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October 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW


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35 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

You know it’s kind of funny...when I joined this forum 2 years ago I used to think tim was the worst and that he was a drain on the place. More and more time goes by and I realize he’s actually a pretty nice guy and you are the drain on the place. You’re just rude, condescending and will insult people over any comment that slightly irritates you or you don’t “deem a worthy post”. Or your cringeworthy freak outs over people posting about sunny nice weather...like that’s a crime for tim to like sunshine. How about work on being nicer to people and not take every opportunity to be an condescending a**...especially to new people which you love to do. I’m not the only one to say something to you about this the last few days...you did the same thing to that Eugene poster when he was just asking a simple question. Not to mention you constantly being a d*ck to people like omega and tiger and others like you’re the forum moderator giving your approval of what’s a worthy post it’s a bad look for you. Sorry for the rant everyone but I believe it needed to be addressed. 

Thanks for posting.

 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Victims are speaking out.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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39 and rainy here. Love it!

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Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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Nice to see PDX hitting 35.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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14 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

No I’m just willing to call out self righteous d*cks like Jesse. There’s no need for him to be consistently rude and condescending it’s an every day problem here. I don’t feel “victimized” nobody here even knows me or my name...but people should feel comfortable to post what they want and ask questions without Jesse jumping on them. 

It’s too early for this stuff. I’m sorry you feel that way, and I think you took my comment in the wrong light.

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28 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

No I’m just willing to call out self righteous d*cks like Jesse. There’s no need for him to be consistently rude and condescending it’s an every day problem here. I don’t feel “victimized” nobody here even knows me or my name...but people should feel comfortable to post what they want and ask questions without Jesse jumping on them. 

Tim is just as bad, contrary to your previous post.

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Just now, Jesse said:

A race to the bottom debate sounds like a great way to spend a Friday! 

Yeah can we cut the teenage girl drama out before it gets out of hand? 

Good grief.

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Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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Clouds moved in here pretty quick after sunrise. Always surprises me how quickly frost disappears when clouds move overhead, even with the temperature staying the same.

Could be a pretty chilly day with the system moving in directly on the heels of a cold night. Although I think south winds later this evening could bump things into the mid-50s down here.

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1 minute ago, Jesse said:

Clouds moved in here pretty quick after sunrise. Always surprises me how quickly frost disappears when clouds move overhead, even with the temperature staying the same.

Could be a pretty chilly day with the system moving in directly on the heels of a cold night. Although I think south winds later this evening could bump things into the mid-50s down here.

Yeah, I think we will see our high temperature at night. Maybe even an midnight high? 

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6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

For tracking purposes and future reference... the GFS was way too aggressive with the cold air at a week out.   That was an issue last winter as well.  

Top image is tomorrow morning when it was 7 days out... and the bottom image is the same time at 1 day out.

 

gfs_z500a_us_29.png

gfs_z500a_us_5.png

Thanks for posting. 

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12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

For tracking purposes and future reference... the GFS was way too aggressive with the cold air at a week out.   That was an issue last winter as well.  

Top image is tomorrow morning when it was 7 days out... and the bottom image is the same time at 1 day out.

 

gfs_z500a_us_29.png

gfs_z500a_us_5.png

So if the GFS shows the trough 500 miles west of us over the Pacific we will be in biznaz. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

So if the GFS shows the trough 500 miles west of us over the Pacific we will be in biznaz. 

Yeah... it could mean that as well.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3.4 ENSO region now forecast to bottom out around -2.1C in early December. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

So if the GFS shows the trough 500 miles west of us over the Pacific we will be in biznaz. 

Yeah kind of what I was thinking. They are totally different 500mb patterns. I can't count how many times models have been off base with the 500mb pattern seven days out.

I could see a stronger case being made if it was still showing more or less the same 500mb pattern but with way less low level cold/warmer 850mb temps. Otherwise you are just taking an example of typical long range model noise and highlighting it to fit a narrative.

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26 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Maybe I did. The problem is many of your posts obviously ARE meant to be insulting or condescending so how should I know all the time wether you mean to insult me or someone else?
 Side note- I do agree tim can have his moments too but the big difference is he gets dumped on all the time because he’s “tim” yet you get away with it pretty often.
 Either way...I’m not really trying to stir the pot or create issues here. I really just want people to get along better as I’ve said many times and that’s why I’m saying all of this. I just think people should be held accountable for being rude and creating issues for other people on this forum. It’s one thing to make jokes and humorous comments but it’s another to be openly condescending. End of my speech.

I think this morning has mainly just stirred the pot. Obviously name calling and one sided rants about how an active member here is the worst person ever isn't going to move us a whole lot closer to getting along.

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9 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Maybe I did. The problem is many of your posts obviously ARE meant to be insulting or condescending so how should I know all the time wether you mean to insult me or someone else?
 Side note- I do agree tim can have his moments too but the big difference is he gets dumped on all the time because he’s “tim” yet you get away with it pretty often.
 Either way...I’m not really trying to stir the pot or create issues here. I really just want people to get along better as I’ve said many times and that’s why I’m saying all of this. I just think people should be held accountable for being rude and creating issues for other people on this forum. It’s one thing to make jokes and humorous comments but it’s another to be openly condescending. End of my speech.

Some will argue that I have earned that  being "dumped on" over the last 15 years... and that is true in some regard.    

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z GFS looks less troughy later next week again. 

PTL

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I have been shocked looking at the long range models how completely dead the Pacific looks. One has to think at some point the other shoe is going to drop. 

At this point models continue to essentially show default ridging through November. Some say with climate change and the blob the impacts of the Nina will be muted. I tend to disagree, but it is an interesting theory which is being borne out in real time right now. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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8 minutes ago, El_Nina said:

We'll see about the Euro. 

Queen Euro.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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On a brighter note, with the chilly weather the last few days and the colder weather on the way this weekend, this October is quickly dropping down the ranks for warmest ever. Should drop behind 1988 by early next week which would bump it out of the top 5.

Even if the last few days of the month end up warmer than average, it will probably continue pulling the monthly average down since even a couple degrees warmer than average in late October is still so much cooler than what we saw the first ten days of the month.

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GEM keeps the northwesterly train going but is quite dry.

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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