james1976 Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 59 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: Colder air is coming back according to 12z Euro. Love it. Hopefully a storm system to go with it. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 Headlines baby! Quote .DISCUSSION...(This evening through next Saturday) Issued at 258 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020 - High winds and snow showers Sunday and Sunday night Forecast wind profiles continue to show 40 to 45 knots in the mixing layer for Sunday afternoon and evening so we expect the potential for wind gusts over 45 mph. We have expanded the wind advisory across the entire CWA. 2 1 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 How Yoopers welcome Novembrr Quote URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Marquette MI 415 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020 MIZ006-007-013-014-085-010900- /O.NEW.KMQT.WW.Y.0021.201101T1200Z-201102T0000Z/ Alger-Luce-Delta-Southern Schoolcraft-Northern Schoolcraft- Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry, Escanaba, Gladstone, Manistique, and Seney 415 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow expected off Lake Superior. Blowing snow also expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 6 inches, lowest along and south of Highway US-2 and greatest in the Chatham, Trenary and Sundell areas. Winds gusting as high as 50 to 60 mph, strongest along Lake Superior. 4 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 31, 2020 Report Share Posted October 31, 2020 This can stop by any time this winter. Low Res GEM makes for nice eye-candy here with it's wide areal coverage. NAM's much more realistic with a narrow band coming into SWMI. Kuchera has me at 0.1-0.3" so I might just get on the board if things go right. 2 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 6 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said: Colder air is coming back according to 12z Euro. I was about to pop in and say, the GFS has to be "sleeping in" on this deal. Theres just no possible way we were going back to warm and boring. Changes incoming..... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 8 minutes ago, OKwx2k4 said: I was about to pop in and say, the GFS has to be "sleeping in" on this deal. Theres just no possible way we were going back to warm and boring. Changes incoming..... Based on my 3 years here, that’s not an unusual scenario 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 4 hours ago, Niko said: Here we go.....Headline out! Jaster, ya ready?! NOAA: Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 430 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020 MIZ049-054-063-070-076-083-012030- Huron-Tuscola-St. Clair-Macomb-Wayne-Monroe- 430 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Michigan. A Lakeshore Flood Advisory is in effect tonight for the Lake Erie and Lake St Clair shoreline. Please see the latest Lakeshore Hazard message for details. Numerous snow showers are expected Sunday into Sunday evening, along with west-northwest wind gusts of 40 to 45 mph. Snowfall accumulations of a dusting to 1 inch are expected. I'm ready.. but have plans to spend the afternoon over in SEMI, lol. If not, I'd likely be heading over to the big lake to see some of the best gusts/wave action expected there. Quote .UPDATE... Issued at 705 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020 For the most part our ongoing forecast looks fine. I did fine tune the precipitation to show a break between the showers ahead of the cold front and the wrap around snow showers behind the front. There is enough cold air with this system to bring the freezing level to the ground or very near to the ground by early afternoon so I could see grassy surfaces down wind of the better fetch snow showers getting and inch or so Sunday. The higher terrain areas north of Grand Rapids would see the most. There seems to be a preferred area of snow accumulations near US-131 just south of Grand Raids. In that area we have good lift in the DGZ and cloud tops look to be near 9000 ft, so these could be decent snow showers. The gusty winds look very much on track too. The latest HRRR is still showing gusts in the 40 to 45 mph, the ECMWF has gusts in the 45 to 50 mph range. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Frankfort, a coastal city known for it's rail-era transport ferries was my vacation destination of choice during this (COVID) summer of 2020. The first shot is at the city beach at the end of July. The calmness of summer will be a thing of the past as the "Gales of November" make their appearance tomorrow. Conditions at the lake front tomorrow per APX: Winds gusting 56 mph, waves 12-15 ft. Surf's up! 4 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 47 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Frankfort, a coastal city known for it's rail-era transport ferries was my vacation destination of choice during this (COVID) summer of 2020. The first shot is at the city beach at the end of July. The calmness of summer will be a thing of the past as the "Gales of November" make their appearance tomorrow. Conditions at the lake front tomorrow per APX: Winds gusting 56 mph, waves 12-15 ft. Surf's up! Jaster, if I ever get to scratch it off my list one day, I'd like to come spend a week as a lighthouse keeper up there sometime or at Crisp Point near Whitefish. I'd probably lose myself with joy like a little child if I ever got the opportunity. It would be wonderful. Don't know if that's near where you are but I've done research that led me there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Almost as fast as I demonstrate a great reason why the future looks really bright for our winter(It IS still a month away.), I am reminded of a reason why I have to be objective. There is, in a few of the models; a very intense warm wave in this pattern and over the N. Pac you have this ugly mug (solid ridge) popping it's ugly head up. Want to erase the pooling pattern and the heat out of the N Pac also? Flip to this. Do I think it will? Not this winter, but November could break us as this Niña is a bit unprecedented in terms of underforecasted strength and arriving at a pretty unusual time of year. If I understand correctly, a Niña is usually peaking or peaked at this point and this one is still on the rise. Blocking in the long run suggests the ridge doesn't transition in later cycles but I've been here before, too. