MossMan Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Negativity for as far as the eye can see (except for the next couple of days) 4 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 52 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: Off topic, but it looks like Super Typhoon Goni may have been the strongest storm ever recorded to strike land when it hit the Philippines yesterday. Winds were estimated at 195 mph at landfall with a central pressure of 876 mb. Just insanely fast winds. Like a tornado thats miles and miles wide. https://www.severe-weather.eu/tropical-weather/typhoon-goni-landfall-mk/ That would be flat out scary. Looks like everything is on steroids this year. This insanely anomalous La Nina is probably part of it. It was below -1.6 yesterday. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Dropped to 32 this morning and it's still in the 30s thanks to some fog earlier. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 GFS is pretty boring. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Low of 43 this morning in Tacoma...41 up here on orcas island. Heading back home tonight. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Looks like we could get more rain in the next upcoming week than we did in the entire month of November last year. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said: Looks like we could get more rain in the next upcoming week than we did in the entire month of November last year. Next weekend is looking dry again. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 That 8 to 10 day period is looking increasingly interesting. Next weekend still looks solidly chilly as well. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: GFS is pretty boring. It keeps the block going a lot longer though and it resets nicely next week. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 1, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Well we made it down to freezing again. #7 for the young season. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Well we made it down to freezing again. #7 for the young season. Only 2 below freezing nights in the valley here... October 25th and 26th. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 If you like cold there is nothing wrong with the 12z. In some ways better than any recent run. The block reset is much cleaner and ends up colder. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 13 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Low of 43 this morning in Tacoma...41 up here on orcas island. Heading back home tonight. Amazing how different our low temps can be sometimes. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 A big goal for me is always to have a 100 freeze season. The coming pattern makes it look that will be on the table at least in the early going. Places that have already had 5 or more are really off to a good start. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 44 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: A big goal for me is always to have a 100 freeze season. The coming pattern makes it look that will be on the table at least in the early going. Places that have already had 5 or more are really off to a good start. Have had 5 freezes here so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 60 here now. Big temperature gradients out here... elevated places are really warm. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Well we never expected much from November anyways right? 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 48 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Amazing how different our low temps can be sometimes. My location probably has the warmest overnight lows of anybody here. Right next the sound we tend to have nights 3-5 degrees warmer on cold mornings. Waters warm nearby and lots of times we have a hard time getting the wind to die down compared to other locations. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Up to 41. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 The 12z ensemble is onto the idea of the double dip cold snap. Not sure how that wasn't a good GFS run. Solidly cold. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The 12z ensemble is onto the idea of the double dip cold snap. Not sure how that wasn't a good GFS run. Solidly cold. Well Andrew likely wants lots of storms and zonal flow... so maybe his interests are not always exactly in line with yours. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The 12z ensemble is onto the idea of the double dip cold snap. Not sure how that wasn't a good GFS run. Solidly cold. Andrew says “NOPE” Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 25 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 60 here now. Big temperature gradients out here... elevated places are really warm. Same down here. It's 56 here which is 6 degrees warmer than PDX right now. Sandy is all the way up at 60 at 1000ft. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 16 minutes ago, iFred said: “We” Woo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Already getting close to 60 here in Tigard. Warming at a rapid pace this morning. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 1, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Clouds have burned off. Just 45F though. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 12Z ECMWF shows 3 days with rain up here (Tues - Thurs) and then its basically dry for the next 4 days (Fri - Mon)... good timing. Too bad we did not have this cycle last May and June when it rained for 7 weekends in a row. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Just now, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF shows 3 days with rain up here (Tues - Thurs) and then its basically dry for the next 4 days (Fri - Mon)... good timing. Too bad we did not have this cycle last May and June when it rained for 7 weekends in a row. That is a serious and disturbing sign that all is not well with the world… rainy weekends are a time-tested Seattle area tradition. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 53 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Well Andrew likely wants lots of storms and zonal flow... so maybe his interests are not always exactly in line with yours. I would be fine with an actual cold snap too. This is just meandering crap. We have had enough Nino weather the past few years. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 The 12z ECMWF delivers a very solid cold shot next weekend. We end up on the back side of a cold ULL with surface gradients becoming northerly. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 5 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Clouds have burned off. Just 45F though. 50 here. Starting to warm up quickly. May crack 60 tomorrow afternoon. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I would be fine with an actual cold snap too. This is just meandering crap. We have had enough Nino weather the past few years. Nino weather? The runs are cold. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 Cold. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 58 at HIO. For some reason the 5 minute updates are gone. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 I have to say I've never seen so much complaining about a strong GOA block during the cold season on here before. Weird. For the record a typical Nino pattern would have a trough over the NE Pacific / GOA. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I would be fine with an actual cold snap too. This is just meandering crap. We have had enough Nino weather the past few years. Cold front NW flow is a Niño pattern? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: I have to say I've never seen so much complaining about a strong GOA block during the cold season on here before. Weird. For the record a typical Nino pattern would have a trough over the NE Pacific / GOA. Wasting it now for one thing. Secondly these troughs are pretty weak and splitty and aren't attached to any kind of cold air source. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 64 here now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 64 here now. Hot! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted November 1, 2020 Report Share Posted November 1, 2020 33 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I have to say I've never seen so much complaining about a strong GOA block during the cold season on here before. Weird. For the record a typical Nino pattern would have a trough over the NE Pacific / GOA. Actually nino’s have a lot of split flow with inversions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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