TT-SEA Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: No rain again. Ever. Typical Niña. If we keep following the script of this fall... there will likely be a very wet 2-week period in the middle of November. Followed by another blocky and dry period at the end of the month. Its been a wet fall overall up here. But there are different ways to get to wetter than normal. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 The frosty weather conditions are satisfying for cold weather enthusiasts, but I don't know too many cold weather enthusiasts who are COVID enthusiasts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: No rain again. Ever. Typical Niña. 2017-18 was a Niña and much wetter than normal at PDX. Both years since have been the driest back to back on record, neither of which were Niñas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 3 minutes ago, El_Nina said: 2017-18 was a Niña and much wetter than normal at PDX. Both years since have been the driest back to back on record, neither of which were Niñas. There are endless zonal flow Ninas like 2017-18 and very blocky Ninas like 2013-14 (although that was pretty close to neutral). The pattern cycle so far this fall is feeling more like the latter version. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: If we keep following the script of this fall... there will likely be a very wet 2-week period in the middle of November. Followed by another blocky and dry period at the end of the month. Its been a wet fall overall up here. But there are different ways to get to wetter than normal. We’re due for a wet November. Last 2 November’s have been pretty dry especially last years 1.83” total. I’m pretty sure this November’s going to be wet. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 28 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: And maybe longer. The 00Z EPS was ridgy through day 15. 5-10 day and 10-15 day maps: Going to be some beautiful days coming up...probably will still be chilly in the mornings. 4 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 4 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: We’re due for a wet November. Last 2 November’s have been pretty dry especially last years 1.83” total. I’m pretty sure this November’s going to be wet. Last November was the 5th driest on record in my area. But 2018 was almost perfectly normal. And November was much wetter than normal in each of the 4 years before that (2014-17). Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 23 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Just checked the 00Z ECMWF and it showed highs in the 60s later next week so not really "inversion-y". Thanks, then I won’t expect significant inversions. Hopefully won’t be a bummer ridge with high dew points and mild nights, but we shall see. Wanna get at least some frosty mornings out of it. 3 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said: Thanks, then I won’t expect significant inversions. Hopefully won’t be a bummer ridge with high dew points and mild nights, but we shall see. Wanna get at least some frosty mornings out of it. High dewpoints would likely mean an inversion. The ECMWF shows dry air with chilly mornings and sunny, warm afternoons. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather1011 Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Mild days with sun and frosty mornings to end October would be prefect. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: High dewpoints would likely mean an inversion. The ECMWF shows dry air with chilly mornings and sunny, warm afternoons. I’ve seen ridges with dewpoints in the upper forties F that just don’t allow significant cooling overnight. And I will now stop using the r-word in my posts. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Low clouds have formed here now. Up to 37. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Last November was the 5th driest on record in my area. But 2018 was almost perfectly normal. And November was much wetter than normal in each of the 4 years before that (2014-17). 5/7 have been dry in this area. And it's been 14 years since we saw a significantly wet one. Due. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: High dewpoints would likely mean an inversion. The ECMWF shows dry air with chilly mornings and sunny, warm afternoons. Humidity will increase as the low level pattern stagnates.... there will 100% be an inversion. Just a question of depth and burnoff times. We are entering the true inversion season now with us approaching mid February sun angles. But all day low clouds/fog still takes a fairly unique setup on the fringe of it. Not sure we'll get there in most places but a cooler than average pattern at the surface looks very likely. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 7 minutes ago, Jesse said: Low clouds have formed here now. Up to 37. Same, some light fog. Maybe it can stick around for a while to keep us cool. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 6 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: 5/7 have been dry in this area. And it's been 14 years since we saw a significantly wet one. Due. You might be due down there... but I have doubts that this November will be seriously wet. Blocky theme so far this fall. I do think there will be 2-week stretch of wet weather though. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 I was checking out the forecast for Pullman since my son is there... that is some serious cold over there. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: You might be due down there... but I have doubts that this November will be seriously wet. Blocky theme so far this fall. I do think there will be 2-week stretch of wet weather though. Quite a blocky ride in September and October 2006 as well. Culminating in the Halloween cold here. Only rained about 4" here those months. Then it rained over 6" here in the wonderful November 5-7 deluge 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Quite a blocky ride in September and October 2006 as well. Culminating in the Halloween cold here. Only rained about 4" here those months. Then it rained over 6" here in the wonderful November 5-7 deluge Fascinating. Good luck with that. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 14 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Quite a blocky ride in September and October 2006 as well. Culminating in the Halloween cold here. Only rained about 4" here those months. Then it rained over 6" here in the wonderful November 5-7 deluge Would be awesome to get a repeat!! ️ 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Seahawks game in the snow in November 2006... 7 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Seahawks game in the snow in November 2006... I'm sure we all have stories about this night. My dad got stuck on Hwy 522 in Maltby on the way home from work, but at least he could listen to the game! 1 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 On 10/19/2020 at 9:50 PM, SilverFallsAndrew said: This GFS run says the trick or treaters are getting wet! The GFS now says they are staying dry... 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: The GFS now says they are staying dry... It’s closer to showing rain that night than the 0z gfs. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Just now, FroYoBro said: It’s closer to showing rain that night then the 0z gfs. Actually no... its farther west than the 00Z run. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 4 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: It’s closer to showing rain that night than the 0z gfs. Zero rain for the whole US.... pretty impressive Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Zero rain for the whole US.... pretty impressive Unfortunately not true for the Miami area. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Zero rain for the whole US.... pretty impressive Alaska says hi 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Actually no... its farther west than the 00Z run. I guess I was looking at the weak trough for the night of the 30th. Wasn’t there on the 0z. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Just now, jakerepp said: Alaska says hi And probably Hawaii and Guam... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Party is over by November 5th per the 12Z GFS... rain! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Quickly recover though by the end of the run... also interesting that it shows 2 major hurricanes which is pretty rare for November. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Party is over by November 5th per the 12Z GFS... rain! That Pacific cyclone off Mexico looks interesting. Side note: I wonder if Hawaii will get any strong storms this season? @Phil? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Just now, luminen said: That Pacific cyclone off Mexico looks interesting. Side note: I wonder if Hawaii will get any strong storms this season? @Phil? Yeah... I actually posted the same thing while you were typing. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Beautiful day ahead of the storm tomorrow... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Still socked in with clouds and only 43 degrees here. Feels really cold out there compared to the last week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Frost is all melted here and we're up to 43 as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Sun's coming out here now, gang. 42. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 1 hour ago, jakerepp said: I'm sure we all have stories about this night. My dad got stuck on Hwy 522 in Maltby on the way home from work, but at least he could listen to the game! I had about 16” of snow on the ground with temps falling into the mid teens that evening. No power. Trees down everywhere. It was epic. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 22, 2020 Report Share Posted October 22, 2020 Today’s Skykomish view, cannot see it in the pic but there is snow on the trees on the far ridge line. 4 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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