Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 00z GEM - Day 3 also seeing the block weaker than previous runs. Looking at the contours in BC the cold air may also be further east on this run. Past 4 runs 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Day 3.5 Past 4 runs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 It’s over. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 GEM block may be tilting more sharply which could save this run. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 00z GEM Day 4 Past 4 runs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Worlds different Day 3-5 than the GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Just now, DJ Droppin said: 00z GEM Day 4 Past 4 runs It is not over yet..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Conflicting reports!!! 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Day 5.5 - Big backdoor blast. Very nice. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 So close to being even colder than this. C'MON!!!! 00z ECMWF in 1 hour 12 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Guys...I’m not ready yet. My portable AC is still attached to the window! 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 5.5 - Big backdoor blast. Very nice. EURO coming in tonight like 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: EURO coming in tonight like We watched that movie today! The quaalude scenes are hilarious!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 11202020 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Monday morning looks COLD! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 This GFS run says the trick or treaters are getting wet! 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Just saw Billings broke a snow fall record from October 1949 the other day! 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: This GFS run says the trick or treaters are getting wet! Yep, which means we all get more candy. 6z NAM in 2 hours 46 minutes 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Uhhhh 1 3 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 20, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Still 54F. Nice summer evening. 3 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 I think we are going to start seeing the long range GFS begin to trend wetter and cooler. 1 1 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I think we are going to start seeing the long range GFS begin to trend wetter and cooler. I think so also. C'MON!!!! 00z ECMWF (Wednesday night) in 48 hours 34 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 20, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I think we are going to start seeing the long range GFS begin to trend wetter and cooler. Anything to break the monotony. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Anything to break the monotony. It's so boring. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Down to 45. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Nice day! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Here we go!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 40 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I think we are going to start seeing the long range GFS begin to trend wetter and cooler. As long as it stays in the long range where I can enjoy it. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Here we go!!!! Most important run of the season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 00z ECMWF - Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 46 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I think we are going to start seeing the long range GFS begin to trend wetter and cooler. Wetter and warmer. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Pretty crazy difference between the GEM and GFS tonight. The GEM actually went a bit sharper with the late week trough while the GFS watered it down. Less than 5 days out and there is so much disagreement. Meanwhile it has actually dropped to 49 here. Feeling much better outside! 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 20, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z ECMWF - Day 1 It's over 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Just saw Billings broke a snow fall record from October 1949 the other day! And Sunday has a chance for SEA to see their earliest 30 degree low since 1949. Pretty intriguing. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Huge MJO on the D11-15 EPS. Completely overwhelms the Niña signal for upper level divergence over the maritime continent. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Just now, snow_wizard said: And Sunday has a chance for SEA to see their earliest 30 degree low since 1949. Pretty intriguing. I think expecting that UHI polluted toxic waste dump to put up a respectable number will probably lead to disappointment. Areas that record real temperatures could be chilly, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 20, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 1 minute ago, Phil said: Huge MJO on the D11-15 EPS. Completely overwhelms the Niña signal for upper level divergence over the maritime continent. 33-34 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 If there’s one thing you can count on here, it’s the mention of 1949/50 as an analog every winter. 1 2 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, Phil said: If there’s one thing you can count on here, it’s me predicting a cold period in the mid winter for you guys every year. True. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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