snow_wizard Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 The Euro still goes for highs in the mid 40s on Friday for this area. That is going to feel downright cold. Still looking like mid 20 to low 30s Saturday night. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, Phil said: Not that pattern again. Two butt cheeks with a hole in the middle(ridge, trough, ridge) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 6 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2018/05/decreasing-cold-waves-most-potent-sign.html 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 9 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 8 Good inversion pattern. It's quite interesting how this looks nothing like last nights run. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 .... And the very exciting Day 10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 10 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2018/05/decreasing-cold-waves-most-potent-sign.html Funny he posts this just before a significant cold snap. It kind of undermines the whole premise. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Just now, DJ Droppin said: .... And the very exciting Day 10 I want this over a flatter mild / wet pattern. At least the ridge will bring an inversion so late in the season. I have no complaints. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Good inversion pattern. It's quite interesting how this looks nothing like last nights run. I have a feeling this winter will be blocky. Blocky is a good thing. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Funny he posts this just before a significant cold snap. It kind of undermines the whole premise. Coldest Cinco de Mayo on record!!! 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Another thing...it's October. I'm thankful for the cold wave that is coming. The big longer lasting stuff will come later. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Funny he posts this just before a significant cold snap. It kind of undermines the whole premise. The blog post was from 2018. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: .... And the very exciting Day 10 It looks like a dense fog pattern. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 1 minute ago, Snowdrift said: I have a feeling this winter will be blocky. Blocky is a good thing. Indeed. In the winter a big cold wave followed by a ridge right over us is pure gold if there is snow on the ground. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: The blog post was from 2018. I guess I should have looked. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Just now, snow_wizard said: Indeed. In the winter a big cold wave followed by a ridge right over us is pure gold if there is snow on the ground. Oh yes, milk that wonderful cold air. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Just now, Snowdrift said: It looks like a dense fog pattern. Not what it shows... and the ECMWF is pretty good at inversions. 500mb pattern will probably change of course. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Exhausted. Good night all Root for improved blocking on 6z, 12z runs! 6z NAM in 35 minutes 6z GFS in 2 hours 22 minutes 12z NAM in 6 hours 35 minutes 12z GFS in 8 hours 22 minutes 12z GEM/CMC in 8 hours 54 minutes 12z ECMWF in 10 hours 39 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Not what it shows... and the ECMWF is pretty good at inversions. 500mb pattern will probably change of course. We often struggle in Spokane. From late October until early to mid February. We'll get socked in with low clouds and fog. I always welcome the sunshine if I can get it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Might have been overlooked... but the current pattern is also very blocky. Of course this is a terrible pattern for the Seattle area with a persistent c-zone. Can't wait until things start moving again regardless of what that means. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, Snowdrift said: We often struggle in Spokane. From late October until early to mid February. We'll get socked in with low clouds and fog. I always welcome the sunshine if I can get it. People think eastern WA is so sunny in the winter compared to the west side... but that is often not the case. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: People think eastern WA is so sunny in the winter compared to the west side... but that is often not the case. We have the same general climate, but we are farther east with a little bit of elevation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: People think eastern WA is so sunny in the winter compared to the west side... but that is often not the case. Spokane- 171 sunny days per year Ellensburg- 204 sunny days per year Tri-Cities- 300 sunny days per year Ocean Shores- 129 sunny days per year Seattle- 152 sunny days per year Forks- 131 sunny days per year Bellingham- 157 sunny days per year 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Little fun fact "Meanwhile, the absolute wettest places in the continental United States are located in the Pacific Northwest, with Washington State's Aberdeen Reservoir taking the top spot with an average yearly precipitation of 130.6 inches (3317mm)". From tripsavvy.com https://www.tripsavvy.com/wettest-places-in-the-usa-4135027 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 20, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 32 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: People think eastern WA is so sunny in the winter compared to the west side... but that is often not the case. Case in point, the Apple Cup from 2018. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 51 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Spokane- 171 sunny days per year Ellensburg- 204 sunny days per year Tri-Cities- 300 sunny days per year Ocean Shores- 129 sunny days per year Seattle- 152 sunny days per year Forks- 131 sunny days per year Bellingham- 157 sunny days per year The United States average is 205. On average during the months of November, December, January and February, Spokane is cloudy 70% of the time. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 For what it's worth (just about nothing...), the 06z NAM is markedly improved over the 00z, though blocking is further east, so it could just be a flukey run. Still got another 36 hours before the Aleutian low begins taking form. Go GFS...? 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 2 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Little fun fact "Meanwhile, the absolute wettest places in the continental United States are located in the Pacific Northwest, with Tim’s backyard taking the top spot with an average yearly precipitation of 130.6 inches (3317mm)". From tripsavvy.com https://www.tripsavvy.com/wettest-places-in-the-usa-4135027 Fixed, for the sake of accuracy. 1 1 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 06z is somewhat better. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 20, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Overnight GFS looks about the same. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 53 outside, must've been close to 80 inside work... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Mixed signals on the GFS! Down to 43. Sadly one of our coolest lows of the month so far. Still above average! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Really liking the long range GFS. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 21 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Really liking the long range GFS. It would be a nice change of pace to get some storms going again after another pretty dry period (in Oregon). 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 2 hours ago, The Blob said: 53 outside, must've been close to 80 inside work... Eww where do you work? Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Good morning 6z GFS Gorge/Cascades east was considerably colder than 00z. Nice to see. Day 5.5 00z GFS 00z EPS was also a bit colder than previous runs, especially Gorge/Cascades east. Day 5 - 850mb temp anomaly past 4 runs 12z NAM running now.... 12z GFS in 1 hour 36 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 7 hours ago, snow_wizard said: And Sunday has a chance for SEA to see their earliest 30 degree low since 1949. Pretty intriguing. To add to the intrigue... Billings October record snowfall is from 1949 with 23.1". They are already at 11.9" and will likely shatter the record by this weekend. 1 2 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, Kayla said: To add to the intrigue... Billings October record snowfall is from 1949 with 23.1" They are already at 11.9" and will likely shatter the record by this weekend. Thanks for this post. I saw how much they got the other day and then what is to come this week and thought, "that cannot be normal." 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 12z NAM - Already at Day 1 I can see the block and more notably the base of the block is a notch or two west, the contours in AB/BC to just off the BC coast is a few notches further west, and the block is a bit stronger as well. That may not look like much, but if these notches and small incremental changes are evident for several runs it can end up making a significant difference as I have documented many times in the past. Past 3 runs (Improvements noted since 00z NAM run) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 30 minutes ago, jakerepp said: Eww where do you work? Amazon I'm hoping it is temporary. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 20, 2020 Report Share Posted October 20, 2020 Low of 46 here. 40s!! 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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