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August 2026 Observations and Discussions

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Wow! Right when I thought todays mcs would miss  me north. Another line formed and hammered us.  I havent checked my land for damages but maybe 35 mph wind  and heavy rain. The most lightning this year. Hrrr nailed it. Im at 5" for Aug makes 5 consecutive months with near to above avg precip!

 

20260813_115103(0).jpg

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  • Hoosier
    Hoosier

    Omg dude I got smoked!  I happen to be home today.  It was dark as night with a green tint to the sky as it came in.  Worst storm I have personally witnessed in my lifetime.  The amount of trees/branc

  • Hoosier
    Hoosier

    Was helping my mom with cleanup and since her area is (was) loaded with trees, it provides a striking before and after comparison.  First image is a google map view from a couple years ago and the sec

  • OttumwaSnomow
    OttumwaSnomow

    Thought I would let all know. After years of complaining, Ottumwa Iowa is having a true wet year! It seems that no matter where the system is mby gets something. I have often caught lone pop ups.

Posted Images

Some of the models are targeting my area with training storms later, while other models have it farther south.  I'd usually tend to lean on the southern solution, but it doesn't always work that way.  It would be really bad news if that corridor of training ends up around here given that so many folks are still without power and generators have been hard to come by from what I've heard.  One of my neighbors called a store almost 100 miles south of here and even they were all sold out of generators.  

101*
 

We’ll see 102* today ( perhaps 103*)

Humidity 44%. Wind 20mph.
Blast-furnace 

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   

Historic Record High 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 2*F - 1989

 

The damage around here from the Tuesday derecho is almost like a slightly watered down version of the 8/10/2020 derecho that ravaged Iowa and areas eastward.  The max wind gusts on Tuesday seem to have been less than the 2020 derecho and there will also probably end up being less tornadoes, but the widespread nature of the tree damage is the worst that I've ever seen in this area.  It's kind of like a 30 mile wide EF1 tornado went through.

fwiw, the 8/10/2020 storm reports compared to Tuesday's storm reports

200810_rpts.gif.710142524e0f6edc8b280610cefcfdc1.gif

 

260811_rpts.gif

I didn't get video of the storm, so been looking around trying to find a good one.  This video is pretty representative of what it looked like outside my window.  It wasn't a quick burst of wind either.  The really high winds went on for a good 10-15 minutes.  Almost felt like being in a hurricane.

https://www.instagram.com/reel/Db9FeENBSrz/?igsh=MWhkbzl1ZXZ2cWkwNA==

I hit 100 today with a max heat index of 113.  It's still 97 atm and I look to push the 100 degree mark again tomorrow.

The Chiefs have a preseason game in KC at 3 on Saturday.  I'm not sure who in the NFL thought it was a good idea to schedule a 3pm game in KC in the middle of August but they should be fired! Temps are forecasted to be 101 at kickoff. 

9 hours ago, Clinton said:

I hit 100 today with a max heat index of 113.  It's still 97 atm and I look to push the 100 degree mark again tomorrow.

The Chiefs have a preseason game in KC at 3 on Saturday.  I'm not sure who in the NFL thought it was a good idea to schedule a 3pm game in KC in the middle of August but they should be fired! Temps are forecasted to be 101 at kickoff. 

That would suck-- but with the heat S of much of IOWA - we are in the ring of fire for heavy rain N of you.  WPC has us in "moderate" risk for flooding for y-day for day 2- something that only happens once every 2-3 years for C.IA  according to the PM discussion yday from DMX/

Pushing 4" totals for the last 24 hours. Yearly totals are well over 31" for most of C.IA and will approach the 34-36" threshold soon (which is the FULL  yearly avg). Another sign of added water vapor in the atmosphere (at least here) as the last 3 July's here (24-25 and 26') have ALL  placed in the top 10 wettest since 1878. August may well  join the crowd as pushing now 5" from KDSM through 4am on the 14th. Don't know if I want the heat and drought or the near avg temps and constant sump pump running. Might as well make another Top 10 wet month for this AUG> well on the way. Funny that August out of the 3 summer months doesn't really show a trend either way with extreme precip yet it avg's more precip than July. (that will be changing next 30 year climo cycle update)  Records below are for KDSM for the Month of August. 

image.thumb.png.f9a3d324afd0d501fe1b9b7eadf90b39.png

 

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

 

Meanwhile - Fairbanks, AK is having it's coolest year on record in 54 years through 8/1. This NINO is not showing it's cards YET for AK.  I'am sure it will, but it better hurry up.  It's funny reading social media posts from AK that summer never happened etc. because last winter was so severe and now the "Nino" that is doing little of nothing up there. 

