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Posted

Cool to see the CZ form and rotate around the Sound as the flow shifts around the mountains. The wind just completely 180ed in direction as it got here a couple minutes ago. The south wind had the trees bending firmly to the north all morning, then all the sudden everything flipped with a huge gust out of the north and a sheet of rain roaring through all at once. Getting torrential rain now.

Honestly the PSCZ has to be one of the most interesting local weather phenomenon I'm aware of. Is there anywhere else on earth that so consistently gets such a robust CZ like us? I'm sure there must be somewhere, but nothing immediately comes to mind.

 

KATX - Super-Res Reflectivity 1, 11_44 AM (1).gif

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Posted
14 minutes ago, SpaceRace22 said:

Cool to see if the CZ form and rotate around the Sound as the flow shifts around the mountains. The wind just completely 180ed in direction as it got here a couple minutes ago. The south wind had the trees bending firmly to the north all morning, then all the sudden everything flipped with a huge gust out of the north and a sheet of rain roaring through all at once. Getting torrential rain now.

Honestly the PSCZ has to be one of the most interesting local weather phenomenon I'm aware of. Is there anywhere else on earth that so consistently gets such a robust CZ like us? I'm sure there must be somewhere, but nothing immediately comes to mind.

 

KATX - Super-Res Reflectivity 1, 11_44 AM (1).gif

D**n it @iFred, your website is killing my gif.

Anyway, enjoy this video of the sheets of rain that just came in with the CZ

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Posted
1 hour ago, High Desert Mathew said:

Let the cherry picking begin!!! 

Like all the random windstorm maps at 240+ hours?  Who cares dude.

I found something interesting to me within the next 7 or 8 days.    Probably won't happen but I am basically looking for something other than daily rain because that is the default at this time of year and boring.   Just waiting for some cold or snow or sun or our next trip which is Florida for the first half of December.   Something will eventually break up the monotony.   👍

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Posted
7 minutes ago, seattleweatherguy said:

Heavy rain here. Hope this conversion zone can happen for someone to score big with snow later on. 

AML?

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Posted

What a squall I just had to drive through southbound on I-5

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2025-26 Stats (11/1/25 - 3/31/26)

Warmest high - 11/9/2025 (63 F)

Coldest low - 1/24/2026 (26 F)

Freezes - 8

Sub-40 highs - 0

Subfreezing highs - 0

Total snowfall - 0.0"

 

Posted

Only lost power for about 2 hours. Still fairly breezy right now but the suns out and has turned into a nice day post storm. 

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2025-2026 stats

-40 highs-4   Coldest High-39

-32 highs-0    Coldest low-25

-32 lows-12    Snowfall-0.0”

                       

 

Posted
2 hours ago, High Desert Mathew said:

.31 here for the month of October. Very dry even for here. Could’ve been worse tho, October of ‘22 was summer like. Would be nice to have an old school winter over here like we used to have. 

Wasn't a dry month regionally. As Tim will point out, these maps skew dry, too.

Last1mPNormWRCC-NW.thumb.png.18a0bec824e6787890c0b2eea59a96b2.png

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O the snow, the beautiful snow!
Filling the sky and the earth below!
Over the house-tops, over the street,
Over the heads of the people you meet,
Dancing, Flirting, Skimming along.
Beautiful snow! it can do nothing wrong.

Posted
13 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Wasn't a dry month regionally. As Tim will point out, these maps skew dry, too.

Last1mPNormWRCC-NW.thumb.png.18a0bec824e6787890c0b2eea59a96b2.png

As you can see, I’m about the bullseye for driest in Wa and Or. Hopefully some more precip gets through this month. West side looks wet the next ten days. 

Posted
26 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Wasn't a dry month regionally. As Tim will point out, these maps skew dry, too.

Last1mPNormWRCC-NW.thumb.png.18a0bec824e6787890c0b2eea59a96b2.png

Yeah, atleast here locally I don’t think ~75% of normal is accurate. Probably closer to 90-100%. That’s just my backyard though. 

  • Like 1

2025-2026 stats

-40 highs-4   Coldest High-39

-32 highs-0    Coldest low-25

-32 lows-12    Snowfall-0.0”

                       

 

Posted
1 hour ago, SnowWillarrive said:

Wind has been a nothing burger here. Very happy 

Disappointingly quiet here at the moment. 😞

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted
2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Disappointingly quiet here at the moment. 😞

Why couldn’t it have been disappointingly quiet last night for trick or treating? 😣

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2025-26 Stats (11/1/25 - 3/31/26)

Warmest high - 11/9/2025 (63 F)

Coldest low - 1/24/2026 (26 F)

Freezes - 8

Sub-40 highs - 0

Subfreezing highs - 0

Total snowfall - 0.0"

 

Posted

They are wind blown and water logged... but the dahlias and roses are still blooming in November as I anticipated after getting past that short cold spell in middle of October and going into a very wet pattern.

20251101_133116.jpg

20251101_132823.jpg

20251101_132805.jpg

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Posted
6 hours ago, Everleigh said:

I thought that was broken already recently.....? No?

