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Posted
9 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Looks like combo of high clouds and smoke aloft today South Sound. Sun is filtered. 

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Sad Panda 

just got home to this wonderful weather :(

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Posted
7 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

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A warm up does look likely in the long range. The operational Euro is on the warmest side of the ensemble spread, depicting a climatologically significant heatwave mid month. The ensemble mean is yanked down from those lofty heights however by a persistent cool cluster suppressing the ridge activity to the south and extending the weak zonal flow regime we are currently entering right now. There has been a real trend all warm season to water down long range ridges, without completely denying them, so while I do suspect an August warm spell is upon us, a solution more akin to the ensemble mean with perhaps a one or two day heat spike seems appropriate; rather than the days-on-end run of 90s/100s as the operational indicates.

Concerning rain and snow, the QPF waffling from run to run regarding the late week front reflects poor agreement rather than poor potential, as depicted by the large variation in the ensemble spread. Some of those members drop more than half an inch of rain in six hours. Still time for that to trend wetter. As it stands, guidance keeps the freezing level around 8k ft during the event, so expect 0" in the metro regions near the water, with an outside potential for a slushy Tr-1" at Randy's house

It’s not too surprising if the rain doesn’t pan out given that it’d be early/mid August. Still hope it could work out but it’s still a ways out and fighting climo. Just very tough to get straitform rain especially from 7/15-8/15 near the meteorological peak of summer. 

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Posted
9 minutes ago, KeyPeninsula_Wx said:

It’s not too surprising if the rain doesn’t pan out given that it’d be early/mid August. Still hope it could work out but it’s still a ways out and fighting climo. Just very tough to get straitform rain especially from 7/15-8/15 near the meteorological peak of summer. 

Definitely fighting against climo, in a regime that clearly wants to stay dry.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 56"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24: 0.25"

-2024-25*: 4.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 14th, 2025

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

Posted

75/57 at KSEA today. -2.4F and a negative departure on both the high and low.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 56"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24: 0.25"

-2024-25*: 4.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 14th, 2025

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

Posted
20 minutes ago, KeyPeninsula_Wx said:

We’ve been getting low level smoke from the bear gulch fire on and off the last couple days but just elevated at the moment. It was actually pretty nasty here Wednesday evening for a bit. 

First time I can remember having a smoke day caused by a fire west of me. But yeah at least it’s elevated. I don’t smell smoke at all. 

Posted
4 hours ago, DareDuck said:

Thunderstorm activity just to my west. Hopefully enough rain is falling with it. 

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Simply beautiful

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 56"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24: 0.25"

-2024-25*: 4.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 14th, 2025

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

Posted
1 hour ago, Cloud said:

Looks like combo of high clouds and smoke aloft today South Sound. Sun is filtered. 

IMG_6356.jpeg

South sound may be for a smoky morning as this settles overnight. 

Bend, OR

Elevation: 3550'

 

Snow History:

Nov: 1"

Dec: .5"

Jan: 1.9"

Feb: 12.7"

Mar: 1.0"

Total: 17.1"

 

2016/2017: 70"

2015/2016: 34"

Average: ~25"

 

2017/2018 Winter Temps

Lowest Min: 1F on 2/23

Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22

Lows <32: 87

Highs <32: 13

 

Posted

Nice night at the amphitheater. Visiting the central Willamette Valley and they were warm today too. Just missed the 90F burger whew.

Absolutely hammered right now hahahaha

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2025-26 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 47F (Dec 1, 2025)
  • Coldest low: 34F (Oct 15, 2025)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 0 (Most recent: Mar 7, 2025)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Feb 3, 2025)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last ice storm accumulation: Jan 16, 2024 (2.25”)
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Feb 13, 2025 (2.0")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Feb 13, 2025
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 44.0"
  • Total ice since joining TheWeatherForums: 2.25"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Posted
3 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

Uh huh. And we're back to why have you then focused on PDX much more in the past?

Perhaps because it's the main airport/weather station for greater Portland metro, where you live.

Luckily we live in a world where nuance exists and we can look at multiple things at once. 

Since you're the one who made a point of mentioning PDX's slight cool anomaly yesterday, I figured it also warranted mention that the vast majority of lowland stations were in fact slightly warm. Including VUO, which is even closer to me than PDX is.

