2/19 - 2/20 Plains/Lakes CO Low Cutter

Tom · February 19

This winter storm sure did sneak up on many of our members that have been on the side lines this season. Not much else to say or comment as pretty much most on here are ready to reel in some decent late season snows! Oh, ya, let's not forget about the Severe Wx thread in the warm sector. Nevertheless, it should be an interesting day of weather for a lot of our members in the heartland! Let's get it!

Hawkeye · February 19

06z Euro

Tom · February 19

I'm really in awe how this storm is continuing to trend + in the snow dept for a lot of you guys, esp in IA/S WI as this system has the dynamics to show for it. The radar today will be explosive and the slow w/e banding should be wonderful wherever it sets up.

MMike · February 19

WOW! Nebraska literally has had ZERO snow this winter, at least most of the state. Hopefully the storm over performs in many areas. Hard to believe they have missed everything. Not much better in KC, but, the two snows we had were really good snows and lasted awhile on the ground. Maybe with some more cold air in the pattern heading towards months end and early March, KC might thread the needle one more time.

Enjoy the snow I-80 folks, I'm sure it will look beautiful!!! I'll be rooting for ya!!

Tom · February 19

Could we see some possible thundersnow over C IA... come on @Grizzcoatpull out that magnet!

jcwxguy · February 19

Hawkeye · February 19

The trend this morning is back nw a bit on the CAMs. Waterloo looks like a good spot.

Bryan1117 · February 19

29 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

The trend this morning is back nw a bit on the CAMs. Waterloo looks like a good spot.

Seems like its jumping ever so slightly north again... however I like where we are sitting in East Central Nebraska.

Nice to actually track a winter storm here for the first time since late November. It's been a dreadful winter for snow lovers here.

jcwxguy · February 19

jcwxguy · February 19

Hawkeye · February 19

RRFS

bud2380 · February 19

12z HRRR

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jcwxguy · February 19

bud2380 · February 19

Last minute trends in eastern Iowa are to shift the snow bands to northern Iowa. Not expecting much here, but we'll see.

bud2380 · February 19

GFS

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jcwxguy · February 19

Gfs

Hawkeye · February 19

All of the snow is going to fall between 12am and 6am here, so it really doesn't even matter if we get 1 or 4 inches. I'll barely see any of it falling. 1" will be quick to melt so we can move on toward spring.

jcwxguy · February 19

jcwxguy · February 19

jcwxguy · February 19

gabel23 · February 19

Hastings late to the party but finally upgraded my area to a warning; while short term models are drying things out for my area.

jcwxguy · February 19

jcwxguy · February 19

Grizzcoat · February 19

Just got upgraded.

Grizzcoat · February 19

Sweet!

jcwxguy · February 19

Rap for the win. Bullseye

Hoosier · February 19

Not sure what the current state of the wildfires is in the Plains, but I wonder if we may get dirty rain again around here tonight. The mid/upper level winds are from a similar direction as Tuesday night/Wednesday morning.

jcwxguy · February 19

jaster220 · February 19

Pivot for SWWI looks legit. This somewhat reminds me of the 3/3/23 compact strong storm that hit SEMI but this has an even better pivot "swing" northward. Meanwhile - looks like stat padding duster will be on the ground Sat morning:

image.png.d53693faf4ac2a4328cfcf86781e930e.png

Hoosier · February 19

3 hours ago, Tom said:

This winter storm sure did sneak up on many of our members that have been on the side lines this season. Not much else to say or comment as pretty much most on here are ready to reel in some decent late season snows! Oh, ya, let's not forget about the Severe Wx thread in the warm sector. Nevertheless, it should be an interesting day of weather for a lot of our members in the heartland! Let's get it!

I'll be watching the severe side. Not that I really expect anything like that this far north, but curious to see how this first potentially significant event of 2026 in the region will perform. As mentioned in another post, I do think this is a sign of things to come as I expect a fairly active spring at least for the eastern Midwest/Ohio Valley. At least a couple factors pointing to that... fading Nina and the drought/dryness in the Plains (which may further expand), thus making it easier for the dryline to get farther east than usual at times.

Grizzcoat · February 19

jcwxguy · February 19

Hawkeye · February 19

Waterloo is really looking like the bulls-eye.

MI Storm · February 19

Going to be a nice deform band! Good luck upon there.

Bellona · February 19

I bought a new snow blower a month ago, looks like I may get a chance to use it tomorrow. Models look pretty nice for anyone in the Waterloo area.

bud2380 · February 19

Gotta love how these storms always seem to take that northward jog right over Iowa City/CR area. 30 miles to my west it shows 6-8", while I'm in 2-4". Just dig a little further southeast storm, LOL.

bud2380 · February 19

The trend on the Euro from 12z yesterday to 12z today was about 100-150 mile shift south. Just need another 30 miles south for my area to really get hit hard, so maybe the south shift isn't done yet.