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Posted

Fog lurking to my north as I was driving into work. Spooky. 

IMG_2931.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted

Overnight models hinting the Western Pacific tropics are getting injected into the main jet and it's a wrap on summer heat for the northwest.

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Posted
7 minutes ago, GobBluth said:

Overnight models hinting the Western Pacific tropics are getting injected into the main jet and it's a wrap on summer heat for the northwest.

AIFS ens holds that off until august 27th. So hopefully my beef steak tomatoes can have time to ripen.

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Posted
16 hours ago, MossMan said:

Brrr. 

IMG_2926.jpeg

A cold/dry period at some point in mid-late fall seems like a pretty decent bet in a Niño like this.

In 2002 Eugene had a 17°F low on Halloween, then a 16°F and 17°F the next two days. After that cold snap, it never dropped below 25° again that winter.

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Posted
3 hours ago, Phil said:

:lol: Alright, two can play this game.

IMG_0723.jpeg

That’s absolutely from an old Mentos commercial.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Posted

Record rainfall today
In my 16 years of weather records here in Battle Ground, this morning is the first time I've ever recorded any precipitation falling (drizzle this morning) on today's date.

So now the 24th is the only other day this month where I've never see any precip falling.

  • Like 2
Posted
12 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

Yikes on the fire starts over here, I hope they're soakers

Any details on this available yet? Curious about timing, location and if it’s dry lightning. Was hopeful our fire season was winding down and the air would be clean for Hood to Coast next week. 

Posted
7 minutes ago, SunAndSnow said:

Any details on this available yet? Curious about timing, location and if it’s dry lightning. Was hopeful our fire season was winding down and the air would be clean for Hood to Coast next week. 

Looks like a pretty decent shot of lightning for the west side Friday into Saturday east of the mountains Friday-Sunday.

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-lightning_density_last6-1787119200-1787400000-1787529600-20.gif

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Posted
3 hours ago, GobBluth said:

Overnight models hinting the Western Pacific tropics are getting injected into the main jet and it's a wrap on summer heat for the northwest.

I wish we had a La Nina. Like the good times. Hopefully next winter.

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Posted

image.png

image.png

image.png

 

So just a few more days of summer evening warmth before we see some divergence and a shot at cooler nights. Looks like the last quarter of August is convective too.

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Posted
1 hour ago, SeattleSmokeLayerFan said:

I wish we had a La Nina. Like the good times. Hopefully next winter.

I mean next year looks pretty great if you're looking to cleanse the world with fire.

Posted
50 minutes ago, fubario said:

Cap. That's one of the Hanson bros

Mmmmmmmmmmmm… I see.

 

Bop.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Posted
1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

Mmmmmmmmmmmm… I see.

 

Bop.

 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted

Friday night through Sunday is looking good for thunderstorms PDX northward. It appears models are settling in on a more negatively tilted solution, rather than the more open wave looking trough the GFS had been peddling for a while.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 56.25"

-- Lake City, Seattle (LC) --

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24: 0.25"

-2024-25: 4.75"

-- Ballard, Seattle (B) --

-2025-26: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; March 13th, 2026 (B)

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 (LC)

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 (LC)

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 (LC)

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 (LC)

Posted
Just now, MossMan said:

 

IMG_2934.jpeg

I usually get Kurt Cobain or Mitch Hedberg comparisons, but I can see the vision here

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 56.25"

-- Lake City, Seattle (LC) --

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24: 0.25"

-2024-25: 4.75"

-- Ballard, Seattle (B) --

-2025-26: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; March 13th, 2026 (B)

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 (LC)

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 (LC)

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 (LC)

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 (LC)

Posted

image.png

That's classic.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 56.25"

-- Lake City, Seattle (LC) --

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24: 0.25"

-2024-25: 4.75"

-- Ballard, Seattle (B) --

-2025-26: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; March 13th, 2026 (B)

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 (LC)

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 (LC)

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 (LC)

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 (LC)

Posted
35 minutes ago, MossMan said:

 

IMG_2934.jpeg

Funny story: My mom took me to one of their concerts in 1994. The show sucked...(They were late to stage and horrible sound for the show)

Then, on the way home, we were involved in an accident with a drunk driver. (Who I found out many years later was a traffic safety engineer) like, really???

(Thankfully, no major injuries) 

 

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Posted
44 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I usually get Kurt Cobain or Mitch Hedberg comparisons, but I can see the vision here

Dude, if you're even remotely as funny as Mitch Hedburg, then you and I can be friends. 

