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October 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW


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Here's the snow thus far

By far the most impressive October storm I've witnessed here since 2012 when I bought property. Ended up with 9 inches of powder and is currently 22 degrees down from 24 at 9am. 

Just catching up to everything this morning. I think given that the user base of the forum has been somewhat of a close knit community for 15+ years, there is a bit of leeway given when it comes to be

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19 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Be sure to post pictures! I’m thinking of heading up to Anderson Mountain (between Bellingham and Mt. Vernon, elevation 3200) to see some snow. Assuming, of course, that the DNR doesn’t lock the gate.

Do you use the gate off of Alger CCC? Never been back there but have been curious. That'll probably be a good spot to catch some flakes.

Edit: shouldve read a few more posts

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31 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Looking like we will dip down to the 30s the next few nights and maybe even freezing here near the sound this weekend. Highs in the mid to upper 40s too. 

Today’s chore is to bring plants In from outside and mulch a few other under leaves to give them protection from the chill.
According to GFS we just have the chill and Friday/ Saturday Storm to track and we will probably get shadowed on that one.  Need me another round of active stormy weather to look forward to now that I’m home.

 

46* 
 

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10 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Today’s chore is to bring plants In from outside and mulch a few other under leaves to give them protection from the chill.
According to GFS we just have the chill and Friday/ Saturday Storm to track and we will probably get shadowed on that one.  Need me another round of active stormy weather to look forward to now that I’m home.

 

46* 
 

Yeah.  These are my thoughts too.  Then some more winter prep on the yard.

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22 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Today’s chore is to bring plants In from outside and mulch a few other under leaves to give them protection from the chill.
According to GFS we just have the chill and Friday/ Saturday Storm to track and we will probably get shadowed on that one.  Need me another round of active stormy weather to look forward to now that I’m home.

 

46* 
 

I need to bring the lemon in or to the west side of the house and string lights and frost cloth around it. I do have some cacti to bring in

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Heard a roll of thunder earlier, added .03" to the gauge, 6.01" for the month, 50.78" for the year.  Currently 46 after a low of 43.  Thinkin of shutting down the garden watering line from the well for the winter today but I am a bit hesitant for fear of jinxing the entire winter.  :wacko:

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1 minute ago, FroYoBro said:

The west coast ridge looks strong and stable for next week on the 12z GFS. Should make Tim happy. 

Wouldn't want to experience any prolonged troughing for literally the first time all year!

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10 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Wouldn't want to experience any prolonged troughing for literally the first time all year!

I don't mind troughing... that is not always wet if its deep enough.    Flat ridging with NW flow is usually the wettest pattern here during the rainy season.

I am just looking forward to the drier period coming up.   Regardless of how it happens.    Its rained for 2 weeks straight here and even in my wet location that usually means drier weather is ahead.   This is now the longest rain streak here since April of 2019 when it rained for 16 days in a row.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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10 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

No way it's been that cold before the 25th.  1949 bottomed out around -4.5 from what I can tell.  That's kind of the gold standard for pre October 25.  After the 25th is a way different ballgame.

I will say that it's possible the 850s have dropped to around -6 in maritime polar situation before the 25th before.  1956 and 1985 are a couple that come to mind for that.

Ever? You sure about that, mate?

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Its been very wet over the last month up here.    Deep troughing would be much drier in my area and also wetter for the rest of the western US.     But that does not seem to be what will happen.

 

anomimage (4).png

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17 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I don't mind troughing... that is not always wet if its deep enough.    Flat ridging with NW flow is usually the wettest pattern here during the rainy season.

I am just looking forward to the drier period coming up.   Regardless of how it happens.    Its rained for 2 weeks straight here and even in my wet location that usually means drier weather is ahead.   This is now the longest rain streak here since April of 2019 when it rained for 16 days in a row.  

Troughing causes cancer. Facts.

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5 minutes ago, Phil said:

Ever? You sure about that, mate?

About as accurate as saying a dinosaur has never walked down my street. What about when they lived in this area 65 million years ago??? 😤

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3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Troughing causes cancer. Facts.

Stupid comment... as usual.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Glad we are all back in dull weather mode! 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0                         2020-21: 3.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Glad we are all back in dull weather mode! 

With how the models have trended it's no surprise.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 18 (Most recent: Nov 28, 2020)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Nov 21)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

With how the models have trended it's no surprise.

But you would have been unhappy if they trended better too. Sounds fun. 😀

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Just now, Jesse said:

Where’s Rob. :(

We've lost Jim too.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 18 (Most recent: Nov 28, 2020)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Nov 21)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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Low of 46 here this morning with some light showers around. Currently 50 and mostly cloudy.

Looking forward to getting some nights consistently in the 30s after today. Maybe a nice storm train 🚂 will be in sight by Halloween.

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My son just texted and said there is lots of thunder and lightning right now at UW in Seattle.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

My son just texted and said there is lots of thunder and lightning right now at UW in Seattle.

I see that on the radar. Nice. Should be a little more dynamic up there compared to here the next few days.

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Seems like the energy has dropped here but the 12z ECMWF is quite cold and colder than the 00z.

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Cold Season 2020/21:

Total snowfall: 22.0"

Highest daily snowfall: 12.0"

Highest snow depth: 14.0"

Coldest high: 9.0º

Coldest low: -5.1º

Number of subzero days: 2

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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Lots of lightning and thunder with hail and evens seems like some snow mixed in but could just be melted hail but has a look of snow flakes. Temp dropped to 41deg so could be possible. 

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2 minutes ago, jcmcgaffey said:

Lots of lightning and thunder with hail and evens seems like some snow mixed in but could just be melted hail but has a look of snow flakes. Temp dropped to 41deg so could be possible. 

Wow, 41 during the day in October is pretty impressive! 

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11 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Seems like the energy has dropped here but the 12z ECMWF is quite cold and colder than the 00z.

Too late, it’s over. Everyone is burnt out already from all of this model riding. Looking forward to 2021/22. 

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25 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Seems like the energy has dropped here but the 12z ECMWF is quite cold and colder than the 00z.

Rob already hit the wall.  Earliest on record by far.  

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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12Z ECMWF looks lovely... a much deserved dry and sunny break for western WA.  

Hopefully this is the theme for the winter with distinct dry periods between the stormy periods.      Similar to 2013-14... and the complete opposite of 2017-18 which set the rainy season record for days with precip and offshore flow was almost completely absent.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Has been a nice day with a mix of clouds and sun here. No hail or thunder. Up to 52 currently. 

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Cold season stats  

Coldest low-30

Coldest high-42

Freezes-1

Monthly rainfall-6.68”

Cold season rainfall-9.85”

Snowfall-0.0”

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Temp has reached 60F up in herre.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 18 (Most recent: Nov 28, 2020)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Nov 21)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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