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October 2020 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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9 hours ago, Madtown said:

Well, its a happy October here. Sold the house as week and moving to the Northwoods of WI for good. Can't wait. Staying at the cottage for the next 5 mo. Here's to living in a snow belt! With 2 new 900 Ace's! BRING ON WINTER!!!

Congrats! My sleds weren't new, but the excitement was fantastic when I made a similar move in Sept of '90. It's a great feeling. Exactly 2 months after the move we got slammed with 15" of concrete mixer stuff. Will never forget. #goodtimes

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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10 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said:

MAJOR Southeast wind this morning. Like the debris flying type of wind, gusting to 45mph. 59.4*F. Today will be the last day in the 70s for the season.

I see per my AFD even here we are expecting "windy showers" with tomorrow's CF passage. Definitely a change from summer rain events.

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Gonna get seriously flipped on our temps again.

GRR:

Quote

Latest ensemble numerical guidance continues to suggest that high
temps by Friday and Saturday will struggle to reach the upper
40`s to perhaps lower 50`s.

 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Woke up to 63 degrees with a 61 dew, low clouds and strong south winds. Rather humid. What a weird day it’s going to be. Red flag warnings with dangerous fire conditions as the humidity tanks and the wind increases to 40 mph. Tonight a cold front comes through with winds potentially gusting to 50 mph out of the northwest. The leaves on the trees will take a beating today and tonight. Just a typical day on the Great Plains. 

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10 hours ago, Madtown said:

Fall in the northwoods!

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Excellent pics!

Did you built your house on the 900 acres or was already there. Either way, enjoy your new property. Looks awesome.

Btw: Tbh, the lake there w the reflection of the water and trees reminds me of the movie "Friday the 13th" w Jason. 

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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50 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Gonna get seriously flipped on our temps again.

GRR:

 

My highs by Friday and Saturday will most likely remain in the 40s, maybe 50F if I am lucky. Freeze and frost advisories are looking very likely amigo. A few places hitting the 20s for nighttime lows also looks like a real possibility.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Currently at 52F under partly sunny skies. Rainfall from a CF will be coming for Monday, nothing to do w Delta.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Feels like late spring outside right now, with temps soaring into the mid and upper 70's with dewpoints in the 60's. High temps look to get back in the mid and upper 80's before the cold front surges in this evening. 

Looks like our best chance for severe weather here in Eastern Nebraska since August, as we are in a slight risk. Kind of fitting that one of our most decent chances of severe weather in all of 2020 comes in mid-October... this year has proven that it can be hard to break weather patterns though, so I really wouldn't be surprised if we get missed again somehow.  

On a positive note, my COVID-19 symptoms are going away quickly and according to CDC guidelines I will be able to return to working in the field by Tuesday or Wednesday. 

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 After the first 10 days at Grand Rapids the mean so far is 52.5° that is a departure of -2.5. The high so far has been 79 and the low so far 32. At Muskegon the mean is 53.4 (departure -0.8) the highest so far 75 and the lowest 36. At Holland the mean is 52.6 (-3.4) the high 77 the lowest 36. At Lansing the mean there is 51.6 (-2.3) the high 78 and the lowest 33. To the east at Detroit their mean so far is 55.1 (-1.1) the highest so far 77 and the lowest 39. At Flint their mean is 52.8 (-0.8) the highest 77 the lowest 34. At Saginaw/Bay City the mean is 52.8 (-0.6) the highest 78 and the lowest 34. Up north at Alpena their mean 48.6 (-1.4) the highest 73 and the lowest 31. At Houghton Lake the mean so far 46.7(-2.9)  the highest 74 and the lowest 27. In the UP at The Sault the mean 48.6 (-0.9) the highest so far 66 and the lowest 34. And at Marquette the mean of 45.7 is -1.7. The highest so far this month is 74 and the lowest so far is 31 and they have reported 0.8” of snow fall so far. All major reporting locations so far this month are cooler than average and many have seen the warmest temperatures for the month.

At this time it is sunny and 66 here after a overnight low of 46.

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This is the best the radar has looked around here for a couple of months it seems like. A nice line of strong storms from South Central Nebraska up towards Minnesota. Only one severe warned cell currently west of York along Interstate 80, however it looks like we should get a decent shot of rain and thunder in the next couple of hours in Omaha. You can do it Mother Nature! 

Screenshot 2020-10-11 204404.png

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1 hour ago, snowstorm83 said:

Lancaster under a SVR warning and the line has really thickened in the past hour. 

Saw there was a 76 MPH wind gust in Lincoln. The line has hit us pretty good here with strong winds and brief heavy rains, enough to warrant a Severe Thunderstorm Warning. Only have picked up about .30 of rain so far though with a little bit more to go. However this was expected to be a quick hitter and we will take any moisture we can get. 