 

 

Screenshot 2026-08-14 at 05-08-57 Facebook.png

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

  • Author

Good morning.  Here in NW Grand Rapids it is clear, it is somewhat humid with a air temperature of 67 and a DP of 66 and there is a lot of dew on the ground. Once again the heavy rain was to out south yesterday and last night.  Today looks to be sunny and warm with highs in the mid 80’s tonight it will stay warm with lows in the upper 60’s Saturday and Sunday will see a rather good chance of some rain and possible rumble of thunder the clouds and rain will keep highs around 80 and on Saturday the lows should stay around 70. Monday thru Thursday will see cooler temperatures with highs only in the 70’s and lows in the upper50’s to low 60’s there could be another chance of showers on Wednesday.

 Detailed Forecast for Grand Rapids

Today

Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. East northeast wind 5 to 7 mph.

Tonight

Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. East wind 3 to 7 mph.

Saturday

A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 4pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. East southeast wind 7 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday Night

Showers and thunderstorms likely before 5am, then a chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 70. East southeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Sunday

A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. West wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Sunday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.

Monday

Sunny, with a high near 79.

Monday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 58.

Tuesday

Sunny, with a high near 79.

Tuesday Night

A chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64.

Wednesday

A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77.

Wednesday Night

A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.

Thursday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.

The climate report for August 13th at Grand Rapids. The official H/L was 79/66 there were 8 CDD’s, there was a trace of rainfall, the highest wind gust was only 11MPH out of the NE, weather conditions reported were light rain and dense fog.  For today the average H/L is 81/62 the record high of 96 was in 1944 the coolest high of 65 was in 1929 the record low of 41 was in 1964 the warmest low of 75 was in 1995 and 1988. The most rainfall of 3.61” was in 1987. Last year the H/L was 83/64.

Some weather history for August 14th 1936, Temperatures across much of eastern Kansas soared above 110 degrees. Kansas City MO hit an all-time record high of 113 degrees. It was one of sixteen consecutive days of 100 degree heat for Kansas City. During that summer there were a record 53 days of 100 degree heat, and during the three summer months Kansas City received just 1.12 inches of rain. (The Kansas City Weather Almanac) 1988, Eighteen cities in the northeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, and the water temperature at Lake Erie reached a record 80 degrees. Portland ME reported a record fourteen straight days of 80 degree weather. Milwaukee WI reported a record 34 days of 90 degree heat for the year. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms resulted in about fifty reports of severe weather in the northeastern U.S. One person was killed at Stockbridge MI when a tornado knocked a tree onto their camper. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) and here in Grand Rapids, 1987, A total of 3.61 inches of rain falls at Grand Rapids, making this the second wettest August day on record and contributing to a record monthly total of 8.46 inches.

 

This is quite fascinating to see in mid August and not the most ideal day to witness seeing this on radar, well, bc it's the practice day for the Air & Water Show.  Check this out....here is the current wind profile over the GL's region...solid NE FLOW!  

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-89.02,42.72,5206/loc=-87.969,42.039

Local LOT radar has a lake effect band of rain tracking into Lake county...

August14thLOTRadarLoop.thumb.gif.937d5accee836e9a86da0e500246b0d4.gif

 

This set up gives me Winter Storm vibes....

image.png.b17ebc60c42e17f3bd37f0c864303c2c.png

I feel bad for my Chicago peeps and the way the weekend weather is turning out to be for the Air & Water Show.  It really sucks bc people plan the whole year for this show and look forward to seeing the jets and all sorts of choppers, boats, etc at North Ave beach.   I hope somehow nature can squeeze in a few hours of clearer skies later Today & Sunday to make it happen!

Largely missed out on the training of heavy rain last night, so that's good.  My friend has a significant amount of water in the basement though (was able to track down a generator but the sump pump is failing.  smh)

Local utility company has not even been able to give community-level assessments as to when power may be restored in various areas.  It is being gradually restored but a huge number are still without power, including me.  They say that 90% of their service area should be restored by the end of Tuesday, barring complications from any new rounds of storms.

