SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 1 minute ago, Phil said: Problem is I lack communication skills and intelligence. Don't we all? 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, Jesse said: Well that’s a whole different level. *shrugs* is this forum for the layman though? Anytime someone shows up and asks layman questions (hey guys new here is it gonna snow???) or model rides based solely on the comments of the forum (SORRY K12) they get ignored or ripped on. Phil might say some completely incomprehensible stuff every now and then but I guess it's surprising to me how often this provokes outrage considering he always does it and if someone asks what it means for the PNW he usually gives a response albeit itself also somewhat cryptic. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, Phil said: Problem is I lack communication skills and intelligence. You wouldn't last one day with Josh's HVAC crew doing real big boy work! 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 All of the models depict the trough as being cut off from any real significant cold air source. Could be coolish, and likely some frosty days in its wake, but no reason to soil ourselves at this point. 3 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: All of the models depict the trough as being cut off from any real significant cold air source. Could be coolish, and likely some frosty days in its wake, but no reason to soil ourselves at this point. Hoar frost or regular frost? Asking for a friend. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Just now, Deweydog said: Hoar frost or regular frost? Asking for a friend. ** frost Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: All of the models depict the trough as being cut off from any real significant cold air source. Could be coolish, and likely some frosty days in its wake, but no reason to soil ourselves at this point. Plenty of Arctic air surging south on this run. 1 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 27 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: Here the last few days were 10/23: 44/39, 10/24: 49/31, 10/25: 45/27, 10/26: 45/31 which was significantly better than last year (although I don't have the data because weather station history crashed at the end of October 2019). Did better than we did here. I’d be interested to see how your area fared in October 2019 I’m sure your location did quite well atleast maybe even better than October 2020. Either way it was a pretty good cold snap the last few days just didn’t produce good numbers here locally. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: All of the models depict the trough as being cut off from any real significant cold air source. Could be coolish, and likely some frosty days in its wake, but no reason to soil ourselves at this point. I HATE it when that happens. I really do. Seriously. 18z GFS in 2 hours 30 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Chilly run. Cold source is definitely there... 4 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Could be a decent little cold snap coming up but doesn’t look like a November 2017 redux. Hard to say though still 10 days out. Had 1/2” of snow here with that event. Then a 40/34 day on 11/3...41/34 on 11/4 and 39/32 on 11/5. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 1 minute ago, Kayla said: Chilly run. Cold source is definitely there... Yup. I'm not complaining.... Still a bit premature for me to utter the [Colder Runs Ahead] mantra. Maybe by 00z runs Saturday. 00z ECMWF in 10 hours 39 minutes. Make your plans accordingly to be here for an amazing run! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 28, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Looks like some frosty nights at least. Not a torch so there's that. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 31 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said: *shrugs* is this forum for the layman though? Anytime someone shows up and asks layman questions (hey guys new here is it gonna snow???) or model rides based solely on the comments of the forum (SORRY K12) they get ignored or ripped on. Phil might say some completely incomprehensible stuff every now and then but I guess it's surprising to me how often this provokes outrage considering he always does it and if someone asks what it means for the PNW he usually gives a response albeit itself also somewhat cryptic. I certainly am not outraged by his technical posts. I just genuinely don’t know why he shares the advanced stuff when pretty much no one on here can follow it. I wonder if there is another website where he can truly nerd out with others that would understand? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 He craves the attention. He knew exactly what he was doing. 1 1 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Just give me a jet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 13 minutes ago, Deweydog said: He craves the attention. He knew exactly what he was doing. Yup. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 54 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said: *shrugs* is this forum for the layman though? Anytime someone shows up and asks layman questions (hey guys new here is it gonna snow???) or model rides based solely on the comments of the forum (SORRY K12) they get ignored or ripped on. Phil might say some completely incomprehensible stuff every now and then but I guess it's surprising to me how often this provokes outrage considering he always does it and if someone asks what it means for the PNW he usually gives a response albeit itself also somewhat cryptic. You make some decent points, Mr. Hutz. It probably has more to do with his history here than anything. Its hard for me to buy that he is simply incapable of communicating his thoughts, though. Phil can be very lucid when he wants to be. Seems like it wouldn’t be too hard to say what he thinks what will happen with the pattern going forward and, since this is indeed a NW weather subforum, how it may affect us. It seems like he mainly does the acronym stuff because a) it’s a nice smokescreen to keep his predictions good and vague, and b) because, as has been mentioned, he of course craves attention and it’s a tried and proven way to quickly poke the hornet nest here. Seeing it from that standpoint it is perhaps more understandable why he tends to draw such an seemingly inordinate amount of ire for the acronymbics. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 51 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 12z GFS Analog Composite Day 6-10, 8-14 .... Okay. 2003 and 1985 twice!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Conflicting reports!! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: 2003 and 1985 twice!!! And 2006 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 19 minutes ago, El_Nina said: Just give me a jet. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 4 minutes ago, MossMan said: And 2006 But the date was for late November 2006z after all the fun and games Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 58 minutes ago, Deweydog said: 300 songs....wow... there is one song released in 1985 that is very relevant to this forum, I'm assuming its in this list of 300 2 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 8 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: But the date was for late November 2006z after all the fun and games 11/26 and 11/27 was the main action at my place. I think we are possibly capable of some good stuff even if it’s the beginning of the month if given the correct setup. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 5 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: I think that warmth here is from downsloping off the Chuckanut Mountains to the south. I've seen it happen before in some southerly flow situations. KBLI recorded a high of 61°F on Jan 3rd of this year. Yeah that wind was pretty weird last night, by the time it worked its way through all the valleys, nooks and crannies to get to my house it was more of a SE wind. It caught a lot of people off guard, lots of recycling blowing down the street. Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 5 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: Yeah that wind was pretty weird last night, by the time it worked its way through all the valleys, nooks and crannies to get to my house it was more of a SE wind. It caught a lot of people off guard, lots of recycling blowing down the street. Those clouds have been ridiculously persistent up there while its been sunny down here since Saturday afternoon. Totally different world up there. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 12 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: 300 songs....wow... there is one song released in 1985 that is very relevant to this forum, I'm assuming its in this list of 300 A don’t think we see a repeat until the current woke generation can manage to get a bunch of middle aged men to sit around and put on makeup together. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 12Z EPS... 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 7 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Thank you for sharing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Those clouds have been ridiculously persistent up there while its been sunny down here since Saturday afternoon. Totally different world up there. We will get the occasional sunbreak, and its kinda comical to see the furballs flock to the sunbeams to enjoy the warmth. Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 OT but New Orleans is about to get walloped by a possibly major 'cane. 2020 lives on! 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 17 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: OT but New Orleans is about to get walloped by a possibly major 'cane. 2020 lives on! I got family out there near DT NOLA. Hoping they make it w/o significant flooding or wind damage. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 19 this morning, and might be 70 this afternoon! Frogs going from frozen, to thawing out, to frozen again. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 32 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: I got family out there near DT NOLA. Hoping they make it w/o significant flooding or wind damage. Hope so too. Downtown is one of the higher areas of the city, if I recall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 28, 2020 Report Share Posted October 28, 2020 Loving the growing model consensus for another big blocking episode. 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.