthBend RainEnthusiast]

53 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

I checked just for kicks and it turns out that 2013 is the only other year to feature zero <67F highs at SEA in June through 6/16.

Of course late May was completely different that year and had brought some cool temps/rainfall benchmarks that we no longer appear to be capable of reaching at this point. It also managed a 60F day at SEA on 6/17, which obviously won't happen this year either. 

Hopefully the firefighters in MB/SK see some relief at least with the coming pattern, though it'll undoubtedly come at our expense as our region withers and shrivels.....

Let's wait and see where we are at by the end of June. 86°F at SEA is not great in early June, but IF we can get some decent precip the back half of the month, the brief warm+dry stretch is fine (big IF). 

When searching June temps records at SEA, it's inevitable that a bunch of articles pop-up about June 2021. It still blows my mind that it beat the previous June heat record by 10 degrees. I was out near Crescent Beach/Salt Creek on the Olympic Peninsula at the time, the tide was so freakin low during peak heating. What a disaster.

[Front Ranger]

Jim would be on high alert if this was December.

[ClarkCountyChill]

3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Jim would be on high alert if this was December.

True. He’d be jinxing it just as hard as you are right now.

[ClarkCountyChill]

Did a lovely Wednesday hike to Burnt Lake on the SW side of Mount Hood, last week. Was very surprised at the lack of snow in the lake basin for the end of May. Temps were in the low 70s at the lake (elev. 4,100’)

[the_convergence_zone]

2 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

SEA not having a single high below 67 through the first 16+ days of June would, in fact, be pretty remarkable. Even 2015 couldn't pull that off.

There will be a sub-67 day in there most likely, just getting averaged out because the ensemble mean doesn’t have the timing of any weather systems. 
 

To me it looks like a slightly warmer version of 2014. 

[Front Ranger]

24 minutes ago, ClarkCountyChill said:

True. He’d be jinxing it just as hard as you are right now.

You have my deepest apologies for posting model data, in this topic of all places.

[Front Ranger]

5 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

There will be a sub-67 day in there most likely, just getting averaged out because the ensemble mean doesn’t have the timing of any weather systems. 
 

To me it looks like a slightly warmer version of 2014. 

Also, it's 6/2.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

33 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Jim would be on high alert if this was December.

Models have been pretty consistent with this idea. Would be nice if it has a lot of rain.

[Chewbacca Defense]

2 hours ago, T-Town said:

Oh boy…

Yeah sorry, you may or may not have saw the accident up here in Whatcom county with the bees...anyway a group of guys I work with get together and hang out every few months, and Friday night was the night.  One of the guys is actually a bee keeper, and the puns/dad jokes were flying fast and furious that day/night.  I haven't been able to stop LOL!

[T-Town]

7 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Yeah sorry, you may or may not have saw the accident up here in Whatcom county with the bees...anyway a group of guys I work with get together and hang out every few months, and Friday night was the night.  One of the guys is actually a bee keeper, and the puns/dad jokes were flying fast and furious that day/night.  I haven't been able to stop LOL!

I appreciate a good Dad joke and was simply recognizing it. 

[Meatyorologist]

15 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Models have been pretty consistent with this idea. Would be nice if it has a lot of rain.

I've seen some GFS runs with a glacial slow wavebreak and a slowly pivoting/strengthening trough rotating in moisture from the south. That would be nice. Though it is the long range GFS

[Meatyorologist]

I hate the look of this upcoming heatwave. Any weather above 85F that isn't productive toward thunderstorm development is excessive IMO.

Probably going to be a week long event. 3-5 highs above 85F,  1-3 above 90F. The grass is already starting to parch in exposed areas so this will hammer in the summer transition. Not seeing any momentum on the ensembles to trend this ridge weaker or further offshore - in fact the contrary.

Hopefully there is a good crash after the fact in mid June. But I've already given up on green lawns again until Fall.... Barring some freak jet extention/wet spell to finish June, the dry season is here.

[ClarkCountyChill]

30 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Models have been pretty consistent with this idea. Would be nice if it has a lot of rain.

A week or more ago they were showing us in a decent wet pattern right now, so…

[Front Ranger]

11 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I hate the look of this upcoming heatwave. Any weather above 85F that isn't productive toward thunderstorm development is excessive IMO.

