October 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW

[Tyler Mode]

Today is why I love October.  37 this morning, 61 now.  Not a cloud in the sky, fresh snow in the mountains.  Only thing I could ask is the colors be further along.

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said:

Today is why I love October.  37 this morning, 61 now.  Not a cloud in the sky, fresh snow in the mountains.  Only thing I could ask is the colors be further along.

Mostly cloudy up here and 56. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Last January was a major model fail, but the signs were there. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Up to 61F after a low of 43F. We might actually pull off our first below-average day of the month.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Last January was a major model fail, but the signs were there. 

Wasn't that like a 6-day rug-pull? There have been worse I'm sure. But last winter was the worst one since I moved to Oregon in 1989. Not a single day in winter had a sub-40 high. Only time that's ever happened.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Last January was a major model fail, but the signs were there. 

It wasn’t that bad this far north, but the further south you were, the more it sucked, and it sucked particularly badly for those south of Seattle.

The epic, top-tear, all-time record breaking cold the GFS was forecasting just was not believable. It was inevitable there was going to be some backpedaling from that.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

It wasn’t that bad this far north, but the further south you were, the more it sucked, and it sucked particularly badly for those south of Seattle.

The epic, top-tear, all-time record breaking cold the GFS was forecasting just was not believable. It was inevitable there was going to be some backpedaling from that.

I'm looking forward to that somewhat this winter. All the action the FV3 will be showing will be greatly exaggerated again and we'll all go crazy as if we have an early lead in the ballgame up a couple TDs or so.

[Jesse]

22 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

But last winter was the worst one since I moved to Oregon in 1989. Not a single day in winter had a sub-40 high. Only time that's ever happened.

Need to add this to your sig at some point.

Ironically EUG had a high in the 30s in late November last year.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just now, Jesse said:

Need to add this to your sig at some point.

Ironically EUG had a high in the 30s in late November last year.

Not meteorological winter then. And it still had fewer than 33-34 even with that bush league late Nov "event."

[Deweydog]

Front loaded on steroids.

[Jesse]

4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Not meteorological winter then. And it still had fewer than 33-34 even with that bush league late Nov "event."

There have been a handful of winters that haven’t had any sub-40 highs at PDX. I think there was a notable stretch in the early 2000s

Not sure about EUG though. I know they have more of a tendency to get fogversions down there, which is probably how they would score sub-40 highs even during most crappy winters.

[Jesse]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Front loaded on steroids.

My biggest snow event, and easily most notable cold event relative to average last year was in mid-March.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

2 minutes ago, Jesse said:

There have been a handful of winters that haven’t had any sub-40 highs at PDX. I think there was a notable stretch in the early 2000s

Not sure about EUG though. I know they have more of a tendency to get fogversions down there, which is probably how they would score sub-40 highs even during most crappy winters.

 

 

 

 

Yes the air is just a bit more still too so if we have gap wind action then it can be still down here with very light northerly gradients to where more heat radiates out into space as compared to further north.

[Jesse]

Up to 61 here now. Real stunner today. I would take another 7-10 days of this general pattern just to enjoy the fall colors. At that point would be ready for more storms the last week of October.

[Jbolin]

1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

I can find myself becoming that type of person

That's what I said nine years ago and now I'm an AARP member. (not really)

[Jbolin]

16 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Up to 61 here now. Real stunner today. I would take another 7-10 days of this general pattern just to enjoy the fall colors. At that point would be ready for more storms the last week of October.

 

[Jesse]

1 minute ago, Jbolin said:

 

Don’t know why you thought I wouldn’t take you up on a beer

[Jbolin]

1 minute ago, Jesse said:

Don’t know why you thought I wouldn’t take you up on a beer

Well I'm down if you are man?

[Deweydog]

18z looks _________.