Guidance is suggesting more rain on the way, but unsure exactly where it will lay out.  There's a play where the heaviest rain tomorrow could actually go just north of here, but that's uncertain.  

From LOT.  This is interesting

 

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 130 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

...THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING TONIGHT...

Early afternoon surface charts depict an elongated stationary
front extending from central Virginia along the Ohio River
northwestward toward Kansas City, Missouri. A series of mid-
level perturbations are riding along and north as the front as
evident by festering areas of showers and thunderstorms from
Omaha, Nebraska to Indianapolis, Indiana. The western-most
perturbation (near Omaha) is the strongest in the region, as
demonstrated by broad anticyclonic upper-level venting depicted in
mid-level water vapor imagery as well as a clear cyclonic low-
level circulation (a "warm-core" low) being sampled by both
KOAX/KDMX WSR-88D radars.

This evening, the Omaha warm-core low pressure system will
shift eastward and encounter an increasingly unstable airmass
(MUCAPE > 3000 J/kg) across southern Iowa. Rapid thunderstorm
development and associated regions of latent heat release will
be poised to intensify the warm core low west of the Mississippi
River by midnight, leading to augmented low-level moisture
transport north of the stalled front and into the circulation.
Intense moisture convergence will lead to unusually high
tropical-like moisture values with mean PWATs forecasted to
approach 2.5" (near all-time records per sounding climatology at
ILX/DVN) ahead of the low. Taken altogether, a cluster of
thunderstorms with intense rain rates (3 to 5"/hr) is expected
to develop and move into northern Illinois during the pre-dawn
hours of Saturday morning. (This process is not unlike how
tropical systems intensify and produce intense rain rates).

While the center of the warm core low is expected to track more
or less along the I-88 or I-80 corridors during the morning
hours, the west-to-east orientation axis of the instability axis
south of the core should promote the highest coverage of
thunderstorms near and south of I-80. The thunderstorms are
expected to reach the I-39 corridor sometime in the 1 to 3 AM
timeframe, and then the I-55 and I-57 corridors sometime in the
2 to 5 AM timeframe, and then northwestern Indiana after 5 AM.
The back edge of thunderstorms would then work eastward through
the area after daybreak, perhaps not clearing northwestern
Indiana until the 10 AM to 1 PM timeframe.

Yeah that looks like the 2020 derecho that hit us.  Lost 70% of our tree canopy and just now starting to get it back.  Good luck over there!

  • Author

Good morning.  Here in NW Grand Rapids it is cloudy and 70. Today and tonight looks to be mostly cloudy with a high today around 80 and a low tonight around 70 there is just a slight chance of a shower.  Sunday there is a better chance of showers and thunder with a high in the low 80’s Sunday night through Tuesday look to be sunny and mild with highs around 80 and lows around 60, Tuesday night into Wednesday rain chances increase. It now looks to cool down the rest of the week.

Detailed Forecast For Grand Rapids

Today

A 20 percent chance of showers after 8am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. East southeast wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

Tonight

A 20 percent chance of showers before midnight. Patchy fog after 1am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. East southeast wind 3 to 7 mph.

Sunday

Showers and thunderstorms likely before 1pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Light southwest wind becoming west northwest 6 to 11 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Sunday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 62. North wind 5 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Monday

Sunny, with a high near 80. North wind 3 to 8 mph. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

Monday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 60.

Tuesday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 81.

Tuesday Night

A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65.

Wednesday

Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77.

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57.

Thursday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 55.

Friday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.

Climate summery for August 14th at Grand Rapids. The official H/L was 82/65 there were 9 CDD’s there was no rainfall and the highest wind gust was just 15MPH out of the E.  weather conditions reported were fog.  For today the average H/L is 81/62 the record high of 97 was in 1944 the coolest high of 64 was in 1905 the record low of 42 was in 1964 the warmest low of 73 was in 1938 the most rainfall of 1.35” was in 1986.  Last year the H/L was 88/64.

Some weather history.  At Grand Rapids August 1964 started off on the hot side with 4 days in a row with highs of 90 or better including record highs of 98 on the 2nd and 100 on the 3rd the high of 100 was the last time it has reached 100 in August. But later in the month there were 20 days in a row of below average temperatures and in that time there were record lows of 41 on the 14th and 42 on the 15th the high of 63 on the 14th was the coolest high for that date. The month ended up with a mean of 67.3 and that is a departure from average of -3.8.

