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October 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW


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2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Likewise. If you remember last Fall/Winter we had a lack of easterlies. We did not have a single Columbia Basin cold pool either. I certainly hope that changes this Winter.

 

00z ECMWF in 7 hours 13 minutes

We had an unusual number of early season cold east wind events late September through late October. But yeah nothing notable after that.

I still can't believe PDX pulled off a monthly MIN/MAX of 52 on September 29 last year. 

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4 minutes ago, Jesse said:

2) ;)

 

3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

2. Just because that sounds really good right about now

Yeah I just might do that. Cook up some chicken breast, season it all fancy and add to it.

2 minutes ago, van city said:

Can't go wrong with 1) after 18z.

Leaning towards the salad, but that sounds good too.... I'm way too hungry right now.

 

6z GFS in 10 hours 53 minutes

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18 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Likewise. If you remember last Fall/Winter we had a lack of easterlies. We did not have a single Columbia Basin cold pool either. I certainly hope that changes this Winter.

 

00z ECMWF in 7 hours 13 minutes

We didn’t have a single gust above 40 all of December and January.

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2C78D14A-7E19-4C79-B656-6277D43D2255.png

Early season cold again...

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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18z GFS Ensembles (850s/Precip)

Portland - Mean temp down to -5c! Majority of members -5c to -10c. Wow

ens_image.php?geoid=135728&var=201&run=1

Seattle - Mean temp down to -5c. Nearly all members -5c to -8c! Wow

ens_image.php?geoid=136221&var=201&run=1

Yakima - Mean temp down to -8c! Nearly all members dipping to -7c to -12c! WOW

ens_image.php?geoid=136300&var=201&run=1

Bozeman - Mean temp -15c! A lot of spread 24th-25th, then after good agreement members -13c to -19c(For you @Kayla!)

ens_image.php?geoid=135413&var=201&run=1

 

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Kold 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said:

Can't decide what to have for dinner.

1) Chinese Food

2) Homemade Salad, Bread

3) Popeyes

You pick

 

00z GFS in 5 hours 4 minutes

I know what I am having....

F6BE2C56-E392-4CC5-8EA3-B9454D0E8E7A.jpeg

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37 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Delightful evening.

LFG!!!!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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2 hours ago, DJ Droppin said:

18z GFS Ensembles (850s/Precip)

Portland - Mean temp down to -5c! Majority of members -5c to -10c. Wow

Seattle - Mean temp down to -5c. Nearly all members -5c to -8c! Wow

Yakima - Mean temp down to -8c! Nearly all members dipping to -7c to -12c! WOW

Bozeman - Mean temp -15c! A lot of spread 24th-25th, then after good agreement members -13c to -19c(For you @Kayla!)

 

I appreciate that very much Rob! What a frigid run for any time of the year let alone late October!

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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Nice evening

image.jpg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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19 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Have you guys ever model riden for snow this year before? Ik it’s a long shoot this year but still☃️

Easy there turbo. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Might be a good time to start thinking about checking out the NAM.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Looks like ENSO 3.4 may bottom out around -1.9C in December. Trimonthly average could get as low as -1.7C. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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3 minutes ago, Snowdrift said:

You guys will probably get your cool spring. Something like 2011 wouldn't surprise me.

That one was pretty ridiculous. We averaged 53/39 in May. 

  • Rain 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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20 minutes ago, Snowdrift said:

Yeah, that one was nuts. We have done well in the spring and fall. We need to get the cold January monkey off our back. I'm talking 1969, 1979, 1957, 1937, 1949, and 1950 type cold. 

Not holding my breath. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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28 minutes ago, Snowdrift said:

You guys will probably get your cool spring. Something like 2011 wouldn't surprise me.

Poor Tim. 😭

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55 here this evening. Looking forward to some nights down into the 30s. By this time last year we had already had a freeze and 5 nights into the 30s. Some years we’ve had to wait until mid November to dip into the 30s so it’s not all that unusual it hasn’t happened yet. Hopefully we can get some frosty mornings soon. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Pretty crazy 12z run for the GFS today.  Even if we don't get anything that dramatic a legit cold snap looks like a solid possibility now.

I was in Central WA today and could hardly believe how lame the fall color was even over there.  About the weakest I've seen this late in October.  No doubt that will be changing really quick here.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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I heard the PDO has ventured into its most negative territory since 2014.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Pretty crazy 12z run for the GFS today.  Even if we don't get anything that dramatic a legit cold snap looks like a solid possibility now.

I was in Central WA today and could hardly believe how lame the fall color was even over there.  About the weakest I've seen this late in October.  No doubt that will be changing really quick here.

Trees are starting to turn here, but the colors are blah. The neighborhood aspens are really muddy-looking and disappointing. They’re never the bright, clear gold here in the lowlands that they are in the mountains, but still.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Have you guys ever model riden for snow this early in the year?☃️

This is VERY early for sure.  The Puget Sound area can get snow in October, but it's usually very late month.

  • Snow 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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