July 2025 PNW Weather

[KeyPeninsula_Wx]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

This is the type of fire that will burn off and on until October or November.

Bear Gulch and Hamma Fire: Update July 30: Significant Increase in Bear Gulch Fire Activity  - ThurstonTalk

Fire Behavior: The Bear Gulch Fire is expected to be more active today with warmer and drier conditions. Due to the fire’s spread into steep, rugged terrain, the heavy fuels it’s burning in, and extremely dry conditions, the fire will continue to burn into the Daniel J. Evans and Mount Skokomish Wilderness areas until it is extinguished by repeated rain and snow in the fall. It is expected to vary in intensity, spread and duration with fire activity, fuels, and weather.  

Really hope that rain pans out. The models have actually showed a decently wet mid summer pattern next week…but it’s far out so it wouldn’t surprise me if climo won out. It has been awfully dry for awhile feels like we’re due for some rain. 

[Phishy Wx]

had a nice thunderstorm. about .25"

[Phishy Wx]

also discovered I have a couple clogged gutters, so need to schedule a cleaning

[alex canadian]

definitely feels cooler than normal here just hasn't been any significant warm ups, it's only hit 80 a few times and hasn't hit 30/86 at all up on the sunshine coast at least 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

1 hour ago, Phishy Wx said:

had a nice thunderstorm. about .25"

Wow. That’s more than my last 2 months of rain

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

This is the type of fire that will burn off and on until October or November.

Bear Gulch and Hamma Fire: Update July 30: Significant Increase in Bear Gulch Fire Activity  - ThurstonTalk

Fire Behavior: The Bear Gulch Fire is expected to be more active today with warmer and drier conditions. Due to the fire’s spread into steep, rugged terrain, the heavy fuels it’s burning in, and extremely dry conditions, the fire will continue to burn into the Daniel J. Evans and Mount Skokomish Wilderness areas until it is extinguished by repeated rain and snow in the fall. It is expected to vary in intensity, spread and duration with fire activity, fuels, and weather.  

Yeah, I am aware.

[Phishy Wx]

1 minute ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Wow. That’s more than my last 2 months of rain

nice surprise and rare for this time of year.  another chance tomorrow and friday

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

13 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

nice surprise and rare for this time of year.  another chance tomorrow and friday

Uber jelly.

[DareDuck]

Got skunked on storms but we did get a beautiful sunset tonight. 

[TT-SEA]

The 00Z GEM drenches most of Vancouver Island and SW BC next week.

[TT-SEA]

GFS is not that different... same general theme.

[MossMan]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

The 00Z GEM drenches most of Vancouver Island and SW BC next week.

Please trend south a little! 

[AuburnWx]

July is gonna end up less than a degree above normal at SEA. Temps-wise, not a bad June and July this summer... couple of hot days but not too bad. July's a bit too dry but that's not surprising. Hoping August follows suits. We also is now at peak dryness for the summer. 

[ShawniganLake]

2 hours ago, alex canadian said:

definitely feels cooler than normal here just hasn't been any significant warm ups, it's only hit 80 a few times and hasn't hit 30/86 at all up on the sunshine coast at least 

Toasty over here on the island the past couple days.  86 yesterday and 88 today. 

[Positive PNA Enjoyoor]

WYS is currently at 82.4 for the average high temp this month and 37.3 for the average low.  +0.4 departure overall.  What a spectacular month.

[StormchaserChuck1]

This one is pretty hot, yeah?

Ensembles aren't nearly as extreme. They actually cooled a bit vs 18z.

[Eugene-5SW]

Can't recall ever seeing a 37º spread between operational models, even at 288 hours out.

[NWbyNW]

Besides the lack of rain, the forecast looks quite comfortable for Everett/North Sound.  Sure would be nice to get some rain though.

 

[Meatyorologist]

Looks like an increasing chance of rain this afternoon as the activity currently over central OR propagates NW at a similar intensity.

[Meatyorologist]

Same deal Friday? Idk. The upper levels are a mess right now. Gonna be a nowcast situation w/r to precip through the weekend

[TT-SEA]

2 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

Same deal Friday? Idk. The upper levels are a mess right now. Gonna be a nowcast situation w/r to precip through the weekend

Ehhh... 