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 2 hours ago, jaster220 said: I'm ready.. but have plans to spend the afternoon over in SEMI, lol. If not, I'd likely be heading over to the big lake to see some of the best gusts/wave action expected there. Always fun to see the first flakes of the season flying and perhaps a dusting here and there. Kinda gets you ready for the holidays, even though, this year, it will be weird w covid around. Btw: make sure you yell out "Nikoooooooooooo" as you are driving by SEMI! 3 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 13 hours ago, FAR_Weather said: Three straight windows open days next week. In terms of likeable but extremely variable weather, this autumn has hit 10/10 for every enjoyable type I could imagine except one. ......heavy snow or snow in general. I cannot complain one bit though. Not one. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 1, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Welcome to November! As we all "fall back" an hour, models coming in an hour earlier. It's that time of year again...cheers! Like Clinton mentioned the other day, this Autumn season has been filled with windy days. Yesterday, I was outside most of the day doing yard work and cleaning up dead plants. I'll leave the leaf raking for Monday's job as today the winds are supposed to gust even higher than yesterday. The cold temps from the night before really helped in turning more color and leafs were flying off yesterday. The tree's in my back yard are about 75% bare. Should be one of the earliest seasons in recent memory where the trees are bare by mid November at this rate. Meantime, the powerful CF has made its way through and temps are beginning to tank. It's going to be a cold and blustery Sunday...hang onto your hats! Big rise in the SOI, no surprise a big ridge across the Eastern CONUS in the extended... SOI Dashboard Latest Southern Oscillation Index values SOI values for 1 Nov, 2020 Average SOI for last 30 days 4.19 Average SOI for last 90 days 8.16 Daily contribution to SOI calculation 28.76 1 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Good Sunday morning. The GFS has been trending stronger and colder with our next system and could there be another tropical influence on this storm? As the models begin to digest the blocking this system could explode and be our first share the wealth storm of the season. 3 1 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 While this in mostly a recap of October I will post it here and also in the October section. For better or worse welcome to November. October 2020 at Grand Rapids had a mean temperature of 47.8 that was a departure of -3.2. The high for the month was 79 on the 9th and the low was 25 on the 31st there was a trace of reported snow fall. This was the coldest October since 2006. At Muskegon they had a mean of 49.9 that was a departure there of -0.8 the highest was 75 on the 9th and the low was 29 on the 31st. and they also reported a trace of snow fall. At Holland they had a mean of 47.9 and that was good for a departure of 3.7. The highest at Holland in October was 77 on the 9th and the low was 29 on the 31st. And to the east at Lansing the mean there was 47.5 for a departure of -2.8 the highest there was 78 on the 9th and the low was 25 on the 31st There was no snow fall reported at Lansing in October. At this time it is windy and there is some light snow and leaves falling here at my house with a temperature of 38. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 The warmup begins today. 18.7*F. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Well I am now getting the first lake effect snow shower of the 2020/21 season here as moderate snow is falling along with a lot of leaves. The temperature is now at 36. While the snow is not staying on the ground it has now turned the roofs white for now. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 6 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Headed down to Omaha on Thursday and then KC. Gonna enjoy some upper 60s and low 70s for a few days before reality strikes again. Road trippin’ with the wife for a few days to get out of the house. Weather looks perfect for the drive. 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 1, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 17 minutes ago, St Paul Storm said: Headed down to Omaha on Thursday and then KC. Gonna enjoy some upper 60s and low 70s for a few days before reality strikes again. Road trippin’ with the wife for a few days to get out of the house. Weather looks perfect for the drive. Perfect timing weather wise...have fun and be safe! I'll be traveling myself and flying to AZ tomorrow and prob stay through end of November. I still have to finish up yard work and raking the leaves before I take off. Enjoy the warmer temps as I'll be doing the same! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Exactly 2 wks after I posted this Obs from MQT, we here in Marshall have joined the (winter) club. Had to run up to the mkt and boy were huge flakes flying as I walked out. 1st class squalls on/off this late morning. Can clearly see when the secondary CF came thru and dropped temps at the airport 7 deg's in 20 mins. 21F WC. It's a very raw November 1st out there! Looks like another line of squalls knocking on the door per radar loop. 3 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 16 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Exactly 2 wks after I posted this Obs from MQT, we here in Marshall have joined the (winter) club. Had to run up to the mkt and boy were huge flakes flying as I walked out. 1st class squalls on/off this late morning. Can clearly see when the secondary CF came thru and dropped temps at the airport 7 deg's in 20 mins. 21F WC. It's a very raw November 1st out there! Looks like another line of squalls knocking on the door per radar loop. Enjoy bud....and plenty more to come. