October 2025 PNW

KeyPeninsula_Wx · October 1

Spooky

Tyler Mode · October 1

Mild start to October...sitting ta 57 with 0.04" of rain. Looking forward to those cool nights this weekend into next week.

Anti Marine Layer · October 1

Who will get snow before Halloween?

High Desert Mathew · October 1

34 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Who will get snow before Halloween?

The PNA guy.

MossMan · October 1

3 minutes ago, High Desert Mathew said:

The PNA guy.

MossMan · October 1

Went back to the February 2025 thread to start getting excited for winter…We are only a month out now from legitimate snow chances! And big winds can happen anytime now. I’m pumped!

Rubus Leucodermis · October 1

Ended up with 3.11" total last month.

.05" since midnight.

Currently 55.9˚F after a min of 54.0˚F.

TT-SEA · October 1

Its been dumping rain here for the last couple hours... almost up to .75 on the day already. Might also be some sun later today.

MossMan · October 1

Lovely morning up here!

High Desert Mathew · October 1

1 hour ago, High Desert Mathew said:

The PNA guy.

And Dare Duck. Maybe Terreboner?

Positive PNA Enjoyoor · October 1

1 hour ago, High Desert Mathew said:

The PNA guy.

12z GFS

sn10_acc-imp.conus.png

iFred · October 1

1 minute ago, Negative PNA Enjoyoor said:

12z GFS

Hopefully not.

Deweydog · October 1

37 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Lovely morning up here!

This seems more accurate…

Front Ranger · October 1

Last night's Euro was fairly dynamic.

ShawniganLake · October 1

26 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Last night's Euro was fairly dynamic.

And basically dry for the first half of October after some showers the next 36hrs.

Front Ranger · October 1

2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

And basically dry for the first half after some showers the next 36hrs.

Fortunately, as we all know precip maps past day 5 are basically useless.

TT-SEA · October 1

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Lovely morning up here!

And now the sun is shining here too. Heavy rain and sun in the same morning... happy plants and trees!

Positive PNA Enjoyoor · October 1

42 minutes ago, iFred said:

Hopefully not.

If I don't get snow this weekend, I will have the biggest emotional meltdown in forum history. Even bigger than Jim's postings from last December's parade of ARs. We need snow.

ShawniganLake · October 1

15 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Fortunately, as we all know precip maps past day 5 are basically useless.

Yes. If the Euro, (which you referenced) and other models are wrong it could end up being wetter than advertised. The overall consensus is a dryer than normal first half of the month.

Front Ranger · October 1

A couple months from now everyone would be on high backdoor alert!

iFred · October 1

30 minutes ago, Negative PNA Enjoyoor said:

If I don't get snow this weekend, I will have the biggest emotional meltdown in forum history. Even bigger than Jim's postings from last December's parade of ARs. We need snow.

You're really making me root for super heated tropical moisture to sweep over the Henry Lake Mountains and for you to spend your winter in the mid to upper 60s and heavy non convective rain.

MossMan · October 1

It’s currently warm, sunny, windy, and sprinkling all at the same time!

Cloud · October 1

SEA ended the water year 8th driest on recording dating back to 1945. 10” below average.

New water year is starting with some rain but drier weather is coming back.

Port Angeles Foothiller · October 1

Only 9.43" on the year. My driest to this point that I have recorded.

DareDuck · October 1

1 hour ago, High Desert Mathew said:

And Dare Duck. Maybe Terreboner?

Last years first day with snow in the air was 10/17, 10/31 was first snow on the ground.

Phishy Wx · October 1

extreme drought creeping in these parts. its bad, Spokane river almost dry in parts of Spokane Valley. We need a big winter.

ShawniganLake · October 1

7 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

extreme drought creeping in these parts. its bad, Spokane river almost dry in parts of Spokane Valley. We need a big winter.

Dry. Dry. Dry.

Things can always turn quickly in late October.

Phishy Wx · October 1

does a warm/dry october led to winter dud or is it a good sign? asking for a friend

Phishy Wx · October 1

I feel guilty continuing to irrigate but i'll need to run sprinklers up until first killing freeze or our scheduled sprinkler blow out date which is 10/31, whichever comes first

Rubus Leucodermis · October 1

3 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

does a warm/dry october led to winter dud or is it a good sign? asking for a friend

October 2022 was epically warm and dry and the following winter was my snowiest ever in the lowlands.

KeyPeninsula_Wx · October 1

6 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Dry. Dry. Dry.

Things can always turn quickly in late October.

And I’m sure we will get an actual decent rain pattern before the month ends.

ShawniganLake · October 1

11 minutes ago, KeyPeninsula_Wx said:

And I’m sure we will get an actual decent rain pattern before the month ends.

Feels like some late October jet extensions would be likely this year.

Front Ranger · October 1

26 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

does a warm/dry october led to winter dud or is it a good sign? asking for a friend

For your area, there doesn't appear to be any positive signal with a wet Octobers leading to snowier winters.

Very dry Octobers for the west side do have a correlation with less snowy winters in your area, but the caveat is most of those were Ninos and virtually no -ENSO like we have this year.