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October 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW


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1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Was a bust in my area. Probably never got above 20mph here. South Snohomish Co and Whatcom Co had higher winds, not sure about other areas. 

We had some gusts into the low 30s here.  Pretty solid blow for a south wind event in this area.  Usually east winds are the big deal here.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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12 minutes ago, luminen said:

Had some wind here just after noon but it didn't really amount to much. :huh:

Still waiting for a storm to outdo the August 2015 masterpiece. That was awesome in every sense of the word.

That one was a doozy! No power for two days and my old BBQ got dented. 

BA46D446-15B5-4997-B0CE-97E8314AAACF.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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GEM is better than the GFS for next week. If we  are going to play that game. 

 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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3 hours ago, AbbyJr said:

Thanks Phil! 😃

Looks like a bunch of inverted Molduga Fin's you collected. Going Molduga hunting there? https://zelda.fandom.com/wiki/Molduga_Fin

They make for  very good elixers when cooked with things that require 'monster parts' but Molduga's are a pain in the butt to kill unless you know what your doing after a lot of broken weapons later.

 

Edit: I can't find the original post of his. Also here is the music to the Moldgua. Pretty good beat! 

 The Age of Calamity (new) prequel has an even better version when you watch the Treehouse stream of the gameplay footage in the desert they Gerudo summon the Molduga using loud noises to scare away the Yiga Clan attacks and they all run away when it appears from the ground.

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Day 4 on the ECMWF shows the trough digging much further west than the GFS.  Looks good.

  • Snow 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Nice cold pool on the ECMWF on Sunday.  At least we are in the blue at that point.

 

cold.png

  • Snow 3

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Dress rehearsal for the bigger stuff later on.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Cold 850s have really arrived next Monday on this Euro run.  Much colder than last night's run.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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It's well worth noting tonight's GFS ensemble was considerably colder around the 22nd than previous runs.  Next week is shaping up to be nippy it would appear.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Brrrr by day 7.  This run looks like it will deliver some pretty cold continental air.

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  • Snow 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

00z ECMWF Day 7  :D 

500h_anom.na.png

 

Past 4 runs

trend-ecmwf-2020101400-f168.500h_anom.na.gif

The EPS has been strongly supporting this notion and even tonight's GFS was getting closer.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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First freeze incoming for those days?

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Weatherbell maps show widespread low to mid 30s next Wednesday night.  Looks like several days of solidly below normal 850s next week.  Should be enjoyable.

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  • Snow 4

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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7 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

First freeze incoming for those days?

Maybe! or close to it. I'm real eager to see how the models look once the ridge merger/block evolves HR 60 to 72(Day 2.5 to 3) Given how models have trended stronger with the merger/block and shunting the cut-off northwest of Hawaii, models might turn even colder. C'MON!!!!

 

12z ECMWF in 10 hours 46 minutes

Who's staying up?

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1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said:

Maybe! or close to it. I'm real eager to see how the models look once the ridge merger/block evolves HR 60 to 72(Day 2.5 to 3) Given how models have trended stronger with the merger/block and shunting the cut-off northwest of Hawaii, models might turn even colder. C'MON!!!!

 

12z ECMWF in 10 hours 46 minutes

Who's staying up?

Me.

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3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Actually, it is very easy not to model ride until 11/20 or so.

I can’t remember the model riding ever starting this early. Y’all are gonna be burned out by January at this rate. 😆

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4 hours ago, Omegaraptor said:

I was on Weatherwest earlier and a guy from Palm Springs said he had 143 days of 100+ this year, a new record, and that 150 is possible.

I couldn’t imagine living year round in that.

That’s literally hell on earth (for anyone not named Tim).

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11 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Maybe! or close to it. I'm real eager to see how the models look once the ridge merger/block evolves HR 60 to 72(Day 2.5 to 3) Given how models have trended stronger with the merger/block and shunting the cut-off northwest of Hawaii, models might turn even colder. C'MON!!!!

 

12z ECMWF in 10 hours 46 minutes

Who's staying up?

Night Shift Neon 1.jpg

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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11 minutes ago, Phil said:

I can’t remember the model riding ever starting this early. Y’all are gonna be burned out by January at this rate. 😆

Can't blame Jim for that one. This is squarely on me fueling it every night. Not wish-casting, but definitely model riding.

 

12z GFS in 8 hours 14 minutes

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