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Posted

Latest storm net:

 

Honestly happy you're getting 1 good t-storm outbreak by the looks of it. The WV has had 5 good days, so you getting your 2nd is good. 

Screenshot_20260819_155142_StormNet.jpg

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Posted
18 minutes ago, Tanis Leach said:

Latest storm net:

 

Honestly happy you're getting 1 good t-storm outbreak by the looks of it. The WV has had 5 good days, so you getting your 2nd is good. 

Screenshot_20260819_155142_StormNet.jpg

My dog is not happy to be in the yellow. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted

A new day, a new fire. 

IMG_2935.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted

Looking pretty good for thunderstorms across the 12z and 18z runs overall this weekend. Has been a good year for thunderstorms after 2025 was pretty much the opposite. 

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2026 warm season stats

Max temp-97

+80s-35

+85s-17

+90s-6

                       

 

Posted
11 minutes ago, SeattleSmokeLayerFan said:

More lightning for SWBC again while it rug pulls south of I-90?

You never know with the convective stuff. Can always just end up busting day of. 

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2026 warm season stats

Max temp-97

+80s-35

+85s-17

+90s-6

                       

 

Posted

The Mariners have a touchdown so far and have held the Brewers to a field goal! 
Much better so far.

Anyhow, another nice day it was! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted
3 hours ago, Jbolin said:

Dude, if you're even remotely as funny as Mitch Hedburg, then you and I can be friends. 

 

IMG_2084.jpeg

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Posted
5 minutes ago, KeyPeninsula_Wx said:

You never know with the convective stuff. Can always just end up busting day of. 

July's event in Seattle was an overperformance of convective appetizers weakly modeled over the south sound/olympics. The main band fired off that night and drifted over Vancouver BC as expected.

Point being, convective stuff is often a crapshoot. I'm hopeful we'll see lightning here

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 56.25"

-- Lake City, Seattle (LC) --

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24: 0.25"

-2024-25: 4.75"

-- Ballard, Seattle (B) --

-2025-26: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; March 13th, 2026 (B)

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 (LC)

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 (LC)

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 (LC)

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 (LC)

Posted
On 8/17/2026 at 3:12 PM, Meatyorologist said:

Epic snow microclimate, CZ and strait squall exposure, limited tourist activity, high elevation, within a couple hours of N Cascades, Seattle, Canada, San Juans, Olympic ntl Park, and most importantly Fraser outflow. You have it pretty awesome here! Only Tim has it better climate-wise

Wyoming is a big place. Where were you thinking anyways? If it were up to me I'd choose the Cheyenne area for the interesting climate stuff, and vicinity to Denver

I'd say better than Tim's 

Posted
15 minutes ago, Make -PNA Great Again said:

Byooteeful wx today.  Went paddling on Quake Lake after work.

778568574_10243997598693213_650727825655

775817534_10243997598573210_587077852819

778226768_10243997623693838_515784111175

  So cool there and interesting to read all about that place.  It's beautiful.

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Posted
37 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

July's event in Seattle was an overperformance of convective appetizers weakly modeled over the south sound/olympics. The main band fired off that night and drifted over Vancouver BC as expected.

Point being, convective stuff is often a crapshoot. I'm hopeful we'll see lightning here

I just want some rain

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PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2025-2026 Snow Total: 2.5” (5 snowfalls)

Posted
1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

July's event in Seattle was an overperformance of convective appetizers weakly modeled over the south sound/olympics. The main band fired off that night and drifted over Vancouver BC as expected.

Point being, convective stuff is often a crapshoot. I'm hopeful we'll see lightning here

Are you talking about 7/16 or 7/22? 

2026 warm season stats

Max temp-97

+80s-35

+85s-17

+90s-6

                       

 

Posted

Even without much meaningful rain on the horizon for now fall is definitely getting closer in other ways. We’ve lost about 2 hours of daylight since the solstice.
The probability of high end heat has gotten much lower as we enter the final 1/3rd of August…with no significant heat in sight. Lower sun angles and nearing September! 

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2026 warm season stats

Max temp-97

+80s-35

+85s-17

+90s-6

                       

 

Posted
2 hours ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

I just want some rain

You might be in a decent spot with the ULL wraparound. But those are notoriously finicky. The euro looks decent for the olympic peninsula

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 56.25"

-- Lake City, Seattle (LC) --

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24: 0.25"

-2024-25: 4.75"

-- Ballard, Seattle (B) --

-2025-26: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; March 13th, 2026 (B)

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 (LC)

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 (LC)

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 (LC)

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 (LC)

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