 

 

Today should be the last day of the extreme heat for my area.  The ridge is getting beat down and several fronts look to push through next week.  Lots of 80s showing up.

45 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Today should be the last day of the extreme heat for my area.  The ridge is getting beat down and several fronts look to push through next week.  Lots of 80s showing up.

I'm really diggin' the amplified flow as it allows the troughs to dig and create one of the better Monsoonal flows out here that tend to end up delivery sustained chances of precip.

Great weather today with comfortable humidity and temperatures not too far from normal for mid-August. We turn wetter and a little stormy by later tomorrow into tomorrow night some spots could see upwards of an inch or so of rain. We turn sunny any by Monday with pleasant weather returning and lasting through mid-week.

image.thumb.png.e905cac2badfcfd5e1ddfbea0e0d3ec5.pngimage.thumb.png.e85829d24200e05cbe40e63404419d6f.png

Climate change is real, cyclical and not scary! There is nothing man can do to impact or change it's natural cyclical rhythms.  Of note the Chester County actual raw annual mean temperature from 1893 through 2025 shows very minor and importantly not statistically significant warming of a minor 0.04 degrees per decade since the 1890's. We are in a warmer cycle - however there is no evidence of a "climate emergency" or "existential threat to man!" Climate remains a physical system, not a belief or proposition. When you hear claims that “the science is settled,” remember that the science is built on data that has been repeatedly altered. The raw numbers are not allowed to speak for themselves. They are processed, adjusted, and homogenized until they say what the narrative demands. Real science welcomes scrutiny of its raw data. Climate science hides it behind a wall of algorithms. That should make every curious citizen skeptical. The burden of proof is on those who claim that the warming is real and dangerous. But if the proof relies on manipulated data, then the case collapses. The art of homogenization may be sophisticated, but it cannot conceal the truth forever: the raw data does not support the alarm." We will present the raw data as the best real data available.

East Nantmeal Twp. PA Average Seasonal Snow at 685 FT ASL (2003-Present) (36.0")  Recent seasonal Snow totals 2025/26 (47.9") / 2024/25 (21.5") / 2023/24 (24.5") / 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at  https://x.com/ChescoWx and join us at the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx or on Instagram just follow us at chescoweather

NWS Forecast Office Philadelphia/Mount Holly  Skywarn® program observer CHPA-174

4 days now without power... by far the longest outage I can remember in my life.  Have never lived in an isolated area where it can sometimes take a long time to restore.  There's a wire dangling in my yard though which will require somebody to physically come out and fix, so who knows how much longer it will be.  Neighbors tree is leaning at almost a 45 degree angle toward my garage, so not gonna be parking in the garage for the forseeable future lol

That’s awful Hoosier.  We’ve gone through this many times in Texas and it changes your property, creates work, and it isn’t cheap. 
So sorry you have this ahead of you.  
With humidity it feels like 106* 
 

I’ll see 101-104* the next 4 gruesome days.  ?
 

IMG_2343.jpeg

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   

Historic Record High 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 2*F - 1989

 

8 minutes ago, Andie said:

That’s awful Hoosier.  We’ve gone through this many times in Texas and it changes your property, creates work, and it isn’t cheap. 
So sorry you have this ahead of you.  
 

I’ll see 104* the next 4 gruesome days.  ?

I've never been through a hurricane but I was thinking this must kind of be what it's like to go through one.  Been a chore trying to find gas stations and food places that are open, and those that are open have crazy long lines.  

I have a generator, but can only keep a few things running with it such as the fridge and sump pump.  House is uncomfortable but at least it hasn't been 100 degrees outside on these days post-storm.  

Hang in there, Hoosier.  
I’m sure they have emergency crews from nearby counties to pitch in. 

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   

Historic Record High 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 2*F - 1989

 

2 hours ago, Andie said:

Hang in there, Hoosier.  
I’m sure they have emergency crews from nearby counties to pitch in. 

I've seen out of state crews from as far away as Florida.  

Was helping my mom with cleanup and since her area is (was) loaded with trees, it provides a striking before and after comparison.  First image is a google map view from a couple years ago and the second is a picture that I took.  That area was JUST south of an EF-1 tornado that was embedded in the derecho, but honestly, the straight line wind damage looked as bad if not a little worse than the tornado damage from what I saw.

