van city Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Euro time! 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 1 minute ago, Eujunga said: Ensemble support for that delicious -10ºC @ 850mb GFS operational run is... lackluster. Not saying it’s going to happen, but it actually looks about as solid as one could reasonably expect at that range. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Ended up with 0.28” of rain this morning. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Major snowstorm plus late “blooming” fall foliage equals what could be a tree related disaster. Speaking of trees... 1 1 1 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Just now, Deweydog said: Major snowstorm plus late blooming fall foliage equals what could be a tree related disaster. Speaking of trees... I don’t know if you heard anything about the blowdown event in the Mt. Hood area during the Labor Day windstorm, but apparently it was historic in spots. Oh and it’s not going to snow this month. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Just now, Jesse said: I don’t know if you heard anything about the blowdown event in the Mt. Hood area during the Labor Day windstorm, but apparently it was historic in spots. Oh and it’s not going to snow this month. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Just now, Deweydog said: Don’t worry no greasy fast food chains were harmed in the event 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 https://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/could-the-blob-be-putting-a-damper-on-our-autumn-leaf-colors-this-year 1 1 1 1 1 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, Eujunga said: Oh, interesting. I would have thought it was an outlier since it's the coldest member. Yeah I was really expecting the majority of the ensembles to be down around -10c in the 8-10 day range when I saw that. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 5 minutes ago, Jesse said: Don’t worry no greasy fast food chains were harmed in the event 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 13 minutes ago, Jesse said: Not saying it’s going to happen, but it actually looks about as solid as one could reasonably expect at that range. Yeah even -3/-4C would be very cold for this time of year. 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Euro is a notch better. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: We mostly cook at home. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 17, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Rooting for y’all up north for some early action! 2 2 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 1 hour ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Canadian GEM is on board. I am still skeptical. with out a SE ridge that is not going to happen 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Just now, puyallupjon said: with out a SE ridge that is not going to happen With out without this post doesn’t make much sense. 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Frost possible. 2 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 18 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Yeah even -3/-4C would be very cold for this time of year. That's pretty decent for October. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 12Z ECMWF definitely not on board with snowstorm on Friday night. It does not even show any precip on Friday and Saturday, 1 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Up to 55 here and cloudy. Just 0.01” this morning. Was another mild one this morning. Avg. low this month has been 51.7 degrees. Last years avg. low was 42 degrees but that was anomalously cold obviously compared to this years anomalously warm Lows. 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Euro gives us a decent brush with chilly air next week, but is a pretty far cry from going totally nuts like the GFS. 1 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 16 minutes ago, Eujunga said: I'm just trying to learn things here. You generally aren’t going to see the ensembles swing hugely toward such an extreme solution, especially at that range. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 7 minutes ago, Jesse said: Euro gives us a decent brush with chilly air next week, but is a pretty far cry from going totally nuts like the GFS. It looks like a nice early taste of cold air. Many shall see frost or a possible hard freeze. I'll take it. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Would be nice to see a hard freeze and get the storm train going in November. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 12Z ECMWF does not show any snow for WA... but it does show snow right where you expect snow in October in Oklahoma and Texas. 1 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF does not show any snow for WA... but it does show snow right where you expect snow in October in Oklahoma and Texas. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF does not show any snow for WA... but it does show snow right where you expect snow in October in Oklahoma and Texas. I like this because it shows snow where I am going to be during that time period. Lol 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather1011 Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 If this was a month later.. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Would be nice to see a hard freeze and get the storm train going in November. Yeah I am suddenly realizing it is looking to turn into a pretty dry last half of October. I know the usual suspects have seen some drizzle the last few days but I mean in terms of regional storminess. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 1 minute ago, Weather1011 said: If this was a month later.. it would be November 17th. 2 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 32 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF definitely not on board with snowstorm on Friday night. It does not even show any precip on Friday and Saturday, I’m shocked 1 2 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Okay historians, what’s the earliest there’s been measurable snowfall in the Puget Sound region? 1 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather1011 Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 9 minutes ago, Deweydog said: it would be November 17th. My favourite day of the year. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 6 minutes ago, jakerepp said: Okay historians, what’s the earliest there’s been measurable snowfall in the Puget Sound region? October 25th or 27th I believe. Can’t remember the exact years but I think there was one time in 1971 and another time in 1991. It’s happened a few times but not in a long time. 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said: October 25th or 27th I believe. Can’t remember the exact years but I think there was one time in 1971 and another time in 1991. It’s happened a few times but not in a long time. 1984 came to mind too. As recently as 2017, some northerners had snow in very early November if I recall. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 12Z EPS in general agreement with the 12Z ECMWF... sending the bulk of the cold air into the middle of the country next weekend as opposed to the West. 1 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 As much as I love cold and snow I hope this doesn't happen. We lost way too many non palm trees last year with an eerily similar pattern on nearly the exact same dates. 1 2 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weather_fan Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 51 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF definitely not on board with snowstorm on Friday night. It does not even show any precip on Friday and Saturday, I will go with it. This is more believable that 5 inchee in Seattle 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 13 minutes ago, Jesse said: 1984 came to mind too. As recently as 2017, some northerners had snow in very early November if I recall. We had 1/2” of snow on 11/3/17 too. 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 5 minutes ago, weather_fan said: I will go with it. This is more believable that 5 inchee in Seattle Well... -12 in Bozeman and snow in Texas and Oklahoma is also pretty unbelievable for October. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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