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Posted

Its raining. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted

Hey, some light rain!!! Currently 47F and we've had 0.05" so far.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2025-26 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Jan 14, 2026)
  • Coldest low: 19F (Jan 24, 2026)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 18 (Most recent: Mar 27, 2026)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Jan 14, 2026)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last ice storm accumulation: Jan 16, 2024 (2.25”)
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Feb 13, 2025 (1.0")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Feb 13, 2025: 1"
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 44.0"
  • Total ice since joining TheWeatherForums: 2.25"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Posted
16 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Hey, some light rain!!! Currently 47F and we've had 0.05" so far.

No foolin??

O the snow, the beautiful snow!
Filling the sky and the earth below!
Over the house-tops, over the street,
Over the heads of the people you meet,
Dancing, Flirting, Skimming along.
Beautiful snow! it can do nothing wrong.

Posted

Models definitely agree that it’s going to dry out after today for atleast a week. We will be due for a wet pattern in the second half of April into May…hopefully that materializes. 

2026 warm season stats

Max temp-75

+80s-0

+85s-0

+90s-0

                       

 

Posted
27 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

April fool.

Thought I saw a positive splat this morning, was 38 when I left the house. 🥶

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted

It always rains the first wed of everything month. Idk why but clockwork lately it seems 

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Posted

Maybe some light rain here later. Working a half day then going to the tropics to sip on coladas.

  • Like 1

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2025-2026 Snowfall totals: 2.5 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 1.5 inches on 2/19/26 and 2/20/26

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 2/20/26 (0.5 inches)

Days with trace or more snowfall: 2/18/26 (1 inch) , 2/19/26 (1 inch), 2/20/26 (0.5 inches).

First Freeze:  10/15/25 

Lowest Temperature: 17F on 1/26/26

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

Subfreezing Highs: 1/19/26 - 1/23/26 (5 days)

Posted

Watch what happens to the total QPF over 6 hours of successive HRRR runs targeted on 11 a.m. PDT this morning:

Still would love an explanation of why almost every storm dries up on the home stretch like this, over and over and over.

(And no, it's not just an HRRR thing -- it happens on every model. The HRRR's hourly interval just shows it more graphically.)

trend-hrrr-2026040114-f005.qpf_acc-imp.us_nw.gif

Posted
5 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

Maybe some light rain here later. Working a half day then going to the tropics to sip on coladas.

Where are you going?

*

Posted

84°F before noon today. You people whining about sun and warmth have no room to complain. 😂 

So far this hasn’t felt like the typical progression into a Niño from a -ENSO base state (usually mild winter that transitions into a cooler spring/summer). Actually been the opposite.

 

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Posted
3 minutes ago, Phil said:

84°F before noon today. You people whining about sun and warmth have no room to complain. 😂 

So far this hasn’t felt like the typical progression into a Niño from a -ENSO base state (usually mild winter that transitions into a cooler spring/summer). Actually been the opposite.

 

Good…Means we are going to have a great winter out west this coming season! 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted
11 minutes ago, Phil said:

84°F before noon today. You people whining about sun and warmth have no room to complain. 😂 

So far this hasn’t felt like the typical progression into a Niño from a -ENSO base state (usually mild winter that transitions into a cooler spring/summer). Actually been the opposite.

 

Leading into El Nino's are actually cold Winter's in the NE. 10 times since 1950 2 consecutive cold NE Winter's have been followed by an El Nino. 

Posted

Some chilly memories. 

IMG_0584.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted
51 minutes ago, Phil said:

84°F before noon today. You people whining about sun and warmth have no room to complain. 😂 

So far this hasn’t felt like the typical progression into a Niño from a -ENSO base state (usually mild winter that transitions into a cooler spring/summer). Actually been the opposite.

 

Scored your first 70🍔 dew point yet?

It's called clown range for a reason.