Screenshot_20260815_153500_Maps.thumb.jpg.0d30c68b37b6b4f7af7c74305b8a4cc7.jpg

20260815_151024.thumb.jpg.3bb491bea88771b5687f337d83a3877e.thumb.jpg.ac8aded966c89f5e814be2f284472346.jpg

 

OMG!  
Hang in there, Hoosier.  
I’m sure they have emergency crews from nearby counties to pitch in. 

The recovery will be long. So sorry those beautiful trees were lost. 
Beautiful lane.  

Edited by Andie

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   

Historic Record High 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 2*F - 1989

 

  • Author

Good morning.  My wife and I are going on a road trip and will be out of town from later today to Friday. We will be in Pittsburg and have tickets to see the Tigers games there. I will post some information depending on how good the internet connection is.  Here in NW Grand Rapids it is cloudy with some light rain and a early morning temperature of 74. The heaver rain is just to the south of my location.

Detailed Forecast For Grand Rapids

Today

A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Light and variable wind becoming west 6 to 11 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph.

Tonight

Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.

Monday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. Northwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

Monday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 61. West northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Tuesday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. West southwest wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.

Tuesday Night

Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2am, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Wednesday

A 30 percent chance of showers before 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.

Wednesday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 55.

Thursday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.

Friday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.

Friday Night

A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61.

Saturday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.

Climate report for August 15th The official H/L at Grand Rapids was 77/68 there were 8 CDD’s there was a trace of rainfall the highest wind gust was 20 MPH out of the E. weather events reported were light rain, fog.  For today the average H/L is 81/62 the record high of 99 was in 1913 the coolest high of 71 was in 2001,1924, and 1918. The warmest low of 74 was in 1913 the most rainfall of 1.74” was in 2016. Last year the H/L was 90/69.

Some weather history for August 196th 1987, Afternoon and evening thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather from Oklahoma to Wisconsin and Lower Michigan. Thunderstorms in central Illinois produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Springfield which toppled two large beer tents at the state fair injuring 58 persons. Thunderstorms also drenched Chicago IL with 2.90 inches of rain, making August 1987 their wettest month of record. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) the next year 1988, Thunderstorms developing along a slow moving cold front produced severe weather from North Dakota to Lower Michigan during the day. Nine tornadoes were sighted in North Dakota, and thunderstorms also produced hail three inches in diameter at Lakota ND, and wind gusts to 83 mph at Marais MI. Thirty-seven cities in the northeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Rockford IL with a reading of 104 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

 

 

A noisy thunderstorm passed through this morning but it was more bark than bite.  I picked up .19 inches of rain and I think that will be all I get.  Cooler temps on the way tomorrow with highs in the mid 80s.

Some showers are around this morning and will likely increase in coverage later in the day into this evening. We should see some sun returning tomorrow but still a chance of additional showers. Total rain amounts look to be from 0.50" to 1.00" with the higher amounts likely over Western Chester County and into Lancaster County. Tuesday and Wednesday look like great weather with sunny skies and low humidity with temperatures slightly below normal for the middle of August.

image.thumb.png.a9751c71390545ef198773aa0b8ab216.pngimage.thumb.png.c5341c8fec429d354a2af6af0aa542b7.png

Climate change is real, cyclical and not scary! There is nothing man can do to impact or change it's natural cyclical rhythms.  Of note the Chester County actual raw annual mean temperature from 1893 through 2025 shows very minor and importantly not statistically significant warming of a minor 0.04 degrees per decade since the 1890's. We are in a warmer cycle - however there is no evidence of a "climate emergency" or "existential threat to man!" Climate remains a physical system, not a belief or proposition. When you hear claims that “the science is settled,” remember that the science is built on data that has been repeatedly altered. The raw numbers are not allowed to speak for themselves. They are processed, adjusted, and homogenized until they say what the narrative demands. Real science welcomes scrutiny of its raw data. Climate science hides it behind a wall of algorithms. That should make every curious citizen skeptical. The burden of proof is on those who claim that the warming is real and dangerous. But if the proof relies on manipulated data, then the case collapses. The art of homogenization may be sophisticated, but it cannot conceal the truth forever: the raw data does not support the alarm." We will present the raw data as the best real data available.

