Jesse Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Likewise. If you remember last Fall/Winter we had a lack of easterlies. We did not have a single Columbia Basin cold pool either. I certainly hope that changes this Winter. 00z ECMWF in 7 hours 13 minutes We had an unusual number of early season cold east wind events late September through late October. But yeah nothing notable after that. I still can't believe PDX pulled off a monthly MIN/MAX of 52 on September 29 last year. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, Jesse said: 2) 3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: 2. Just because that sounds really good right about now Yeah I just might do that. Cook up some chicken breast, season it all fancy and add to it. 2 minutes ago, van city said: Can't go wrong with 1) after 18z. Leaning towards the salad, but that sounds good too.... I'm way too hungry right now. 6z GFS in 10 hours 53 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Pure unadulterated model porn. 2 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 18 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Likewise. If you remember last Fall/Winter we had a lack of easterlies. We did not have a single Columbia Basin cold pool either. I certainly hope that changes this Winter. 00z ECMWF in 7 hours 13 minutes We didn’t have a single gust above 40 all of December and January. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 The 18z looks more realistic, but still gets some nice cool easterly winds going. I think most of us would be pretty happy with a pattern like that to get us ready for the real winter later. (ice age) 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 18z GEFS - Not too shabby 00z GFS in 4 hours 15 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Chilly 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Widespread sub-freezing temperatures! Finally! C'MON!!!! Western Montana looks toasty. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 17, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Early season cold again... 1 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 18z GFS Ensembles (850s/Precip) Portland - Mean temp down to -5c! Majority of members -5c to -10c. Wow Seattle - Mean temp down to -5c. Nearly all members -5c to -8c! Wow Yakima - Mean temp down to -8c! Nearly all members dipping to -7c to -12c! WOW Bozeman - Mean temp -15c! A lot of spread 24th-25th, then after good agreement members -13c to -19c(For you @Kayla!) 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Kold 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeorgeWx Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 7 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Total snow per the 12Z GFS... Portland gets screwed again! Even in October when blizzards are very common on the west side of the Cascades. They can't win down there. Gfs at it again 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 Glad to see the maps aren't changing. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted October 17, 2020 Report Share Posted October 17, 2020 1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said: Can't decide what to have for dinner. 1) Chinese Food 2) Homemade Salad, Bread 3) Popeyes You pick 00z GFS in 5 hours 4 minutes I know what I am having.... 2 1 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 52 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Early season cold again... Rip winter. Prepare for lots of 58 degree drizzle. 1 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 58/51 today. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 Delightful evening. 2 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 37 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Delightful evening. LFG!!!! 2 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 2 hours ago, DJ Droppin said: 18z GFS Ensembles (850s/Precip) Portland - Mean temp down to -5c! Majority of members -5c to -10c. Wow Seattle - Mean temp down to -5c. Nearly all members -5c to -8c! Wow Yakima - Mean temp down to -8c! Nearly all members dipping to -7c to -12c! WOW Bozeman - Mean temp -15c! A lot of spread 24th-25th, then after good agreement members -13c to -19c(For you @Kayla!) I appreciate that very much Rob! What a frigid run for any time of the year let alone late October! 1 1 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 Nice evening 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 (edited) Have you guys ever model riden for snow this early in the year? Edited October 18, 2020 by SouthHillFrosty 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 19 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Have you guys ever model riden for snow this year before? Ik it’s a long shoot this year but still Easy there turbo. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 22 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Nice evening Crazy to think that landscape will be buried in snow in 7 short days. 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 Might be a good time to start thinking about checking out the NAM. 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 Looks like ENSO 3.4 may bottom out around -1.9C in December. Trimonthly average could get as low as -1.7C. 1 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Might be a good time to start thinking about checking out the NAM. The runs tonight are going to be big. Let's think colder and potentially snowier.❄ 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Looks like ENSO 3.4 may bottom out around -1.9C in December. Trimonthly average could get as low as -1.7C. You guys will probably get your cool spring. Something like 2011 wouldn't surprise me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, Snowdrift said: You guys will probably get your cool spring. Something like 2011 wouldn't surprise me. That one was pretty ridiculous. We averaged 53/39 in May. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: That one was pretty ridiculous. Yeah, that one was nuts. We have done well in the spring and fall. We need to get the cold January monkey off our back. I'm talking 1969, 1979, 1957, 1937, 1949, and 1950 type cold. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 [Model Countdown] Running now.... 00z NAM Next up.... 00z GFS in 49 minutes 00z GEM/CMC in 1 hours 21 minutes 00z ECMWF in 3 hours 6 minutes Think Cold and SNOW! C'MON!!!! 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 20 minutes ago, Snowdrift said: Yeah, that one was nuts. We have done well in the spring and fall. We need to get the cold January monkey off our back. I'm talking 1969, 1979, 1957, 1937, 1949, and 1950 type cold. Not holding my breath. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 28 minutes ago, Snowdrift said: You guys will probably get your cool spring. Something like 2011 wouldn't surprise me. Poor Tim. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Not holding my breath. Me neither 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 Everyone's favorite the ole NAM looks pretty good. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Everyone's favorite the ole NAM looks pretty good. Looks warm for Southern Oregon 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 55 here this evening. Looking forward to some nights down into the 30s. By this time last year we had already had a freeze and 5 nights into the 30s. Some years we’ve had to wait until mid November to dip into the 30s so it’s not all that unusual it hasn’t happened yet. Hopefully we can get some frosty mornings soon. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 Pretty crazy 12z run for the GFS today. Even if we don't get anything that dramatic a legit cold snap looks like a solid possibility now. I was in Central WA today and could hardly believe how lame the fall color was even over there. About the weakest I've seen this late in October. No doubt that will be changing really quick here. 1 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 I heard the PDO has ventured into its most negative territory since 2014. 1 1 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Pretty crazy 12z run for the GFS today. Even if we don't get anything that dramatic a legit cold snap looks like a solid possibility now. I was in Central WA today and could hardly believe how lame the fall color was even over there. About the weakest I've seen this late in October. No doubt that will be changing really quick here. Trees are starting to turn here, but the colors are blah. The neighborhood aspens are really muddy-looking and disappointing. They’re never the bright, clear gold here in the lowlands that they are in the mountains, but still. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 18, 2020 Report Share Posted October 18, 2020 1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Have you guys ever model riden for snow this early in the year? This is VERY early for sure. The Puget Sound area can get snow in October, but it's usually very late month. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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