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October 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW


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Here's the snow thus far

By far the most impressive October storm I've witnessed here since 2012 when I bought property. Ended up with 9 inches of powder and is currently 22 degrees down from 24 at 9am. 

Just catching up to everything this morning. I think given that the user base of the forum has been somewhat of a close knit community for 15+ years, there is a bit of leeway given when it comes to be

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1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said:

And some of you thought October was going to be relatively boring. Pffffttttttt. It's about to get crunk n stuff.

 

12z ECMWF in 10 hours 35 minutes

Can you share a nation wide view of the euro at day ten?

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5 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

And some of you thought October was going to be relatively boring. Pffffttttttt. It's about to get crunk n stuff.

 

12z ECMWF in 10 hours 35 minutes

Should I prepare with salt n' vinegar or cheddar sour cream chips?

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Love the new night shift graphic Fred!! Gonna be plenty of all-nighters for us. Time to turn on the playlist!!

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 23 (Most recent: Dec 5, 2020)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Nov 21)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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2 minutes ago, Jbolin said:

I'll buy Jesse a beer if this comes to pass

His choice?

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 23 (Most recent: Dec 5, 2020)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Nov 21)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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These gusts are in knots, so they're actually about 15% higher than the listed values. Around 70mph in the sound. Would be a pretty damaging storm, though I wouldn't go so far as to call it "devastating". Still better avoided for the well being of the region at the expense of us weenies, though mother nature will do as it pleases. Which is probably scrapping the storm entirely in the next run.

download (37).png

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Very impressive ECMWF run!  On Friday of next week it shows some places dropping into the upper 20s with most highs mid to upper 40s.  Here are the number it spits out for SEA for days 7 - 10.

48 / 39

50 / 37

49 / 34

47 / 39

Very late next week it shows a low tracking inland through Central WA (as in central latitudinally).  It's conceivable places north of the low could flirt with some wet snow.  At any rate pretty exceptional chill for so early.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 25

Lows 32 or below = 13

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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55 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Chilly out. Already down to 45.

Nice to finally get a cold night out of this.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 25

Lows 32 or below = 13

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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The EPS control is pretty much like the ECMWF operational except there are two separate cold shots in the 6 to 10 day period instead of one continuous one.  the mean has the cold peaking around day 7 and then fading as would be expected with an ensemble mean in a developing situation.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 25

Lows 32 or below = 13

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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Still 7-10 days out. Long way to go.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 23 (Most recent: Dec 5, 2020)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Nov 21)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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Down to 46F so we might be in for our chilliest night of the season so far.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 23 (Most recent: Dec 5, 2020)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Nov 21)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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Down to 45F. I think we're gonna get there.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 23 (Most recent: Dec 5, 2020)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Nov 21)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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Also, the GFS is currently in the 2nd quarter.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 23 (Most recent: Dec 5, 2020)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Nov 21)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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37 so far this morning.  Coldest low temperature since May 7th and my first below normal low temp since September 28th.

It's also my first low in the 30s, the 2nd latest occurrence.  The average is October 1st.

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6:16 AM near West Gresham: Temp 39.0 brrrrrrrr!

6z GFS Ensembles were chilly. Note how many members for Portland/Seattle down to -0c to -5c with a few sneaking towards -8c and for Yakima/Columbia Basin even colder. C'MON!!!!

Portland

ens_image.php?geoid=135728&var=201&run=6

 

Seattle

ens_image.php?geoid=136221&var=201&run=6

 

Yakima

ens_image.php?geoid=136300&var=201&run=6

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43 this morning...may drop a degree or two before sunrise. Coldest we’ve been since early May as well. 

  • Snow 1

Cold season stats  

Coldest low-30

Coldest high-42

Freezes-1

Monthly rainfall-0.00”

Cold season rainfall-10.14”

Snowfall-0.0”

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Good morning

It's time for your Thursday morning [Model Countdown]

12z GFS in 1 hour 53 minutes

12z GEM/CMC in 2 hours 25 minutes

12z ECMWF in 4 hours 10 minutes

 

Here we go! Buckle up! C'MON!!!!

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Less than two days ago it appeared we would have to wait until early next week to get our first chilly night out of this and then last night / this morning happened.  Lots of 30s around the area.  Currently 40 IMBY.  On another note the 6z and its ensemble are the coldest GFS run yet for the coming cold snap.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 25

Lows 32 or below = 13

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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26 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Good morning

It's time for your Thursday morning [Model Countdown]

12z GFS in 1 hour 53 minutes

12z GEM/CMC in 2 hours 25 minutes

12z ECMWF in 4 hours 10 minutes

 

Here we go! Buckle up! C'MON!!!!

Nice work night shift! That night shift picture on your profile is amazing. 

  • Snow 2

Cold Season 2020/21:

Total snowfall: 22.0"

Highest daily snowfall: 12.0"

Highest snow depth: 14.0"

Coldest high: 9.0º

Coldest low: -5.1º

Number of subzero days: 2

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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First 30s at SLE too.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0                         2020-21: 14.69"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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