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October 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW

TigerWoodsLibido

By TigerWoodsLibido
in West of the Rockies

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snow drift
snow drift

Here's the snow thus far

MR.SNOWMIZER
MR.SNOWMIZER

By far the most impressive October storm I've witnessed here since 2012 when I bought property. Ended up with 9 inches of powder and is currently 22 degrees down from 24 at 9am. 

MossMan
MossMan

Sorry guys I ended up getting chased around the outside of the building at work by a whacked out homeless guy on drugs...That was a first! I was mostly worried about the snot coming out of his nose as

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Timmy Supercell Grand Master

Timmy Supercell

Posted
Posted

An orange sun rising well into the new water season. I don't think I remember that occurring this late in the year.

Mid-30's and AQI around 150.

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17
Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 16
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

Foggy morning in Salem. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Jesse Experienced

Jesse

Posted
Posted
Just now, Timmy_Supercell said:

An orange sun rising well into the new water season. I don't think I remember that this late in the year.

Mid-30's and AQI around 150.

Noticed the upper levels looked smokier again today here too.

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Phil Grand Master

Phil

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Will this kill the evil ridge Phil? 🥺

Nope. But it will strengthen the la niña signature/upwelling wave.

Ridge is being driven by extratropical processes and the seasonal transition. Remember we discussed the rapid retraction-extension-retraction cycle of the NPAC jet late last month? AAM and mountain torque?

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foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted
12 minutes ago, Phil said:

Big daddy trade burst coming up.

image.gif

OMG ITS HAPPENING!

  • Snow 1
  • Storm 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Jesse Experienced

Jesse

Posted
Posted
Just now, Phil said:

Nope. :(

Ridge is being driven by extratropical processes and the seasonal transition. Remember we discussed the rapid retraction-extension-retraction cycle of the NPAC jet late last month? AAM and mountain torque?

Yes. Confusing memories.

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Phil Grand Master

Phil

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Yes. Confusing memories.

It’s a bit early for consistent ENSO signals to manifest in the middle latitudes. Seasonal transitions are..complicated.

As the cold season wears on, La Niña should become increasingly dominant in terms of a canonical -ENSO wavetrain.

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foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
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Jesse Experienced

Jesse

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Phil said:

It’s a bit early for consistent ENSO signals to manifest in the middle latitudes. Seasonal transitions are..complicated.

As the cold season wears on, La Niña should become increasingly dominant in terms of a canonical -ENSO wavetrain.

Back loaded warm seasons followed by back loaded cold seasons seem fairly typical for La Ninas, especially strong ones for whatever reason. This one has been pretty textbook with an average-ish summer giving way to a fairly ridgy first half of fall.

For now, it would be nice to break out of this endless ridging somehow. Even if its a milder and wetter pattern.

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Blizzard777 Grand Master

Blizzard777

Posted
Posted
11 hours ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Yeah it will be interesting to see how she measures up on the weather side of things, she seems to be a legit weather geek but time will tell.  Sounds like she starts tomorrow night, so she will get indoctrinated with the systems coming through this weekend.

We shall see what chemistry she brings to the show and our weather. I do miss Walter and his enthusiasm over weather events. 

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FroYoBro Grand Master

FroYoBro

Posted
Posted
26 minutes ago, Phil said:

It’s a bit early for consistent ENSO signals to manifest in the middle latitudes. Seasonal transitions are..complicated.

As the cold season wears on, La Niña should become increasingly dominant in terms of a canonical -ENSO wavetrain.

This is an easy post to read. Everyone thanks you. 

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted
23 minutes ago, MossMan said:

My .08 mile morning commute. 

692E9A93-BA95-4999-B281-AC36AE092FBD.jpeg

Man... that is a seriously steep hill heading down from your chalet high in the mountains to your office right next to I-5.    Do you often see mountain goats on that trek?

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Jbolin Mentor

Jbolin

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Man... that is a seriously steep hill heading down from your chalet high in the mountains to your office right next to I-5.    Do you often see mountain goats on that trek?

Says the guy who lives in a proverbial mountainside chalet and drives up/down a fairly steep grade to get to North Bend and other environs. Do you see mountain goats on your daily drive?

