Beautiful fall colors in Seattle now.  Appears to be peaking.    I apologize for the sun illuminating the trees.   Even Seattle can see sun in November.   Sad but true.   

Snowy on the Coquihalla 

 

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

I totally agree with you on this... I really enjoy our greenery and mild temps in the winter.   Snow is a novelty and more amazing when it happens because it's not the default.   

100% this. We're the only place in the country, aside from the small areas of hemiboreal forest that dip into northern MN, MI, and ME, that gets to keep significant greenery and vegetation while still getting at least some snow every winter. I don't think people from other snowier climates fully appreciate how much of a difference that makes during winter. Places like the Midwest and Northeast may get a lot of snow, but winter is dead, brown, and barren. Melt offs there don't feel like a breath of fresh air like they do here. They are just a reminder of how lifeless the landscape is that time of year. Evergreen trees RULE

I know its cherry picking... but the 12Z ECMWF continues the idea of a spectacular weekend next week with warm air surging up the west coast and very cold temps in the Midwest.   GFS is on board too.   And I will also say that this happening in early November is a really good sign for cold and snow later on... I will enjoy both if it works out!

Just now, TT-SEA said:

I know its cherry picking... but the 12Z ECMWF continues the idea of a spectacular weekend next week with warm air surging up the west coast and very cold temps in the Midwest.   GFS is on board too.   And I will also say that this happening in early November is a really good sign for cold and snow later on... I will enjoy both if it works out!

I have a strong feeling that there will be snow in the lowlands before the end of the year. 

44 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Beautiful fall colors in Seattle now.  Appears to be peaking.    I apologize for the sun illuminating the trees.   Even Seattle can see sun in November.   Sad but true.   

Another perfect fall day. 
To be fair I don’t think many are complaining about sun in November lol

17 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I know its cherry picking... but the 12Z ECMWF continues the idea of a spectacular weekend next week with warm air surging up the west coast and very cold temps in the Midwest.   GFS is on board too.   And I will also say that this happening in early November is a really good sign for cold and snow later on... I will enjoy both if it works out!

Is there ensemble support for this though?

6 minutes ago, Edmonds Husky said:

Is there ensemble support for this though?

00Z EPS showed the same thing.

All clean…Again…For another day or two. 

3 hours ago, MossMan said:

How about a little fuzz to start the day! 

At least we have the fuzz.

20 minutes ago, MossMan said:

All clean…Again…For another day or two. 

The lack of rain today means my wife insists on help outside cleaning out garden... rather than me watching football.   I miss the rain.  

1 hour ago, SpaceRace22 said:

100% this. We're the only place in the country, aside from the small areas of hemiboreal forest that dip into northern MN, MI, and ME, that gets to keep significant greenery and vegetation while still getting at least some snow every winter. I don't think people from other snowier climates fully appreciate how much of a difference that makes during winter. Places like the Midwest and Northeast may get a lot of snow, but winter is dead, brown, and barren. Melt offs there don't feel like a breath of fresh air like they do here. They are just a reminder of how lifeless the landscape is that time of year. Evergreen trees RULE

Even more amazing when that snow is on the limbs of wetter conifers as opposed to some of the drier varieties found further east.

Had a shower thought on how we are probably "more due" for a winter that would put January 1950 to shame than we are another blah kind of season.

1 hour ago, SpaceRace22 said:

Interesting, I knew Lake Cushman was good, but didn't realize it was 100" a year good. In that case, it might be better to be closer to lake level anyway, unless you are okay with being trapped in your house for weeks at a time. I have to imagine that road access up Dow Mountain gets extremely difficult after big storms. The HOA probably plows it eventually, but it appears to be a windy dirt trail along a steep mountain through the forest, so good luck getting up or down until they do.

I always thought that Lake Cavanaugh was in the neighborhood of Lake Cushman snows, but with the added benefit of being on this side of the Sound.

Today's entertainment.

2 hours ago, SpaceRace22 said:

To me, the fact that there are interludes of bare ground and rain is actually a significant bonus. If you have snow around all year, the novelty starts to wear off. Plus it gets dirty and nasty and isn't very nice after a while anyway. Having some melt off cycles in between drastically increases my enjoyment of each individual snow event. It keeps them exciting and fresh, and being right on the knife's edge with temperatures makes it more satisfying when you do actually get the payoff. Any of us could move to Snoqualmie Pass if we wanted 300" of snow a year within an hour of Seattle, but I think that partly misses the point. Too much of a good thing ruins it.

