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October 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW


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6 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

we’ve managed 0.07” of drizzle so far this month. 0.03” this morning and 0.02” yesterday. Mildest morning low in awhile at 55. 

0.00 here for the month.   There are clouds this morning but its not foggy and its dry.   Strange that SEA is still in the pea soup fog with drizzle despite the cloud tops lifting.   SEA has been in thick fog for over 24 hours straight now. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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06z GFS was pretty ridgy. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

0.00 here for the month.   There are clouds this morning but its not foggy and its dry.   Strange that SEA is still in the pea soup fog with drizzle despite the cloud tops lifting.   SEA has been in thick fog for over 24 hours straight now. 

We’ve had a few hours of sun this month literally. None yesterday...and just a couple hours on Thursday and Friday afternoons. Fogs been thick this month every day. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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3 minutes ago, puyallupjon said:

I sense a relatively dynamic set up is near with some chilly snaps and coolish over-night lows.

It's going to be impressive for this time of year.  Maybe even some frost on the pumpkin?

It’d be hard to be more impressive than last October’s cold. Now THAT was actually impressive for that this time of year. I’d never had a low below 34 before October 2019...ended up with 5 freezes that month including a impressively early freeze on October 10th. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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10 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

.02 of drizzle here.  Started just after midnight. 
Up to .04 total for month. Currently 55*

Yeah drizzle was actually pretty thick when I was walking home last night. Felt like it was raining. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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8 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

We’ve had a few hours of sun this month literally. None yesterday...and just a couple hours on Thursday and Friday afternoons. Fogs been thick this month every day. 

Its been sunny here from start to finish every day for the last week going back to last Sunday.     That streak is broken today.

Of course that streak came after rain here on 12 out of 14 days.    

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its been sunny here from start to finish every day for the last week going back to last Sunday.     That streak is broken today.

Of course that streak came after rain here on 12 out of 14 days.    

Nice that you’ve gotten some sunny summer like weather up there this week. Just interesting how a bit of elevation has made a huge difference in how the weathers been the last few days. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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8 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Nice that you’ve gotten some sunny summer like weather up there this week. Just interesting how a bit of elevation has made a huge difference in how the weathers been the last few days. 

Early start to the inversion season.   Of course a mid-winter inversion can result in mid 30s and fog in Seattle and 60s and sun in the mountains at the same time. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Another day of wall to wall sunshine here. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Beautiful weather for some fall fishing yesterday. 

6AF20D37-793A-4448-9CA4-F06FA88E26EA.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Beautiful weather for some fall fishing yesterday. 

6AF20D37-793A-4448-9CA4-F06FA88E26EA.jpeg

Beautiful. Leaves already turning there.

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Still deep green here. Not even a hint of color despite the coolest start to autumn in recent memory.

 

image.jpeg

 

image.jpeg

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This past week at KLMT. Warmest start to October in over 20 years, and still getting lows in the 30's.

09/27: 77/33
09/28: 84/42
09/29: 86/37
09/30: 82/38
10/01: 87/36
10/02: 86/37
10/03: 85/38

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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21 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

This past week at KLMT. Warmest start to October in over 20 years, and still getting lows in the 30's.

09/27: 77/33
09/28: 84/42
09/29: 86/37
09/30: 82/38
10/01: 87/36
10/02: 86/37
10/03: 85/38

I do have to wonder if people over there use heat and AC in the same day.

Just combed through NWS Medford data and it looks like Alturas had a 61 degree diurnal on 10/1. 91/30 spread. No airmass replacement, just pure radiational cooling.

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28 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

GFS sucks.

00z EURO went downhill in the 8-10 day range too.

EPS still shows relatively cool zonal flow over us at day 10, but it appears to be a pattern where another Aleutian trough could probably pop up, pumping more mild ridging or SW flow over us.

Just doesn't feel like we're in for a meaningful pattern change to cool and active IMO.

 

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6 minutes ago, Jesse said:

00z EURO went downhill in the 8-10 day range too.

EPS still shows relatively cool zonal flow over us at day 10, but it appears to be a pattern where another Aleutian trough could probably pop up, pumping more mild ridging or SW flow over us. Just doesn't feel like we're in for a meaningful pattern change to cool and active IMO.

 

Seems like it'll be similar to the Sept. 23-26 pattern. Couple wet fronts slide through but the ridging stays locked in over the SW ready to pounce at a moment's notice.

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10 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

I do have to wonder if people over there use heat and AC in the same day.

Just combed through NWS Medford data and it looks like Alturas had a 61 degree diurnal on 10/1. 91/30 spread. No airmass replacement, just pure radiational cooling.

 

I bet some do! For a few hours around maybe 5am we have the heat run a few times, then turn it off and our windows are open from noon to midnight lol

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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7 minutes ago, Jesse said:

I mean the frigid December/January is basically a done deal at this point.

Still won't rule out perhaps a few days of brief arctic air, like we had after the 2017 snowstorms. Then it just torches a week later. Didn't take long to see snow melt in K-Falls despite the near continuous storms that winter.

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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10 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Can’t remember the last year he didn’t predict that. Let’s torchy October or no.

Thanks a lot.

You're right .  No chance it gets cold for the rest of this season.  Are you happy now?

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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I think it's safe to say the question of how big of a role solar activity plays in the big picture is going to come clear over the next few decades.  This solar min is proving to be incredible.  Almost a year since the official minimum and the sun is still dead.  Only 3 days of the past 45 have had any spots, and according to a number of metrics it's more dead now than it was a week ago.  We have needed a grand minimum to answer the question of effect of solar cycles on weather and we are now getting it.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Thanks a lot.

You're right .  No chance it gets cold for the rest of this season.  Are you happy now?

Take it up with DoucheyDog, not me.

I tend to agree with you that a cooler and more active pattern now bodes better for later on.

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Looks like some cool and interesting October weather coming up.  I know some people don't care what I think, but that's the way it looks.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, Jesse said:

Yes.

You're hurting me.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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5 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Man, Matt couldn’t have set that up better. 🤣

Hope you guys can work things out.  Try taking the nice guy route once in a while as opposed to that of the bruised, battered and bitter climate change warrior.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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9 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I think it's safe to say the question of how big of a role solar activity plays in the big picture is going to come clear over the next few decades.  This solar min is proving to be incredible.  Almost a year since the official minimum and the sun is still dead.  Only 3 days of the past 45 have had any spots, and according to a number of metrics it's more dead now than it was a week ago.  We have needed a grand minimum to answer the question of effect of solar cycles on weather and we are now getting it.

Verdict so far.  We continue to roast!

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2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Hope you guys can work things out.  Try taking the nice guy route once in a while as opposed to that of the bruised, battered and bitter climate change warrior.

You know a lot about the nice guy route :lol:

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