This has been an interesting and much needed Fall severe storm event for us around here to watch. Mother Nature finally delivered us a nice storm. 

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Impressive storm, but it looks like LNK only picked up 0.20". It was really coming down for a bit, it's a shame that's all that was squeezed out. But like what's been mentioned, we'll take what we can get. At least it's 50s and 60s for highs after the next few days. Everybody's loving it but the indian summer has overstayed it's welcome in my view. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   2018-19: 55.5"   2019-20: 17.6"   2020-21: 49.4"   2021-22: 5.1" 🤮

Average: 26"

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Happy Columbus Day and Good Monday morning!  What a week of wx that is forthcoming and congrats to those out in NE who is scored some storm action last night.  While watching the radar explode a linear line, I was hoping and praying it wouldn't fall apart for you guys.  Glad it did not.  Anyhow, hoping that same front rolls through here later today and drops some beneficial rains.

Meantime, later this week is when massive changes occur and most of us head into an extended period of BN temps along with possible snow fall and likely very cold temps for the time of year.  Many first Freezes are likely across the Sub and it may even make its way into the city proper for Chitown if not this weekend then early next week.  It's going to feel like November for many of us on here.  I'm certainly going to enjoy the next several days here as I see a couple more 70's are in the mix for Tue and Wed before the bottom drops.

 

 

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In other news, while I was flipping through the models and reading up on some financial news, I happened to come across this article that lists the Top 20 cities to live in American.  Interestingly, many of you come from these cities....https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-best-places-to-live-in-america-in-2020-2020-10-12?mod=mw_latestnews

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30 minutes ago, Tom said:

In other news, while I was flipping through the models are reading up on some financial news, I happened to come across this article that lists the Top 20 cities to live in American.  Interestingly, many of you come from these cities....https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-best-places-to-live-in-america-in-2020-2020-10-12?mod=mw_latestnews

We seem to make every best place to live list. We might just be THAT good.

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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4 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said:

OP Euro, for the first run, is siding with some of its ensemble members and showing a clipper system coming down and bringing a multi-inch snow event to both Dakotas & Minnesota early next week.

FGF mentioned this in their AFD, which is unlike them as they tend to not mention events 7 days out

Quote

There is a stark contrast between ensemble output with regards to the weekend. GEFS and ECMWF are resolving a weak shortwave with some light precipitation possible, however, the Canadian and NBM ensembles are resolving a bit more robust of a precipitation event. Both sets of ensembles are in relative agreement with any event occurring late Saturday night through Sunday. While confidence is low in the evolution of this potential event, high temperatures are trending towards sitting in the low to mid 30s for Sunday so frozen precipitation of some sort would be the likely precipitation mode. Regardless, we will continue to monitor this potential event as it moves earlier in the forecast period.

 

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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There was little rain left when the front moved through here.  I only received a few hundredths.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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On my walks over the weekend it has become very clear that the Grand Rapids area is now in the peak of the fall color. And in looking at past pictures on my phone I can say that the peak color is earlier then the past 3 Octobers. Last year the peak did not arrive here until the week of October 23 and in 2018 it was not until the week of October 26th and I have pictures of snow on the ground on October 31 2017 with leaves still on the trees.  
At this time it is cloudy and 57 here.

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CF swept through about 30 min ago and boy did it come with some gusty winds!  The leaves were blowing off the trees and the line of showers that formed actually dumped some pretty good rain for about 10 min (0.15").  Getting another round right now.  It's back to Autumn weather this afternoon with a current temp of 55F.

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5 hours ago, jaster220 said:

As seasons transition I'm honoring those who serve the public good through service in law enforcement and fire & rescue. Acting as a shield between us and harm. Some giving their lives serving and protecting. I've experienced an emergency myself and am glad for these fine Americans.

 

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Excellent pic!

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Attm, its a pleasantly mild 68F under cloudy skies.

 

Mucccccch colder by weeks end. Temps probably not getting outta the 40s for highs and lows in the 20s and 30s. Frost and Freeze warnings are looking like a real possibility.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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18 hours ago, Bryan1117 said:

This is the best the radar has looked around here for a couple of months it seems like. A nice line of strong storms from South Central Nebraska up towards Minnesota. Only one severe warned cell currently west of York along Interstate 80, however it looks like we should get a decent shot of rain and thunder in the next couple of hours in Omaha. You can do it Mother Nature! 

Screenshot 2020-10-11 204404.png

Wow....quite impressive. Cant remember when the last time I saw a line of storms like that on my radar.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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6 hours ago, Sparky said:

Same here. 0.05” is all.
 

The ash trees lost most of their leaves since yesterday while other trees remain green. 

That sugar maple photo I posted a few days ago. Well, its all but bare today even prior to this afternoon's storm. People have leaf piles at the curb already in town. Crazy fast

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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