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Currently getting light snowshowers.......temp at 37F and dropping during the afternoon, as temps tumble through the 30s and into the 20s. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Second week of November, temps go back to normal and then BN, especially, 3rd and final week. This is perfect and that is what I wanted for November. Nothing extreme, in terms of snowfall, or frigid temps. Just flurries and a dusting here and there to get you in the holiday spirit. 3 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 That was quite the GFS run (12z) 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Jaycee Posted November 1, 2020 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Came to West Virginia last week and have been here since. I’ve been lucky to have a lot of time off with Covid. It’s easily the most beautiful place I’ve ever been. Too bad the storm wiped most of the leaves but I was able to get glimpses of it atleast! IMG_0768.MP4 IMG_0779.MP4 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 ETA has been formed....... Note: Nearly one month is left in the already record-setting 2020 Atlantic hurricane season, which officially ends on Nov. 30. Eta has become the 28th named tropical storm of the season -- tying 2005's record of 28 systems in one year. This is also the first time Eta has ever been used in the Atlantic basin. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has been ratcheting through the Greek alphabet -- for only the second time in history -- to name tropical systems once the designated list for 2020 was exhausted. 2005 was the only other year to use Greek letters, and Zeta was last on the list for that notorious season. 3 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 1 hour ago, james1976 said: That was quite the GFS run (12z) I thought it might go in that direction and it absorbs yet another tropical system man this has the potential to be a very big storm for November can we get a blizzard maybe. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 1, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 @Clinton, I see JB on WxBell updated his Winter thoughts. Can you elaborate on here what he is thinking now? 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 342 AM EST Sun Nov 1 2020 MIZ047-048-053-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-021000- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-St. Clair-Livingston- Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- 342 AM EST Sun Nov 1 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight A wind advisory is in effect this afternoon and evening. In addition to gusty winds, scattered to numerous snow showers are expected today. These snow showers may briefly become heavy, resulting in a dusting of snow on unpaved surfaces. Note: It feels like December out there.....temp currently at 34F and dropping into the 20s throughout the day w snowshowers around. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 1 hour ago, Tom said: @Clinton, I see JB on WxBell updated his Winter thoughts. Can you elaborate on here what he is thinking now? He says no forecast changes since last month. He mentions the Pioneer and CFSv2SST supports a colder forecast. Mentioned analog years of 1983-84, 1995-96, 2017-18 were heavy hitters in terms of snowfall that had this kind of support from the CFS. "Such a pattern could produce a lot of snow, especially since the precipitation in the analog patterns shows plenty of above-normal amounts and even some intersecting of below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation. While not etched in stone, simply above normal precipitation implies, even in warm winters, one or two storms that can sneak in and provide significant snowfalls (example 2016)." 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Currently light snow and very windy. Temp is at 33F. Wcf in the teens. 1 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Haha wow 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 6 minutes ago, james1976 said: Haha wow And the cold is unleashed after this storm passes. Big changes in a week. Will be fascinating how it transpires. 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 14 minutes ago, james1976 said: Haha wow snowstorm83 has left the chat 2 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 The last time it snowed here in SEMI (in my area) was back on May 12th, 2020 and today Nov 1st, 2020, the first flakes were seen again. 1 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 2 hours ago, james1976 said: Haha wow pretty map! 2 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 Amazing week coming here! #SolarMin 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 8 hours ago, Jaycee said: Came to West Virginia last week and have been here since. I’ve been lucky to have a lot of time off with Covid. It’s easily the most beautiful place I’ve ever been. Too bad the storm wiped most of the leaves but I was able to get glimpses of it atleast! IMG_0768.MP4 5.65 MB · 0 downloads IMG_0779.MP4 Truly beautiful. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 2, 2020 Report Share Posted November 2, 2020 8 hours ago, Clinton said: I thought it might go in that direction and it absorbs yet another tropical system man this has the potential to be a very big storm for November can we get a blizzard maybe. Yeah, that 12z run was a mega-tease for your location. 18z moves it further NW. Looks healthy but it's a long ways out. Still, better than the big fat zero on that map for these parts, lol. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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