Sorry if it's yet another thing that makes you uncomfortable 😖

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Posted
4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Luckily we live in a world where nuance exists and we can look at multiple things at once. 

Since you're the one who made a point of mentioning PDX's slight cool anomaly yesterday, I figured it also warranted mention that the vast majority of lowland stations were in fact slightly warm. Including VUO, which is even closer to me than PDX is.

Sorry if it's yet another thing that makes you uncomfortable 😖

He seems quite offended over something that does not affect him in any way, shape or form.  Quite odd.  It is fascinating that a few members on here can maintain real personal relationships in real life.

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Posted
2 hours ago, StormchaserChuck1 said:

Remember how it was showing -37F anomaly readings just north of Washington state last November? 

Remember how you should shut up.

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Posted
7 minutes ago, iFred said:

Cold core is hugging the Pacific coast. Great signs!

battleground situation over downtown seattle

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 56"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24: 0.25"

-2024-25*: 4.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 14th, 2025

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

Posted
37 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

battleground situation over downtown seattle

Just need that to be about 300 miles further south…

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2025-26 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 47F (Dec 1, 2025)
  • Coldest low: 34F (Oct 15, 2025)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 0 (Most recent: Mar 7, 2025)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Feb 3, 2025)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last ice storm accumulation: Jan 16, 2024 (2.25”)
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Feb 13, 2025 (2.0")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Feb 13, 2025
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 44.0"
  • Total ice since joining TheWeatherForums: 2.25"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Posted
1 hour ago, KeyPeninsula_Wx said:

Models kinda dropped the rain chances yesterday but bounced back a bit overnight. Still in the game.

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06Z ECMWF was board as well...

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-total_precip_inch-4632800 (1).png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Posted
1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

06Z ECMWF was board as well...

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-total_precip_inch-4632800 (1).png

Yes please!! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted

In other news... the marine layer roared in stronger than models showed and still deepening.   Going to be slow clearing today and major temp bust for the models.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Posted
32 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

In other news... the marine layer roared in stronger than models showed and still deepening.   Going to be slow clearing today and major temp bust for the models.

Yeah WTF! There is actually very light mist falling at the moment. I was going to head to the lake but…

Today was supposed to be sunny with a thicker marine layer tomorrow. 
 

Weekend shot! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted

Tuesday evening through Thursday is showery per the 12 ECMWF. 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_precip_inch-4654400.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Posted
4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Tuesday evening through Thursday is showery per the 12 ECMWF. 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_precip_inch-4654400.png

Almost in the 3rd shade of blue…We need this!! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted

Memories! 🤮 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted

Possible rug-pull on the Great August 2025 Heatwave has commenced on the 12z Euro. Maybe Egg Guy's prediction of no PDX 100s will turn out to be right. I hope so.

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Posted

Unusual day when almost the entire WA coastline is in the sun while the Puget Sound area is hopelessly stuck.  I am guessing smoke enhanced the cloud formation in the central Sound.

COD-GOES-West-subregional-Pac_NW.truecolor.20250802.182619-over=map-bars=none.gif

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Posted
24 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Unusual day when almost the entire WA coastline is in the sun while the Puget Sound area is hopelessly stuck.  I am guessing smoke enhanced the cloud formation in the central Sound.

COD-GOES-West-subregional-Pac_NW.truecolor.20250802.182619-over=map-bars=none.gif

Lake Whatcom would be the place to be. I’m at the wrong lake today. Not a single person on the Lake Goodwin (at least on this side) 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted

Took just the boy and me on a bike ride over Mission Bridge and some trails along the Fraser. Perfect weather: not hot and no depressing marine greyness. 

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Posted
52 minutes ago, Eugene-5SW said:

Possible rug-pull on the Great August 2025 Heatwave has commenced on the 12z Euro. Maybe Egg Guy's prediction of no PDX 100s will turn out to be right. I hope so.

How bad was the heat wave? 100s for Seattle?

Posted
10 minutes ago, seattleweatherguy said:

How bad was the heat wave? 100s for Seattle?

At worst it had upper 90s for SEA, 100 as far north as Olympia, 108-ish for the Willamette Valley.

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