Blizzard777 Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: we’ve managed 0.07” of drizzle so far this month. 0.03” this morning and 0.02” yesterday. Mildest morning low in awhile at 55. .02 of drizzle here. Started just after midnight. Up to .04 total for month. Currently 55* 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: we’ve managed 0.07” of drizzle so far this month. 0.03” this morning and 0.02” yesterday. Mildest morning low in awhile at 55. 0.00 here for the month. There are clouds this morning but its not foggy and its dry. Strange that SEA is still in the pea soup fog with drizzle despite the cloud tops lifting. SEA has been in thick fog for over 24 hours straight now. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 06z GFS was pretty ridgy. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 I sense a relatively dynamic set up is near with some chilly snaps and coolish over-night lows. It's going to be impressive for this time of year. Maybe even some frost on the pumpkin? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 0.00 here for the month. There are clouds this morning but its not foggy and its dry. Strange that SEA is still in the pea soup fog with drizzle despite the cloud tops lifting. SEA has been in thick fog for over 24 hours straight now. We’ve had a few hours of sun this month literally. None yesterday...and just a couple hours on Thursday and Friday afternoons. Fogs been thick this month every day. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, puyallupjon said: I sense a relatively dynamic set up is near with some chilly snaps and coolish over-night lows. It's going to be impressive for this time of year. Maybe even some frost on the pumpkin? It’d be hard to be more impressive than last October’s cold. Now THAT was actually impressive for that this time of year. I’d never had a low below 34 before October 2019...ended up with 5 freezes that month including a impressively early freeze on October 10th. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 10 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: .02 of drizzle here. Started just after midnight. Up to .04 total for month. Currently 55* Yeah drizzle was actually pretty thick when I was walking home last night. Felt like it was raining. 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 8 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: We’ve had a few hours of sun this month literally. None yesterday...and just a couple hours on Thursday and Friday afternoons. Fogs been thick this month every day. Its been sunny here from start to finish every day for the last week going back to last Sunday. That streak is broken today. Of course that streak came after rain here on 12 out of 14 days. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Its been sunny here from start to finish every day for the last week going back to last Sunday. That streak is broken today. Of course that streak came after rain here on 12 out of 14 days. Nice that you’ve gotten some sunny summer like weather up there this week. Just interesting how a bit of elevation has made a huge difference in how the weathers been the last few days. 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 8 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Nice that you’ve gotten some sunny summer like weather up there this week. Just interesting how a bit of elevation has made a huge difference in how the weathers been the last few days. Early start to the inversion season. Of course a mid-winter inversion can result in mid 30s and fog in Seattle and 60s and sun in the mountains at the same time. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fircrest Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 10 hours ago, ShawniganLake said: The gfs ensemble upgraded to the new version on the 12z Run on the 23rd. So for older sites that haven’t been updated they are still displaying the 6Z for that day. Oh, that explains it. Thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 Cloudy with a wet deck. 54 degrees. .01” so far on the day, .02” for the month, 42.28” for the year. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 0.04” now this morning. Enjoying these drizzly days. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 Another day of wall to wall sunshine here. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 Beautiful weather for some fall fishing yesterday. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Beautiful weather for some fall fishing yesterday. Beautiful. Leaves already turning there. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 Still deep green here. Not even a hint of color despite the coolest start to autumn in recent memory. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, Phil said: Still deep green here. Not even a hint of color despite the coolest start to autumn in recent memory. They don't usually start to turn there until late October, right? Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 This past week at KLMT. Warmest start to October in over 20 years, and still getting lows in the 30's. 09/27: 77/33 09/28: 84/42 09/29: 86/37 09/30: 82/38 10/01: 87/36 10/02: 86/37 10/03: 85/38 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 GFS sucks. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 21 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: This past week at KLMT. Warmest start to October in over 20 years, and still getting lows in the 30's. 09/27: 77/33 09/28: 84/42 09/29: 86/37 09/30: 82/38 10/01: 87/36 10/02: 86/37 10/03: 85/38 I do have to wonder if people over there use heat and AC in the same day. Just combed through NWS Medford data and it looks like Alturas had a 61 degree diurnal on 10/1. 