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, iFred said:

I too am a mature adult who sees the futility in placing any emotional investment into a extrapolated weather computations who have an inherent degree of error due to our positioning on the continent. This is why I find it of the utmost importance that we not only remind those who will harm themselves with a distant frame of fantasy, but we must deride and punish those who consistently pontificate the benefits of winter’s mirage.

How’s the EPS looking???????

[Jesse]

9 minutes ago, iFred said:

I too am a mature adult who sees the futility in placing any emotional investment into an extrapolated weather computation who have an inherent degree of error due to our positioning on the continent. This is why I find it of the utmost importance that we not only remind those who will harm themselves with a distant frame of fantasy, but we must deride and punish those who consistently pontificate the benefits of winter’s mirage.

I still don’t know what to do with those tossed salads and scrambled eggs.

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Looks like an unfinished Bob Ross painting.

[Weather1011]

3 hours ago, DJ Droppin said:

12z EPS

500mb Height Anomaly. Chilly at times. Not great. Time to back pedal away from greatness? Say it ain't so. Time to put all our chips on the Canadians!

18z GFS in 48 minutes

00z GFS in 6 hours 48 minutes

00z GEM/CMC in 7 hours 20 minutes

00z ECMWF in 9 hours 5 minutes

C'MON!!!!

It is October after all.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Beautiful 58/37 day.

[Jesse]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Beautiful 58/37 day.

What type of pine is that on the middle right Andrew. 

[Jesse]

34 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

A less destructive and socially just alternative to Antifular clouds.

[TT-SEA]

Its been very wet over the last month in WA and western OR... and not so much elsewhere in the West.

 

[Jesse]

1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

18z looks _________.

ridgy.

[TacomaWaWx]

58/43...was a good amount of sunshine today as well. 

[Jesse]

62/38 day here. Morning fog and afternoon sunshine.

[TacomaWaWx]

22 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its been very wet over the last month in WA and western OR... and not so much elsewhere in the West.

 

We’ve picked up 5.04” over the last month. 

[Front Ranger]

34 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its been very wet over the last month in WA and western OR... and not so much elsewhere in the West.

 

lanina

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Jesse said:

What type of pine is that on the middle right Andrew. 

Looks like some kind of white pine.

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Its been very wet over the last month in WA and western OR... and not so much elsewhere in the West.

 

Atmospheric rivers matter

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 hours ago, Jesse said:

What type of pine is that on the middle right Andrew. 

I’ve always assumed it was a ponderosa. I’m not an expert. It’s pretty scraggly and my wife always wants me to cut it down. It’s children are growing up around it and they seem pretty healthy. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

We have had 8.59” over the past 30 days.

[Jesse]

24 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I’ve always assumed it was a ponderosa. I’m not an expert. It’s pretty scraggly and my wife always wants me to cut it down. It’s children are growing up around it and they seem pretty healthy. 

I don’t think it’s a pondy. Could be one of the several sub-species of lodgepole. They grow them all over along the freeways in NE Portland and Vancouver too and I’ve never been able to get a clear ID on one.

They do have a tendency to look a little scraggly.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, Jesse said:

I don’t think it’s a pondy. Could be one of the several sub-species of lodgepole. They grow them all over along the freeways in NE Portland and Vancouver too and I’ve never been able to get a clear ID on one.

They do have a tendency to look a little scraggly.

Lodgepole makes sense. I have a couple of those along the road that are clearly lodgepole, but they are a lot smaller and may be a different sub species. Everyone always asks if this one is dying, but it actually seems quite healthy, it has grown a lot since I have lived here. 

[Jbolin]

2 hours ago, Jesse said:

What type of pine is that on the middle right Andrew. 

Non conifer expert here but I believe the tree in question could be either a, 

Western Hemlock or Grand Fir 

Whatever it is, it looks sickly.

[Jesse]

4 minutes ago, Jbolin said:

Non conifer expert here but I believe the tree in question could be either a, 

Western Hemlock or Grand Fir 

Whatever it is, it looks sickly.

It’s definitely some sort of pine.