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October 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW


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2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The models were showing the gradients down there would die after 6z (whatever time that is....mid evening sometime).  Up here they have already crashed.

I'm sort of in the gorge influence too so it can be stubborn over here. 

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Here's the snow thus far

By far the most impressive October storm I've witnessed here since 2012 when I bought property. Ended up with 9 inches of powder and is currently 22 degrees down from 24 at 9am. 

Just catching up to everything this morning. I think given that the user base of the forum has been somewhat of a close knit community for 15+ years, there is a bit of leeway given when it comes to be

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I have to say. Even I am impressed. We will see what happens with lows tonight, but PDX only hitting 48 under full sunshine on October 25th is pretty amazing. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0                         2020-21: 3.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Yeah most W. Oregon stations still seem pretty breezy. The cold potential appears to be significantly better in western Oregon though. Dewpoint should are well into the teens most spots. About 10-15 degrees lower than most spots in W Washington. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0                         2020-21: 3.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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13 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Thirty-fwhore!

Sounds almost pornographic.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 25

Lows 32 or below = 8

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yeah most W. Oregon stations still seem pretty breezy. The cold potential appears to be significantly better in western Oregon though. Dewpoint should are well into the teens most spots. About 10-15 degrees lower than most spots in W Washington. 

Yeah...it's just going to take a bit longer for the easterly gradients to die down there.  Most places should do very well.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 25

Lows 32 or below = 8

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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SEA is really jumping around.  40 at 7pm, 43 at 8pm, and 39 at 8:15.  At any rate they have a good shot at a freeze tonight.  I guess I'll have to find out when is the last time they did it this early.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 25

Lows 32 or below = 8

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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Looks like some wind sheltered spots around Forest Grove are already below freezing. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0                         2020-21: 3.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Down to 36 now.  This is looking pretty amazing.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 25

Lows 32 or below = 8

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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The NWS should have gone for the freeze warning at least for the EPSL tonight.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 25

Lows 32 or below = 8

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

SEA is really jumping around.  40 at 7pm, 43 at 8pm, and 39 at 8:15.  At any rate they have a good shot at a freeze tonight.  I guess I'll have to find out when is the last time they did it this early.

I thought they had a freeze on 10/10 last year. We had a freeze here in Tacoma that morning...can’t remember if SEA had a freeze too or not. 

Cold season stats  

Coldest low-30

Coldest high-42

Freezes-1

Monthly rainfall-6.63”

Cold season rainfall-9.80”

Snowfall-0.0”

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42 here...wind has really died down this evening though it’ll start cooling off soon. 

Cold season stats  

Coldest low-30

Coldest high-42

Freezes-1

Monthly rainfall-6.63”

Cold season rainfall-9.80”

Snowfall-0.0”

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We are going to lose this game... all they will need is a FG.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I still need to do some digging, but it appears possible SEA hasn't had a freezing low temperature before October 27th since 1954.  That would be insane!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 25

Lows 32 or below = 8

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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21 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

I thought they had a freeze on 10/10 last year. We had a freeze here in Tacoma that morning...can’t remember if SEA had a freeze too or not. 

They didn't.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 25

Lows 32 or below = 8

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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3 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

The big difference is last year was a Nino and this is a Nina.  I always like seeing cold in Nina Octobers.  Major cold in Nino Octobers is often a bad sign.

I wonder how November ends this year. Last year was the coldest end to Nov in quite some time here. I know the west sides had a bad winter, aside from a near record dry February the cascades did decent in January snow and in the late Nov to mid December period. The bomb low in southern OR was a nice system.

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
 
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
Nov '18 - 00.20" (5%)
Dec '18 - 05.80" (58%)
Jan '19 - 09.50(80%)
Feb '19 - 27.50" (306%)
Mar '19 - 09.00" (360%)
Apr '19 - 0.30" (30%)
 
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
Nov '19 - 06.50" (163%)
Dec '19 - 06.75" (67%)
Jan '20 - 18.75" (156%)
Feb '20 - 00.00" (0%)
Mar '20 - 04.75" (190%)
Apr '20 - 00.25"
 
2019 Thunderstorms: 14
04/02, 04/19, 05/28, 05/31, 06/01
06/12, 06/28, 07/14, 08/09, 08/10
08/28, 09/05, 09/15, 09/16
Hailstorms: 05/28 (1/4")
Max Gust: 53mph (08/10)
 
2020 Thunderstorms: 10
03/17, 05/18, 06/10, 06/12, 07/22
07/27, 08/05, 08/15, 08/16, 08/25
 
Hailstorms: 07/22 (1/3"), 08/05 (3/4")
Max Gust: ~55+ (09/07), 60 (11/17)
 
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011) / 1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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GFS looks like it’s going back to crap. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0                         2020-21: 3.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Tomorrow will be a strange day in the Seattle area... it will dawn clear and then low clouds race in by late morning and park for probably 3 days.    First image is 8 a.m. and second image is 5 p.m.

qclst.15.0000.gif

qclst.24.0000.gif

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Tomorrow will be a strange day in the Seattle area... it will dawn clear and then low clouds race in by late morning and park for probably 3 days.    First image is 8 a.m. and second image is 5 p.m.

qclst.15.0000.gif

qclst.24.0000.gif

Yuck. 

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1 minute ago, Omegaraptor said:

Pretty weird how much the models are struggling with that system on 10/30.

Last run showed Saturday looking wet now Friday looks wet. Big change from one run to the next. 

Cold season stats  

Coldest low-30

Coldest high-42

Freezes-1

Monthly rainfall-6.63”

Cold season rainfall-9.80”

Snowfall-0.0”

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An impressive 52/30 spread so a -9F departure. Beautiful crispy day with winds out of the north.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 15 (Most recent: Nov 22, 2020)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Nov 21)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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