May 2026 Weather In The PNW

[ShawniganLake]

Looking at Victoria and Nanaimo for southern Vancouver island.  May is going to come in around +3F and +4F respectively 

[DareDuck]

34 and frosty, would have been cool to finish off May with a freeze. Despite the cooler second half of the month, it looks like central OR ended up around +2-2.5 for May so still another warmer than average month. 

[Eugene-5SW]

7 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

So stupid

I mean, they don't even know how to read a thermometer. It says 107º, not 120º.

[the_convergence_zone]

9 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

There exists a positive correlation between ENSO and the Mariner's win record thus far this season. Given the EPS seasonal I'm expecting a World Series title

They are ahead of schedule this year, usually they don’t heat up until sometime in summer.

[fubario]

18 hours ago, KeyPeninsula_Wx said:

That beach and hapuna beach are probably the best ones in my opinion. 

Absolutely. Although, they charge non-residents now at Kua which really pisses me off. Every opportunity to stick it to tourists. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Still up at OHSU but should be discharged today. Hope y’all are well. Hope the summer heat stays at bay but…

[Doom Buster]

2 hours ago, ShawniganLake said:

Looking at Victoria and Nanaimo for southern Vancouver island.  May is going to come in around +3F and +4F respectively 

Significantly warmer than the WA/OR stations.

BLI: +1.6

SEA: +1.0

OLM: +1.7

PDX: +2.4

SLE: +2.1

EUG: +1.8

[Doom Buster]

6z GFS would be absurdly wet for this time of year. Not great for Tim or wildfire enthusiasts.

 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Low of 34

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Enjoy the few days of cool and wet while you can.

[BLI snowman]

6 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Enjoy the few days of cool and wet while you can.

Also looks like a very good chance that we see 90 down here on Tuesday. Tomorrow will probably fall just short. 

 

[Doom Buster]

13 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Enjoy the few days of cool and wet while you can.

[Doom Buster]

30 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Also looks like a very good chance that we see 90 down here on Tuesday. Tomorrow will probably fall just short. 

 

Looking forward to your post on 6/3 about how PDX is on pace for one of the hottest Junes ever..

[TT-SEA]

8 minutes ago, Doom Buster said:

Looking forward to your post on 6/3 about how PDX is on pace for one of the hottest Junes ever..

Nailed it.

[TT-SEA]

33 minutes ago, Doom Buster said:

Yeah... there is nothing really warm in sight except for a little spike on Tuesday.   Be more appropriate for him to say enjoy the short warmth while it lasts.

[BLI snowman]

31 minutes ago, Doom Buster said:

Looking forward to your post on 6/3 about how PDX is on pace for one of the hottest Junes ever..

7th warmest May on record there. Good chance that June and July perform similarly. Don't really even need a hot first two days to tell me that! 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

26 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... there is nothing really warm in sight except for a little spike on Tuesday.   Be more appropriate for him to say enjoy the short warmth while it lasts.

We just ignore the EPS now? It has been pretty locked in on a warm pattern after week 1 of June. Which is echoed by most seasonal predictions. After Tuesday looks like a week of wet/cool, which might be the last for a while if all other seasonal predictions with a raging El Niño play out. 
 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I sense a rug pull is in the works.

Precip has been disappointing IMBY for months now. Storms either don't materialize or go south.

And I hope I am wrong on the rug pull. But current patterns plus it being the Goofus mean I can't take the above at face value.

1st week of June looks wet and cool across all models. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

Also looks like a very good chance that we see 90 down here on Tuesday. Tomorrow will probably fall just short. 

Weak sauce. June is getting into C-note season. But I’ll be generous and account for the fact that it will be early June and set the standards at mid/upper 90s. Which still makes a 90 or a 91 weak sauce.

[BLI snowman]

15 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

7th warmest May on record there. Good chance that June and July perform similarly. Don't really even need a hot first two days to tell me that! 

Also feels like a good time for our monthly reminder that the last time PDX saw a cooler than average month in the May-September timeframe was May 2022.

Thus, May 2026 was the 20th consecutive warm season month that failed to touch the already warm 1991-2020 averages. Like May 2026, most of these didn't even come all that close to approaching said average.

Of those 20 months at PDX, 15 were also drier than the 1991-2020 average.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

We just ignore the EPS now? It has been pretty locked in on a warm pattern after week 1 of June. Which is echoed by most seasonal predictions. After Tuesday looks like a week of wet/cool, which might be the last for a while if all other seasonal predictions with a raging El Niño play out. 
 

Feels like a chasing the carrot situation right now... and don't want to jinx it. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Just now, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

1st week of June looks wet and cool across all models. 

Good to hear. But I’ll believe it when I see it. I’ve seen just too many wet maps fizzle in recent months.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Weak sauce. June is getting into C-note season. But I’ll be generous and account for the fact that it will be early June and set the standards at mid/upper 90s. Which still makes a 90 or a 91 weak sauce.