Posted
56 minutes ago, Phil said:

84°F before noon today. You people whining about sun and warmth have no room to complain. 😂 

So far this hasn’t felt like the typical progression into a Niño from a -ENSO base state (usually mild winter that transitions into a cooler spring/summer). Actually been the opposite.

 

The warmest day of the year at KSEA is still a high of 62 on February 4. 

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Posted
20 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Pics or it didn't happen.

Back in the days before the cloud where there was no backup when your phone died 😞

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted
57 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

The warmest day of the year at KSEA is still a high of 62 on February 4. 

We've had warmer Januarys than this past March. Honestly the best March in a long time. Very cool snow event around SeaTac as well.

  • Like 2
Posted
7 minutes ago, SeattleMarineLayerFan said:

We've had warmer Januarys than this past March. Honestly the best March in a long time. Very cool snow event around SeaTac as well.

we've been warmer than normal for at least the past year straight I think, likely longer, I need to look

Posted

Currently 45 degrees and raining. 
.16” so far on the day, 16.74” for the year. 

  • Rain 2

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted
5 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

we've been warmer than normal for at least the past year straight I think, likely longer, I need to look

Yeah, February 2025 was the last cooler than average month for GEG and for the inland PNW in general. 

Even the 2014-15 and 2015-16 torches at least offered cool Novembers there (and a cool September in 2015). 

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Posted
13 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

we've been warmer than normal for at least the past year straight I think, likely longer, I need to look

Hm yeah I guess the ARs did keep it warm. But at least no incessant torching at any point in the month.

Posted
17 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Yeah, February 2025 was the last cooler than average month for GEG and for the inland PNW in general. 

Even the 2014-15 and 2015-16 torches at least offered cool Novembers there (and a cool September in 2015). 

brutal

Posted
5 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Where are you going?

Driving to Spokane in about an hour and then los cabos tomorrow for 5 days.

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  • Sun 1

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2025-2026 Snowfall totals: 2.5 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 1.5 inches on 2/19/26 and 2/20/26

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 2/20/26 (0.5 inches)

Days with trace or more snowfall: 2/18/26 (1 inch) , 2/19/26 (1 inch), 2/20/26 (0.5 inches).

First Freeze:  10/15/25 

Lowest Temperature: 17F on 1/26/26

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

Subfreezing Highs: 1/19/26 - 1/23/26 (5 days)

Posted
16 minutes ago, SeattleMarineLayerFan said:

I get if you're in the East Coast you probably like El Nino.

Definitely confusing if anyone on the West Coast likes it...

Soggy weather for @Anti Marine Layer, and warm dry torch all winter for the PNW with limited snow.

Can’t do much worse than what we just had to endure…I’ll take my chances with a Nino at this point. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted
Just now, MossMan said:

Can’t do much worse than what we just had to endure…I’ll take my chances with a Nino at this point. 

Trash IPWP, -QBO, weak La Nina... Not a good combo.

Technically next winter can do "better" (it's a matter of inches anyways). But it won't be good unless we pull Feb 2019 level luck again.

Posted
4 hours ago, StormchaserChuck1 said:

Leading into El Nino's are actually cold Winter's in the NE. 10 times since 1950 2 consecutive cold NE Winter's have been followed by an El Nino. 

That is not always the case, there are different ways the lower frequency tropical forcing/general circulation can systemically evolve into a fully coupled El Niño. The in-situ state matters too.

Events such as 23/24, 02/03, etc, emerged from system states that were not favorable for eastern cold beforehand. While others such as 15/16, 82/83, etc emerged from states that were quite favorable for eastern cold (more WPAC/+TNH dominant). 

Posted
2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

The ECMWF AI ensemble shows lots of nice weather ahead... after we kick this current system out.

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1775044800-1775044800-1776340800-10.gif

You can kind of see the trend will be to nudge the GOA ridge farther north into Alaska with more western troughing undercutting.

Anything that leads to a stronger eastern ridge will win. 😕

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