Jesse Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 Fog is lifting a bit here now. 45 degrees. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 42 minutes ago, Phil said: What’s the point of maintaining climate records at these locations? That's sort of my main gripe. I feel like the rampant UHI at most of the major stations makes it a lot harder to tease out long term local climate trends. It effectively muddies the picture, especially considering the most UHI afflicted stations are often the most commonly tracked and referenced with regard to local climate. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 We have had a couple years with sub 40 lows in late August. No blob those years. 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 42 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: We ended up bottoming out at 37 this morning. Easily our latest first 30s since I’ve lived here. 3 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 GFS looks pretty mild and boring. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 GFS continues to be super lame. Nothing to see here. 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: GFS continues to be super lame. Nothing to see here. Ensemble improvement. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 Gem 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 I guess we all need to remember that the GFS was showing a massive ridge sitting right on top of us from about this point forward up until a few days ago. It has since incrementally moved toward the Euro. What it is showing now would be pretty seasonable temperature wise with the ridge staying offshore. Some nice crisp fall days. Definitely not as exciting as the solutions on some other models though, which seem much more amplified/less progressive with the pattern in the GOA. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 ICON is back onboard. 1 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, Jesse said: I guess we all need to remember that the GFS was showing a massive ridge sitting right on top of us from about this point forward up until a few days ago. It has since incrementally moved toward the Euro. What it is showing now would be pretty seasonable temperature wise with the ridge staying offshore. Some nice crisp fall days. Definitely not as exciting as the solutions on some other models though, which seem much more amplified/less progressive with the pattern in the GOA. Garbage Forecasting System. Though it did catch on to the coming cold wave the first of all the models last January. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Garbage Forecasting System. Though it did catch on to the coming cold wave the first of all the models last January. It has its moments. I don’t think patterns like this are it’s wheelhouse though, due to its progressive bias. Now I will say something haughty and condescending about people who look at long range models period. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 13 minutes ago, van city said: Gem 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Garbage Forecasting System. Though it did catch on to the coming cold wave the first of all the models last January. It was laughably overaggressive with the level of digging and CAA, though. Even when it's "right" it's wrong. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 19 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: It was laughably overaggressive with the level of digging and CAA, though. Even when it's "right" it's wrong. Wait PDX didn’t have single digit highs?! 1 2 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Wait PDX didn’t have single digit highs?! Almost did on 12/30/1968! https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/or/portland/KPDX/date/1968-12-30 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Almost did on 12/30/1968! https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/or/portland/KPDX/date/1968-12-30 Unfortunately it’s not a good ENSO or solar match! 1 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 15, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 Only made it down to 43F. Gonna have to go through the record books and see if EUG has ever failed to record a reading in the 30s in October. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: Only made it down to 43F. Gonna have to go through the record books and see if EUG has ever failed to record a reading in the 30s in October. Well... still a lot of month left. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 Got down to 39 this morning. Actually felt crispy this morning 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 It’s October 15th. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, MossMan said: It’s October 15th. Ice burn. Haha. -Anthony 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 Beautiful day... 5 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I_hate_snow-Sea Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 I really hope it stays warm. I'm not ready to spend another several miserable months indoors. 1 2 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 It was 44 here at 11pm last evening, the low today was 45 recorded at midnight haha. The lowest so far this month has been the 44 at 11pm last night. 53 now and sorta sunny. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, I_hate_snow-Sea said: I really hope it stays warm. I'm not ready to spend another several miserable months indoors. 1/10 attempt 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 15, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, I_hate_snow-Sea said: I really hope it stays warm. I'm not ready to spend another several miserable months indoors. Looks like Josh is back. 1 1 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Ice burn. Haha. -Anthony Wow, Anthony. That’s a name I haven’t seen in a long time on here. What was his location again and where is he hiding now? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 12 minutes ago, I_hate_snow-Sea said: I really hope it stays warm. I'm not ready to spend another several miserable months indoors. Is this a Tim burner account? 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Wow, Anthony. That’s a name I haven’t seen in a long time on here. What was his location again and where is he hiding now? I think he went to UW with Mallow. No idea where he is now, but wherever he is the climate is warmer now than when he was a member here. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, Deweydog said: I think he went to UW with Mallow. No idea where he is now, but wherever he is the climate is warmer now than when he was a member here. And he probably wishes it was MUCH warmer/colder/wetter/drier than it is right now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, Jesse said: And he probably wishes it was MUCH warmer/colder/wetter/drier than it is right now. He would have been a very prominent downvoter. 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 I caved. For the first time since April, my heat has been turned on. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, I_hate_snow-Sea said: I really hope it stays warm. I'm not ready to spend another several miserable months indoors. Welcome to the forum!!!!!!!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 10 minutes ago, Deweydog said: I think he went to UW with Mallow. No idea where he is now, but wherever he is the climate is warmer now than when he was a member here. Mallow was mentioned in an AP story recently. Last paragraph. https://apnews.com/article/bd152cd786b58e45c61bebf2457f9930 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 15, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 5 minutes ago, dolt said: I caved. For the first time since April, my heat has been turned on. M'lady and I are still holding out. I'm like "We can make it to November, easy." She hasn't expressed those same feelings. She has slowly but surely come around to enjoying colder and snowier weather over the years. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 It's my job to post snow maps that will not happen. So here you go!!!!! 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: M'lady and I are still holding out. I'm like "We can make it to November, easy." She hasn't expressed those same feelings. She has slowly but surely come around to enjoying colder and snowier weather over the years. It's 63 in here. I'm happy with 65, but getting out of the shower at 63 is a titt nipply. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 1 minute ago, iFred said: Snow map weenies are a good thing btw I am down for some suggestions!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted October 15, 2020 Report Share Posted October 15, 2020 1 minute ago, iFred said: @SouthHillFrostywe have the NightShift, but now we need a name for the snow map weenies Some sort of model rider might work. Either that or maybe an actual weenie with some animated snow. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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