East Nantmeal Twp. PA Average Seasonal Snow at 685 FT ASL (2003-Present) (36.0")  Recent seasonal Snow totals 2025/26 (47.9") / 2024/25 (21.5") / 2023/24 (24.5") / 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at  https://x.com/ChescoWx and join us at the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx or on Instagram just follow us at chescoweather

NWS Forecast Office Philadelphia/Mount Holly  Skywarn® program observer CHPA-174

This rainy pattern keeps delivering here, another 0.70” of rain this morning in my backyard and now this marks the 5th straight day of measurable rain here (over 4” for the week).

What a turnaround, went from moderate drought conditions in the area to water logged fields and yards in less than two weeks. And looks like there’s more rain and storms to come next week!

Currently 103*   Not a cloud

???

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   

Historic Record High 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 2*F - 1989

 

Just an FYI for those that may be interested. I have added a few additional stations to join the few we already have included that are while not in Chester county are close to the Chester County border and meets our area description. Some are only historical like NWS COOP locations for Pottstown which has precipitation and snow only while New Holland NWS COOP in Lancaster County is temperatures, precipitation and snow. Below are all stations not in Chester County - some are as close as 400 feet such as at Octoraro Lake , All other stations with the exception of New Holland are within 2 miles of the Chester County border. Also attached is a map with all current and historical stations included for reference.

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Climate change is real, cyclical and not scary! There is nothing man can do to impact or change it's natural cyclical rhythms.  Of note the Chester County actual raw annual mean temperature from 1893 through 2025 shows very minor and importantly not statistically significant warming of a minor 0.04 degrees per decade since the 1890's. We are in a warmer cycle - however there is no evidence of a "climate emergency" or "existential threat to man!" Climate remains a physical system, not a belief or proposition. When you hear claims that “the science is settled,” remember that the science is built on data that has been repeatedly altered. The raw numbers are not allowed to speak for themselves. They are processed, adjusted, and homogenized until they say what the narrative demands. Real science welcomes scrutiny of its raw data. Climate science hides it behind a wall of algorithms. That should make every curious citizen skeptical. The burden of proof is on those who claim that the warming is real and dangerous. But if the proof relies on manipulated data, then the case collapses. The art of homogenization may be sophisticated, but it cannot conceal the truth forever: the raw data does not support the alarm." We will present the raw data as the best real data available.

East Nantmeal Twp. PA Average Seasonal Snow at 685 FT ASL (2003-Present) (36.0")  Recent seasonal Snow totals 2025/26 (47.9") / 2024/25 (21.5") / 2023/24 (24.5") / 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at  https://x.com/ChescoWx and join us at the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx or on Instagram just follow us at chescoweather

NWS Forecast Office Philadelphia/Mount Holly  Skywarn® program observer CHPA-174

Power is finally back on here!  So nice.  But there have been some folks getting power back and then losing it again, so not going to get overly confident yet.

It’s going to be one of those summers. 
86* at 11pm

They changed the high for tomorrow to 105* -hurrah ?

 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   

Historic Record High 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 2*F - 1989

 

Interesting - maybe I should have put this in the El Nino page?

https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=1605421977607800&set=a.226681998815145

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from AI -

 
 
 

You said: did it snow on mauna kea from hurricane Lala

did it snow on mauna kea from hurricane Lala
 
 
 
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Yes, Hurricane Lala brought rare summer snow to the nearly 14,000-foot summit of Mauna Kea in Hawaii, alongside wind gusts reaching 140 mph and wind chills dropping into the teens.
 
Storm Impacts on Mauna Kea
  • Snowfall: The hurricane provided massive tropical moisture, which turned into snow due to freezing temperatures at the high elevation.
  • Winds: The summit experienced fierce blizzard conditions with wind gusts up to 140 mph.
  • Context: Read more about the storm's impact on the Fox Weather Live Updates or check out an analysis on Forbes. [1, 2, 3]
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  • image.png.b6434741082b3252c8aca5660f0d8ebc.png
    Facebook·FOX Weather
     
    TROPICAL SNOW ❄️: Rain, wind and snow? Tropical Storm ...
    SNOW on top of Maunakea in Hawaii with Hurricane Lala! ... Hurricane #Lala is currently producing SNOW on the summit of Mauna Kea ...
    image.png.be4e33ab75b02f31cd004150f3275deb.png
     
