Stacsh Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 29 minutes ago, james1976 said: So the Euro and CMC both show a big storm for this next weekend but GFS shows nothing at all. DMX siding with the GFS and saying it will be quiet. Hmmm..... That latest GFS run was the quietest I've ever seen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 43 minutes ago, james1976 said: So the Euro and CMC both show a big storm for this next weekend but GFS shows nothing at all. DMX siding with the GFS and saying it will be quiet. Hmmm..... IMO there should be a system for the weekend but most likely weaker than what the Euro and CMC are showing. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Attm, 37F w cloudy skies. Feels nice seeing a little snow otg during Thanksgiving week. Exactly the way I like it to be this time of the year. Speaking of snow, Detroit ended up w 1.9", while here in mby, I scored a very nice 2.8" which is perfect! As I have said, save the good stuff for December and afterwards. MACOMB COUNTY***:0808/ 34 / 30 / 34 / 0.25/ 2.8/1 DTW****: Detroit Metro Airport: 40 / 32 / 35 / 0.37 / 1.9 /1 4 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Tonight's snow will require me to be up late, not just to watch, but to measure. After 2 or 3 am, the melt will begin. 3 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 4 hours ago, Tom said: Could we finish off with a Bang??? There is more model data indicating that we may have ourselves a strong system to track late in the month. Last night's 00z Euro took a track a bit farther NW this run...those who are initially on the warm side, benefit from wrap-around snows. These features are to far out to pin point now but I'm digging the potential for this storm. Let's see how this all shakes out. GRR channeling you Tom! Quote -- Another system over the weekend -- The weekend will give way to more unsettled weather though there is some discrepancies in timing and location. This weakens confidence in the path of the systems. However there is some credence that following a dry front on Sunday with lake effect possible. The end of November has the potential to end with a bang and go out like a lion with a weather system progged to move through Sunday night into next Monday. 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 GFS still quiet for the end of the month 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Snowing moderately in Omaha right now, it’s even coming down hard enough to stick on the grass and on elevated surfaces. Nice little surprise even though it won’t last long. 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 9 minutes ago, james1976 said: GFS still quiet for the end of the month It sometimes misses the party invite. And then finds it later on. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 This morning's NAM 12k has improved the look over SWMI for tomorrow. The snow shield is less of a thin sliver, and it remains more snow until finished vs changing to a mix or rain at the end. Hoping it's onto something. NWS mentioning now as well that daytime event mostly snow falling, if not piling up much down my way. 48hr Kuchera map that covers the event has me with a chance at 3-ish inches which is a positive trend from the inch or so it had a day ago. 850's apparently hold better than previously seen. 1 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 1 hour ago, Niko said: Attm, 37F w cloudy skies. Feels nice seeing a little snow otg during Thanksgiving week. Exactly the way I like it to be this time of the year. Speaking of snow, Detroit ended up w 1.9", while here in mby, I scored a very nice 2.8" which is perfect! As I have said, save the good stuff for December and afterwards. MACOMB COUNTY***:0808/ 34 / 30 / 34 / 0.25/ 2.8/1 DTW****: Detroit Metro Airport: 40 / 32 / 35 / 0.37 / 1.9 /1 Congrats amigo, nice score and jumped in the lead. Looks like LES may be my friend this winter. Last year it comprised 27% of my total (about normal) but I'm thinking it will be on the increase just as GRR mentioned when they posted the NOAA winter outlook. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 19 minutes ago, Bryan1117 said: Snowing moderately in Omaha right now, it’s even coming down hard enough to stick on the grass and on elevated surfaces. Nice little surprise even though it won’t last long. That same band provided a nice quick soaking here this morning with maybe a few wet snowflakes mixed in. Impressive that it's changed to accumulating snow! 2 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 10 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Congrats amigo, nice score and jumped in the lead. Looks like LES may be my friend this winter. Last year it comprised 27% of my total (about normal) but I'm thinking it will be on the increase just as GRR mentioned when they posted the NOAA winter outlook. Thanks amigo! Here is to a great, snowy start to this upcoming Winter season! Btw: How much did you get from yesterdays snowevent? Also, might score a little more snow w tomorrows system. Have to keep an close eye on that. Marshall is looking likely to receive more snow w tomorrows storm than Macomb. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 It's ripping here wow. Edit: Only saw out the window while making lunch. Just looked closer it's covering the road. 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 This would be an awesome winter storm if there was just a bit more cold air. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Canadian tonight 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Well lasted about 30 minutes. Very wet heavy snow but might be our best amount so far for the season lol. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Canadian on Sunday. This would be fun to track. I hope this system holds together the next couple days on the models. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Precip started here mixed with some sleet. Good to see the wet weather continue. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Looks like its pounding in sw Iowa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Euro showing a quick 1-3" tonight before changing over to rain and showing well over an inch for most of eastern Iowa. Man, if only we had some cold air in place, this would have been a big pre-holiday snowstorm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Curious to see if the Euro continues to show the weekend storm. CMC stayed consistent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 36 minutes ago, bud2380 said: Canadian on Sunday. This would be fun to track. I hope this system holds together the next couple days on the models. Unfortunately, the Euro just caved to the GFS, at least for today's run. The northern wave sweeps right past the southern energy without pulling it north and phasing. 1 1 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Yep, Euro is a big whiff on the next system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whatitdo Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 50 minutes ago, bud2380 said: Yep, Euro is a big whiff on the next system. Weird since it’s been picking it up pretty adamantly past couple days. Wonder what happened Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 WWA issued for southcentral WI Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 WWA also issued for east-central Iowa and nw Illinois. DVN is saying 2-4". Around Cedar Rapids it would likely be 2", with 3-4" possible along highway 20 (Dubuque). 1 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Euro could not possibly be more boring for here thru 240. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Attm, its 41F under mostly cloudy skies and breezy as well. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 FWIW it only hit 37 today. Low 40s was forecasted. Idk if that will have any outcome on tonight's event but so far we've been on the colder side of guidance. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Scored my first WWA of the season! NWS going with 2-3" and local met says 2-4" 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 2" report in south central Iowa. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Yep- nearly 2" at DSM airport with no mention of snow in the updated grids.....but the TAF shows +SN. amazing.... 3 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 1 hour ago, Grizzcoat said: Yep- nearly 2" at DSM airport with no mention of snow in the updated grids.....but the TAF shows +SN. amazing.... DMX has had some interesting misses 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Recent runs of the HRRR have been dwindling the snow total for the CR/IC area. It's down to <1" now. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 No development back up to the north and west yet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Band W of DSM moving along I-80 is snow... most radars are showing it as rain/mix but it's all snow, Maybe a few more tenths before a true change to rain but taking it all in right now. 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 3k NAM has gone much weaker with the precip in general over the next 24 hours across Iowa, including a much-diminished snow area over ne/ec Iowa. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 now mainly sleet- but the roads and getting covered. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Pure boredom up here. Ain't seeing anything anytime soon. Terrible model output. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Snow is falling here in Tiffin. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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