 

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Rubus Leucodermis Grand Master

Rubus Leucodermis

Posted
Posted
29 minutes ago, MossMan said:

My .08 mile morning commute. 

692E9A93-BA95-4999-B281-AC36AE092FBD.jpeg

I’ve never understood why people (unless they have some serious physical disability) do things like drive distances that are an easy walk. I’d walk (or bike) that even in the rain. Sure, there’s no sidewalks, but it doesn’t look as if that’s a dangerous, busy road or anything.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, Jbolin said:

Says the guy who lives in a proverbial mountainside chalet and drives up/down a fairly steep grade to get to North Bend and other environs. Do you see mountain goats on your daily drive?

 

I do not see mountain goats here... but I have seen them on the sheer face of Mt Si.

My comment was not about my location or picking on Randy.   It was in reference to people who insist he lives up in the mountains.   When in fact he is in within a flat, easy walk to I-5.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Phil Grand Master

Phil

Posted
Posted
51 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Back loaded warm seasons followed by back loaded cold seasons seem fairly typical for La Ninas, especially strong ones for whatever reason. This one has been pretty textbook with an average-ish summer giving way to a fairly ridgy first half of fall.

For now, it would be nice to break out of this endless ridging somehow. Even if its a milder and wetter pattern.

Onset/1st year La Niñas (especially following healthy and/or multiyear +ENSO regimes) do indeed fit the description you give. Many of which (unsurprisingly) feature +QBO. At least this has been the case since the Great Pacific Climate Shift of 1976.

Years w/ -QBO (and/or 2nd year niñas) seem to flip to +NPO earlier, but also are warmer and/or more zonal than 1st year niñas. Some examples are 2007/08, 1999/00, 2005/06, 1996/97, etc).

This year is more in the 2016/17, 2010/11, 1995/96, 1988/89, 1970/71 camp. (2008/09 was a 2nd year +QBO Niña in a low pass -PNA/-NAO sub-era, so a bit different w/ the seasonal transition).

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Phil Grand Master

Phil

Posted
Posted

This is really cool.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/10/06/great-lakes-waterspout-outbreak/#click=https://t.co/TnTECjouwx

foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
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Phil Grand Master

Phil

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, Jesse said:

The GFS seems a lot more progressive than the Euro.

Which fits their respective biases. Kind of an oversimplification, but the Euro has historically been more meridional/cutoff-ULL-happy, and the GFS has historically been more progressive. At least over North America, in sum.

I suspect they’ll meet in the middle somewhere.

foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
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Jesse Experienced

Jesse

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, Phil said:

Which fits their respective biases. Kind of an oversimplification, but the Euro has historically been more meridional/cutoff-ULL-happy, and the GFS has historically been more progressive. At least over North America, in sum.

I suspect they’ll meet in the middle somewhere.

The middle being another perma ridge I assume.

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MossMan Grand Master

MossMan

Posted
Posted
25 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I’ve never understood why people (unless they have some serious physical disability) do things like drive distances that are an easy walk. I’d walk (or bike) that even in the rain. Sure, there’s no sidewalks, but it doesn’t look as if that’s a dangerous, busy road or anything.

I take my Border Collies to work with me and my truck is their home base when they are not in the office with me. Otherwise yeah I would bike or walk more to work. 

82CE96F6-4676-4204-B369-1A3028EDE415.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Jbolin Mentor

Jbolin

Posted
Posted
47 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I do not see mountain goats here... but I have seen them on the sheer face of Mt Si.

My comment was not about my location or picking on Randy.   It was in reference to people who insist he lives up in the mountains.   When in fact he is in within a flat, easy walk to I-5.

DUDE, you need to lighten up a bit Tim, 

C'mon it's October and we're all a little "jittery" and eagerly anticipating our first snowfall bust, get on board.  

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Jbolin said:

DUDE, you need to lighten up a bit Tim, 

C'mon it's October and we're all a little "jittery" and eagerly anticipating our first snowfall bust, get on board.  

Yes... I am so tense.   😄

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

I always like to imagine that every emoji that Tim posts is probably done with shaking hands from pure anger. 

You be you.  Whatever gets you through the day.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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