Yes you are right actually... 10/24 got 1.04"

  • Like 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 56"

-- Lake City, Seattle (LC) --

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24: 0.25"

-2024-25: 4.75"

-- Ballard, Seattle (B) --

-2025-26: 0.00" *

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 14th, 2025 (LC)

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 (LC)

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 (LC)

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 (LC)

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 (LC)

Posted

Besides the average to a little below average precip for October regionally and the teleconnections, especially the weak La Niña that does off in January, seems like 2016-2017 is a pretty good analog. Anyone know what the blob was like that year? 

Posted
13 minutes ago, KeyPeninsula_Wx said:

Yeah, atleast here locally I don’t think ~75% of normal is accurate. Probably closer to 90-100%. That’s just my backyard though. 

As far as the big guys go, SEA finished almost exactly average for the month and PDX was above average.

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O the snow, the beautiful snow!
Filling the sky and the earth below!
Over the house-tops, over the street,
Over the heads of the people you meet,
Dancing, Flirting, Skimming along.
Beautiful snow! it can do nothing wrong.

Posted
22 minutes ago, Edmonds Husky said:

Why couldn’t it have been disappointingly quiet last night for trick or treating? 😣

It was for us thankfully!! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted

Actually surprised we’ve kept power after it came back on. It has been pretty windy here the last few hours. Still haven’t had a real big wind event this year…atleast out here. 

  • Like 1

2025-2026 stats

-40 highs-4   Coldest High-39

-32 highs-0    Coldest low-25

-32 lows-12    Snowfall-0.0”

                       

 

Posted
1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Like all the random windstorm maps at 240+ hours?  Who cares dude.

I found something interesting to me within the next 7 or 8 days.    Probably won't happen but I am basically looking for something other than daily rain because that is the default at this time of year and boring.   Just waiting for some cold or snow or sun or our next trip which is Florida for the first half of December.   Something will eventually break up the monotony.   👍

Please put yourself on mod preview.

  • Thanks 1
Posted
3 minutes ago, iFred said:

Please put yourself on mod preview.

We are a couple weeks away from warm and wet being evil on here because it takes away from snow chances.  😀

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Posted

Sunny and windy here. The AR plus the wind ate up the snow on the Olympics but sounds like we should get some back in the coming days. 

IMG_1210.jpeg

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Posted
51 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

We are a couple weeks away from warm and wet being evil on here because it takes away from snow chances.  😀

Mild, wet, and boring in a Nina November should usually be a pretty good sign of things to come. Rip that bandaid off before primetime.

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Mild, wet, and boring in a Nina November should usually be a pretty good sign of things to come. Rip that bandaid off before primetime.

Exactly.   

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Posted
18 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Mild, wet, and boring in a Nina November should usually be a pretty good sign of things to come. Rip that bandaid off before primetime.

Yeah let’s get the zonal crap out of the way and have the good patterns ready to go when it is coldest

  • Like 3
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2025-26 Stats (11/1/25 - 3/31/26)

Warmest high - 11/9/2025 (63 F)

Coldest low - 1/24/2026 (26 F)

Freezes - 8

Sub-40 highs - 0

Subfreezing highs - 0

Total snowfall - 0.0"

 

Posted

Thank goodness for convergence zones. No sign of the sun here. I was worried sick that it was going to come out earlier. Praying that the clearing can hold off until after dark so that I don't have to see it.

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Posted

Windy again but nothing crazy. 
I do have a date with the blower again tomorrow. 

IMG_6954.jpeg

IMG_6955.jpeg

IMG_6953.jpeg

  • Like 1

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted
4 hours ago, Negative PNA Enjoyoor said:

Cansips for Dec

image.thumb.png.d8b8e54ef0be5847ea9e46d48e769803.png

 

 

An actual coolish December for the Northeast? I’ll believe it when I see it. Count on the opposite with a torch the week of Xmas.

Posted
13 minutes ago, RCola said:

An actual coolish December for the Northeast? I’ll believe it when I see it. Count on the opposite with a torch the week of Xmas.

Always bet on a SE ridge and East Coast torch 😎

2025-26 Stats (11/1/25 - 3/31/26)

Warmest high - 11/9/2025 (63 F)

Coldest low - 1/24/2026 (26 F)

Freezes - 8

Sub-40 highs - 0

Subfreezing highs - 0

Total snowfall - 0.0"

 

Posted

IMG_4556.jpeg

IMG_4554.jpeg

IMG_4551.jpeg

Disco Park putting on a display under CZ clouds with the retreating AR bands going all multicolored on the southern horizon.

  • Like 6

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 56"

-- Lake City, Seattle (LC) --

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24: 0.25"

-2024-25: 4.75"

-- Ballard, Seattle (B) --

-2025-26: 0.00" *

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 14th, 2025 (LC)

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 (LC)

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 (LC)

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 (LC)

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 (LC)

Posted
2 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

Very excited and thankful for the rain opportunities these next 10 days.

Hoping it keeps up indefinitely. 

It was a very satisfying rain event last night. The axis of development tracked pretty much right over the city, complete with upscale development. ~1.4" storm total, respectable stuff

  • Like 4

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 56"

-- Lake City, Seattle (LC) --

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24: 0.25"

-2024-25: 4.75"

-- Ballard, Seattle (B) --

-2025-26: 0.00" *

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 14th, 2025 (LC)

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 (LC)

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 (LC)

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 (LC)

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 (LC)

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