Maybe I’ll feel different down the road, but snow never gets old to me. 2016-17 was my favorite winter and we had snow on the ground for 3 months. 

2 hours ago, SpaceRace22 said:

100% this. We're the only place in the country, aside from the small areas of hemiboreal forest that dip into northern MN, MI, and ME, that gets to keep significant greenery and vegetation while still getting at least some snow every winter. I don't think people from other snowier climates fully appreciate how much of a difference that makes during winter. Places like the Midwest and Northeast may get a lot of snow, but winter is dead, brown, and barren. Melt offs there don't feel like a breath of fresh air like they do here. They are just a reminder of how lifeless the landscape is that time of year. Evergreen trees RULE

I refuse to live in the drier microclimates of Montana for this reason.  Dead, barren, and brown landscapes whenever the snow melts.  

OTOH, I guess at this elevation we have feet of half-melted slop that lasts well into April and May.  So YMMV.

Gorgeous day. An absolute benign puffy cloud emporium.  

Pulled out at least 30lbs of potatoes, many large zucchinis, and some ridiculously large carrots we had missed earlier in the fall and they just kept growing.    Garden is officially done now because we cleared out all the beds.   Now have a few months off until prep work begins in March.

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z EPS showed the same thing.

Shades of 2016

6 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Well now I am going to be getting up even earlier with the time change.   ?

welcome to the history of life

Models have all kind of backed off of the really rainy scenarios and any wind storm potential.  The next couple weeks just kind of look blah. 

2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Models have all kind of backed off of the really rainy scenarios and any wind storm potential.  The next couple weeks just kind of look blah. 

You know which other year had a blah November?

2008.

Oh

October SOI came in at +12.. which was the highest monthly reading since December 2022! Here's how that rolls forward to the following Winter:

6 minutes ago, SpaceRace22 said:

Oh

6 hours later

25 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck1 said:

6 hours later

Excuse me sir, we're cherry picking here

1 hour ago, StormchaserChuck1 said:

6 hours later

Good old coast to coast torch

7 minutes ago, Edmonds Husky said:

Good old coast to coast torch

I’m in the green! 

Lovely for November... and on a weekend.

1 hour ago, StormchaserChuck1 said:

6 hours later

Looks ok for the PNW lowlands tbh.  I suppose due to riding/fake cold.

Are you all ready for a 4:48 PM sunset??

5 minutes ago, Edmonds Husky said:

Are you all ready for a 4:48 PM sunset??

I am. I love it! We've got about three and a half months of low solar insolation and nearly three months of pre 5pm sunsets.

1 minute ago, iFred said:

I am. I love it! We've got about three and a half months of low solar insolation and nearly three months of pre 5pm sunsets.

I hope we don’t have to worry about solar heating once snow chances come about. No marginal events please

4 hours ago, iFred said:

Today's entertainment.

Today's run did you one better. I'll take member 71 plz

Something is wrong with the model if the mean is showing 3" at Seattle airport in the next 15 days. 

16 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck1 said:

Something is wrong with the model if the mean is showing 3" at Seattle airport in the next 15 days. 

I think this is over the next month and a half, so until mid December

7 hours ago, Edmonds Husky said:

I need the PNA this year to stay perpetually negative.

It was so frustrating last regular season when it went positive right at Thanksgiving then stayed positive for almost the entire fall & winter. Like, what are the probabilities of that?

18 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

It was so frustrating last regular season when it went positive right at Thanksgiving then stayed positive for almost the entire fall & winter. Like, what are the probabilities of that?

Last winter could have been so epic tbh. There was ample ridging and strong cold in the polar regions but because ridging was weak and progressive it mostly slid east.

Edited November 3, 2025Nov 3 by Edmonds Husky

1 hour ago, StormchaserChuck1 said:

Something is wrong with the model if the mean is showing 3" at Seattle airport in the next 15 days. 

It's not in the next 15 days but go off

DEN set a new November record today with a high of 83.