If that 90 at Paine Field isn't a rounding error then it's incredible.
Daily record for Everett was 82 degrees and it looks like they have never hit 90 degrees in September. Doing that for the first time in the 2nd half of the month would be amazing.
This video is a presentation I did at September's AMS meeting, slightly modified per suggestions at that meeting.
A technical look at the historically active severe thunderstorm season in the Medford area:
Other meeting presentations at that meeting: https://oregonams.com/2025/09/30/september-meeting-presentations-2/
We'll have even more fun on October 18th, 10 AM at OMSI for the 33rd annual Winter Weather Forecast Conference, your one-stop shop for winter weath
.2 yday from a shortwave pre clipper brought KDSM to 14.3" for the season which was the total for ALL of last season.
Not doing to shabby with this one with 2.5" or so through 7:35Am. Maybe another inch / inch and 1/2. Snow is running 15 to 20:1 SLR. Very easy to measure as the wind is light and snow crystals are stacking perfectly.
I have no idea. This MJO stuff I only just learned more about in the last couple months. I learn something new here all the time, especially from the longtimers
The MJO continues to linger completely dead in the null phase, while slowly creeping towards Indian Ocean phase 1, contrary to model guidance that wanted to take it back out to phase 7 and 8.
The operational models will inevitably flip flop, and I think the GFS will turn back around even better for the 12z. I just don't see the STJ being the main concern, especially with a persistent -EAMT/-AAM that has already developed.
Unless.. do you see something else I'm missing that is feeding into the jet here? I'm not an expert
Radar suggests is should have been snowing for the last hour, but the air is too dry. The HRRR continues to dry us out more with each run. I'm down to <1" now. I feel like I've wasted my whole week watching these garbage clippers.
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