[T-Town]

The sky at least looks interesting this morning. 

[ClarkCountyChill]

14 hours ago, Tyler Mode said:

Yesterday at Swan Lake and on the way back.  It was producing a lot of lightning but also very heavy rain.

Not sure if this is just trolling, but I do not know of a Swan Lake in Mount Rainier National park, or anywhere near it.

[Front Ranger]

23 minutes ago, ClarkCountyChill said:

Not sure if this is just trolling, but I do not know of a Swan Lake in Mount Rainier National park, or anywhere near it.

Looks like it's near Snoqualmie Pass.

[KeyPeninsula_Wx]

Counted about 15 raindrops on my car this morning, but atleast the low level smoke has cleared out at home. 

[KeyPeninsula_Wx]

06z Gfs hits western Washington with a potent rainstorm towards the end of next week. It’s looking increasingly likely there will be some decent rain in the region…just a matter of if it’ll push down into WA/OR or stay confined to BC. Climo would be it staying mostly dry south of whatcom county. 

[MossMan]

Little bubbly out earlier this morning when I was on my early morning walk that was only kind of early now since it’s getting darker and darker each morning. 
 

Better get my blower into the repair shop soon since it’s having issues I cannot resolve…Fall is coming. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Japan getting some TTT.

https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2025/07/30/japan/hyogo-highest-temperature/

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 hour ago, KeyPeninsula_Wx said:

06z Gfs hits western Washington with a potent rainstorm towards the end of next week. It’s looking increasingly likely there will be some decent rain in the region…just a matter of if it’ll push down into WA/OR or stay confined to BC. Climo would be it staying mostly dry south of whatcom county. 

Still  but I could use another good drenching.

Yes, I scored earlier this month but you wouldn’t know it by now because it all baked dry long ago.

[Chewbacca Defense]

Getting some lightning just across the border in Abbotsford.

 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Max of 85.3˚F here yesterday. Summer remains 90  free here.

No showers or thunderstorms in my immediate vicinity this morning.

[MossMan]

12 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Getting some lightning just across the border in Abbotsford.

 

Probably going to be some fires starting up today. 

[Front Ranger]

Big improvement on both 12z GFS and CMC this am, within 6 days. Both show a widespread .2-.6" for much of western WA next Wednesday.

 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

6 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Big improvement on both 12z GFS and CMC this am, within 6 days. Both show a widespread .3-.6" for much of western WA next Wednesday.

 

Please actually happen.

[Omegaraptor]

16 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Definitely would travel... maybe Chelan.   Maybe spend a month in Minnesota.  That July seems like it was truly depressing.  I have never been in Pasco except on the freeway.  

But one rainy summer month is not the end of the world.  Certainly wouldn't make me move to Pasco.  There are much, much nicer warm places out there!

My brother lives in San Francisco in the city, he says the weather this July has felt like Portland in February and was glad to spend most of the month in much nicer Bend and Seattle. Lol

[ClarkCountyChill]

19 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

My brother lives in San Francisco in the city, he says the weather this July has felt like Portland in February and was glad to spend most of the month in much nicer Bend and Seattle. Lol

So weird. I’d picture a member of your family really rolling with the punches with any climate they happened to live in. 

[Phishy Wx]

considering we got a Thunderstorm and downpours yesterday with nothing in the forecast I'm hoping for something today too

cheers

 

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF shows a decent rain event later next week... good slug of moisture coming through. 

 

[Front Ranger]

19 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF shows a decent rain event later next week... good slug of moisture coming through. 

 

The big 3 all agree then, though the Euro is a bit slower.

All models now also agree on a quick warmup and some form of ridging following the rain event.

[DareDuck]

12 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

considering we got a Thunderstorm and downpours yesterday with nothing in the forecast I'm hoping for something today too

cheers

 

Monday was supposed to be the lowest chance of storms this week here and could end up being the only day with a storm. Yesterday and today looked great earlier in the week, but it wasn’t as widespread as modeled.