    0:09
  •  
  •  
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
is this the first time A tropical system has brought snow to Hawaii in Aug
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Yes, this is an exceptionally rare historical event, as a tropical system delivering snow to Hawaii in August is virtually unheard of. [1, 2]
While the nearly 14,000-foot summits of Mauna Kea and Mauna Loa regularly see snow during non-tropical winter storms (such as "Kona Lows"), the phenomenon happening during a tropical cyclone in the peak of summer is unprecedented in modern records. [1, 2, 3, 4]
 
Why This Event is Unique
  • Unusual Timing: Snow on the summits usually happens during winter. August is the warmest time of the year for the islands, making snow extremely out of season. [1, 2, 3, 4]
  • The Perfect Formula: As reported by Fox Weather, Hurricane Lala pumped an immense amount of deep tropical moisture directly upward into freezing, high-altitude temperatures, creating heavy, wind-driven snow rather than rain. [, 2]
  • Historic Precedent: According to meteorological analysis published by Forbes, the overall behavior of the storm was highly unusual, with Lala's eyewall directly impacting the Big Island in a way not seen since 1871. [1]

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

There will be some thunderstorms in the area tomorrow night with lots of uncertainty as to where they will be.  Today is going to be wonderful with highs in the low to mid 80s.  Its currently 70 and it feels great after the last few weeks 

From EAX 

Severe thunderstorms are possible Tuesday afternoon into the overnight hours. This is a fairly large time frame for this potential, but there is considerable uncertainty in how this severe storm potential will unfold. Storms are likely northwest of the area Monday night – Tuesday morning. There are a couple of scenarios on how this system affects our storm potential. 1) The upstream cluster of storms maintains itself and moves into NW MO/NE KS early in the afternoon. 2) The upstream system weakens as it moves into NW MO/ NE KS and lays out an outflow boundary that provides a focus for storm development in the area later in the afternoon and into the evening. These details likely won’t be resolved until early Tuesday, so be sure to check for updates regarding the storm potential.

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A general 1" to 3" of rain fell across the area yesterday and overnight with 3.18" recorded at the Warwick DEOS. We could see some sun retrun this afternoon with a slight chance of a shower toward evening before we clear out and see a couple great weather days both tomorrow and Wednesday. Humidity should also be less through mid-week. Shower chances return later Thursday afternoon and through the start of the weekend.

image.thumb.png.bdb73f735809a738e1d5e50030d3690a.pngimage.thumb.png.1c494884c4653936735bdd549617e341.png

Climate change is real, cyclical and not scary! There is nothing man can do to impact or change it's natural cyclical rhythms.  Of note the Chester County actual raw annual mean temperature from 1893 through 2025 shows very minor and importantly not statistically significant warming of a minor 0.04 degrees per decade since the 1890's. We are in a warmer cycle - however there is no evidence of a "climate emergency" or "existential threat to man!" Climate remains a physical system, not a belief or proposition. When you hear claims that “the science is settled,” remember that the science is built on data that has been repeatedly altered. The raw numbers are not allowed to speak for themselves. They are processed, adjusted, and homogenized until they say what the narrative demands. Real science welcomes scrutiny of its raw data. Climate science hides it behind a wall of algorithms. That should make every curious citizen skeptical. The burden of proof is on those who claim that the warming is real and dangerous. But if the proof relies on manipulated data, then the case collapses. The art of homogenization may be sophisticated, but it cannot conceal the truth forever: the raw data does not support the alarm." We will present the raw data as the best real data available.

East Nantmeal Twp. PA Average Seasonal Snow at 685 FT ASL (2003-Present) (36.0")  Recent seasonal Snow totals 2025/26 (47.9") / 2024/25 (21.5") / 2023/24 (24.5") / 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at  https://x.com/ChescoWx and join us at the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx or on Instagram just follow us at chescoweather

NWS Forecast Office Philadelphia/Mount Holly  Skywarn® program observer CHPA-174

Happy Monday team!  Lotta stuff going in the weather world, none more so important, than the abundant moisture being advertised by the models over the Great Plains (where the farmers need it most).   @Bryan1117you got the magnet and the hot hand of late my friend!  It looks like the patter will keep on, comin' on!

I'm going to drop a post in the Niño thread for what is looking like congruent agreement amongst the global models for a wild and active start to the new LRC.

 

 

We’ll see 105/106* Mon, Tues, Wed.  
I really dislike La Nina’s.  It’s truly unbearable. 

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   

Historic Record High 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 2*F - 1989

 

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