And its quick hitting warm spike before a big crash which is more like our old school climate.

[iFred]

1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

Also looks like a very good chance that we see 90 down here on Tuesday. Tomorrow will probably fall just short. 

 

How are you still posting? You were banned for your over hyped doomer posts that are not grounded in reality, but in some fantasy that there is some kind of catastrophic climate change, not the slow and much loved move to a mild Mediterranean facsimile. 

[SeattleSmokeLayerFan]

A few sprinkles late next week. Otherwise looks pretty dry and warm. No signs of a "wash out" in my opinion.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

One of the big problems with our place is that it’s on a brick foundation and the walls are thin. Even just the sun blasting down from a high angle makes it hot even if it’s cooler outside than in. Opening windows doesn’t help much. But the rent is manageable on disability. I just know that life would’ve been so much better if I hadn’t had such terrible epilepsy. It’s why I want snow so bad. I’m afraid that one day I…won’t wake up. My family and friends will feel the hole in the world that I will leave and I’ll have been powerless to control what is happening. This sucks. The reason I’m saying this is because I want people to know what it’s like for people. How a life on the path to being wealthy and stable to being disabled and a burden is like something out of a TV show.

Yall are heroes to me. Because y’all understand. You know that weather is a passion of mine and it always has been. I may have a shitt memory but the serenity I feel with snow falling makes me feel them less. Like when I watch college hoops and ballgames in general. Thank y’all for being so important to this world. You matter…always.  

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Feels like a chasing the carrot situation right now... and don't want to jinx it. 

You are perplexing sometimes. 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, SeattleSmokeLayerFan said:

A few sprinkles late next week. Otherwise looks pretty dry and warm. No signs of a "wash out" in my opinion.

My son just texted me the forecast from his iPhone which showed 5 straight days of rain starting Wednesday and wanted to know if it was really going to play out like that.   Pretty misleading forecast. 

[BLI snowman]

5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Weak sauce. June is getting into C-note season. But I’ll be generous and account for the fact that it will be early June and set the standards at mid/upper 90s. Which still makes a 90 or a 91 weak sauce.

One could posit that anything under 116 in June is now weak sauce. That's the beauty of our ever moving climate goal posts!

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

You are perplexing sometimes. 

I am just more cautious in the warm season... I am not sold on a long warm spell after next weekend.    

[SeattleSmokeLayerFan]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I am just more cautious in the warm season... I am not sold on a long warm spell after next weekend.    

Not sold on the most dry months of the year... But absolutely sold on extended dry weather in the winter and spring.  

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, SeattleSmokeLayerFan said:

Not sold on the most dry months of the year... But absolutely sold on extended dry weather in the winter and spring.  

This is not an extended period of warm and dry.   Quite the opposite in fact.

[BLI snowman]

23 minutes ago, iFred said:

How are you still posting? You were banned for your over hyped doomer posts that are not grounded in reality, but in some fantasy that there is some kind of catastrophic climate change, not the slow and much loved move to a mild Mediterranean facsimile. 

Reality is that most of us are just too close to the situation here. Really outside of Tim, I think we generally need at least 1200 miles distance from the region to be able to properly assess the reality of the weather in this area.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

This is not an extended period of warm and dry.   Quite the opposite in fact.

This is also a OP run of the GFS. You know what you are doing.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

This is also a OP run of the GFS. You know what you are doing.

I know I am showing you why I don't trust any extended warm spell right now.   Not even close to making that kind of prediction.

[ShawniganLake]

2 hours ago, Doom Buster said:

Significantly warmer than the WA/OR stations.

BLI: +1.6

SEA: +1.0

OLM: +1.7

PDX: +2.4

SLE: +2.1

EUG: +1.8

Abbotsford is at +3.6F but they are still using the 1981-2010 baseline.  So given the warming climate it is likely a few notches cooler on the departure.  

[TT-SEA]

Exhibit B... the 12Z ECMWF AIFS is the complete opposite of warm and dry in the period that is supposedly going to be warm and dry.  

[ShawniganLake]

27 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I know I am showing you why I don't trust any extended warm spell right now.   Not even close to making that kind of prediction.

Yea. Feels like more of a typical warm ups and cool downs pattern for the first 1/3 to 1/2 of June.  Which makes sense for my area considering how warm and dry the past 6 weeks have been. 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said:

Yea. Feels like more of a typical warm ups and cool downs pattern for the first 1/3 to 1/2 of June.  Which makes sense for my area considering how warm and dry the past 6 weeks have been. 

Or just leaning cool... there is only one really warm day in sight right now which is Tuesday.

[iFred]

What I wouldn't give for this version of Cherry Picking Tim to exist in NDJF.