91/30 spread. No airmass replacement, just pure radiational cooling. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 28 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: GFS sucks. 00z EURO went downhill in the 8-10 day range too. EPS still shows relatively cool zonal flow over us at day 10, but it appears to be a pattern where another Aleutian trough could probably pop up, pumping more mild ridging or SW flow over us. Just doesn't feel like we're in for a meaningful pattern change to cool and active IMO. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, Jesse said: 00z EURO went downhill in the 8-10 day range too. EPS still shows relatively cool zonal flow over us at day 10, but it appears to be a pattern where another Aleutian trough could probably pop up, pumping more mild ridging or SW flow over us. Just doesn't feel like we're in for a meaningful pattern change to cool and active IMO. Seems like it'll be similar to the Sept. 23-26 pattern. Couple wet fronts slide through but the ridging stays locked in over the SW ready to pounce at a moment's notice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 10 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: I do have to wonder if people over there use heat and AC in the same day. Just combed through NWS Medford data and it looks like Alturas had a 61 degree diurnal on 10/1. 91/30 spread. No airmass replacement, just pure radiational cooling. I bet some do! For a few hours around maybe 5am we have the heat run a few times, then turn it off and our windows are open from noon to midnight lol 2 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 Mild and cloudy night here. Low of 56. Currently 57 and overcast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 Tiger may have it right. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Tiger may have it right. I mean the frigid December/January is basically a done deal at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, Jesse said: I mean the frigid December/January is basically a done deal at this point. Still won't rule out perhaps a few days of brief arctic air, like we had after the 2017 snowstorms. Then it just torches a week later. Didn't take long to see snow melt in K-Falls despite the near continuous storms that winter. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Jesse said: I mean the frigid December/January is basically a done deal at this point. Hi Jim! 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Hi Jim! Can’t remember the last year he didn’t predict that. Let’s torchy October or no. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 10 minutes ago, Jesse said: Can’t remember the last year he didn’t predict that. Let’s torchy October or no. Thanks a lot. You're right . No chance it gets cold for the rest of this season. Are you happy now? Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 I think it's safe to say the question of how big of a role solar activity plays in the big picture is going to come clear over the next few decades. This solar min is proving to be incredible. Almost a year since the official minimum and the sun is still dead. Only 3 days of the past 45 have had any spots, and according to a number of metrics it's more dead now than it was a week ago. We have needed a grand minimum to answer the question of effect of solar cycles on weather and we are now getting it. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Thanks a lot. You're right . No chance it gets cold for the rest of this season. Are you happy now? Take it up with DoucheyDog, not me. I tend to agree with you that a cooler and more active pattern now bodes better for later on. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 Looks like some cool and interesting October weather coming up. I know some people don't care what I think, but that's the way it looks. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Jesse said: Yes. You're hurting me. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 Man, Matt couldn’t have set that up better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: You're hurting me. I think the models are. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, Jesse said: Man, Matt couldn’t have set that up better. Hope you guys can work things out. Try taking the nice guy route once in a while as opposed to that of the bruised, battered and bitter climate change warrior. 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 9 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I think it's safe to say the question of how big of a role solar activity plays in the big picture is going to come clear over the next few decades. This solar min is proving to be incredible. Almost a year since the official minimum and the sun is still dead. Only 3 days of the past 45 have had any spots, and according to a number of metrics it's more dead now than it was a week ago. We have needed a grand minimum to answer the question of effect of solar cycles on weather and we are now getting it. Verdict so far. We continue to roast! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 4, 2020 Report Share Posted October 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Hope you guys can work things out. Try taking the nice guy route once in a while as opposed to that of the bruised, battered and bitter climate change warrior. You know a lot about the nice guy route Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.