Probably going to be a week long event. 3-5 highs above 85F,  1-3 above 90F. The grass is already starting to parch in exposed areas so this will hammer in the summer transition. Not seeing any momentum on the ensembles to trend this ridge weaker or further offshore - in fact the contrary.

Hopefully there is a good crash after the fact in mid June. But I've already given up on green lawns again until Fall.... Barring some freak jet extention/wet spell to finish June, the dry season is here.

That's a pretty aggressive call for Seattle at this point. The Euro sure didn't show anything like that. Though I could see 2 days above 85 and one hitting 90 at SEA. No real model support for three 90+ days there, but you never know.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

4 minutes ago, ClarkCountyChill said:

A week or more ago they were showing us in a decent wet pattern right now, so…

Yeah, not locked in for sure. But holding out a little hope. A week of rain would be a blessing. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Just now, Front Ranger said:

That's a pretty aggressive call for Seattle at this point. The Euro sure didn't show anything like that. Though I could see 2 days above 85 and one hitting 90 at SEA. No real model support for three 90+ days there, but you never know.

This is probably accurate. Foothills (like NB) might see 3 days in the 90s.

[ClarkCountyChill]

The trend toward a longer lasting “peak” for the upcoming heat event on the last couple GFS runs is pretty barfulous. But par for the course for modern heat waves.

The latest Euro was a little more dynamic with a quick crash, but I’m sure it will correct itself soon.

[BLI snowman]

1 hour ago, the_convergence_zone said:

There will be a sub-67 day in there most likely, just getting averaged out because the ensemble mean doesn’t have the timing of any weather systems. 
 

To me it looks like a slightly warmer version of 2014. 

Looks like sustained +5 to +10 type warmth as far as the eye can see. That's pretty exceptional. 

[Phishy Wx]

Ok so its now June this is usually when I try to figure out what our winter Anal logs may be for this upcoming winter and how much snow we might get.

[Positive PNA Enjoyoor]

Next weekend looks *incredible*.  Can't wait.  Have to enjoy it now, because if we keep having amazing wx like this, we're going to be a smoky inferno in four weeks lol.  At that point, I'll have no choice but to change my name to Negative PNA Enjoyoor.

[ClarkCountyChill]

12 minutes ago, Positive PNA enjoyoor said:

Next weekend looks *incredible*.  Can't wait.  Have to enjoy it now, because if we keep having amazing wx like this, we're going to be a smoky inferno in four weeks lol.  At that point, I'll have no choice but to change my name to Negative PNA Enjoyoor.

A little bit of balance would be nice. Or maybe moving to a spot where you don’t need all-time record highs to wear a t-shirt outside.

[Positive PNA Enjoyoor]

31 minutes ago, ClarkCountyChill said:

A little bit of balance would be nice. Or maybe moving to a spot where you don’t need all-time record highs to wear a t-shirt outside.

No need.  After another 20-30 years of AGW, I'll be able to plant windmill palms at Old Faithful.  I'm a global warming pioneer.

[Deweydog]

Had some memories pop up today from late in the construction of the old hacienda in 2010. Things were MOIST.

[T-Town]

1 hour ago, Phishy Wx said:

Ok so its now June this is usually when I try to figure out what our winter Anal logs may be for this upcoming winter and how much snow we might get.

Now that you’re warm and dry it’s time to figure out how cold and wet you’ll be in six months. Makes sense. 

[Phil]

4 hours ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Few people are accustomed to 90s in the PNW. That why we live here and not the south. That why most don't have AC. The days in the 90s are notable. Brutal is just an adjective that has subjective meaning to different people. Yall love to get hung up on specific words. 

There is also a huge difference between a 90° day in the PNW and a 90° day in the south. They’re not comparable at all.

[Phil]

2 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

Jim would be on high alert if this was December.

That’s a horrible pattern.

Need some 1960s magic.

[Phil]

4 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

I checked just for kicks and it turns out that 2013 is the only other year to feature zero <67F highs at SEA in June through 6/16.

Of course late May was completely different that year and had brought some cool temps/rainfall benchmarks that we no longer appear to be capable of reaching at this point. It also managed a 60F day at SEA on 6/17, which obviously won't happen this year either. 

Hopefully the firefighters in MB/SK see some relief at least with the coming pattern, though it'll undoubtedly come at our expense as our region withers and shrivels.....

There’s no reason to believe SEA won’t see a sub-67°F high before 6/16.