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November 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW


TigerWoodsLibido

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I like the evolution late this week on the 18z vs the previous few runs.  The southern portion of the trough doesn't cut off so badly, and the trough digs back more after it has dug in.  Good run.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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6 minutes ago, puyallupjon said:

is it going to be that kind of winter?  everything looks great at day 16

I don't get why everyone is so down today.  The models are still advertising a long period of well below normal temps.  Not sure what people are looking for right now.  The general theme is high GOA heights which means cold weather.  This pattern will cause the West Coast SSTs to plunge also which is never a bad thing.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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The 18z GFS shows a menacing tropical storm / hurricane that meanders for days around Cuba and Florida.   Crazy year for the Atlantic.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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11 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I don't get why everyone is so down today.  The models are still advertising a long period of well below normal temps.  Not sure what people are looking for right now.  The general theme is high GOA heights which means cold weather.  This pattern will cause the West Coast SSTs to plunge also which is never a bad thing.

Snowpack pattern Jim. We will need some decent zonal flow at some point. 

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6 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said:

Snowpack pattern Jim. We will need some decent zonal flow at some point. 

Everyone is always so worried about that and it always works out except for some rare El Nino winters.  The water alarmists are there every year.  Even if the core of the winter is dry I'm sure the late winter and early spring will bring huge amounts of snow to the mountains.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Everyone is always so worried about that and it always works out except for some rare El Nino winters.  The water alarmists are there every year.  Even if the core of the winter is dry I'm sure the late winter and early spring will bring huge amounts of snow to the mountains.

Yikes...

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Because we aren’t in a 7 year long term drought or anything...

  • Sun 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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7 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

image.thumb.png.3b812c85f70b5d86054205fd3253ba37.png

Isn't it beautiful?

Gorgeous. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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The 18z GFS ensemble is colder than normal for the entire run after the next few days.  Normally people would be pretty happy with that.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said:

Hey, I'm new here. Howdy.

 

18z featured a superbly outstanding mountain snow pattern, and yeah depending on the configuration of the block as it reorganizes we could turn quite cold here. C'MON!!!!

00z NAM in 1 hour 4 minutes

00z GFS in 2 hours 53 minutes

We could get into a cold and wet regime at times, but with the blocking that is highly precarious.  I sure hope it happens just to cheer some people up on here.  In the meantime I'm going to enjoy all of the cold weather that's coming.

  • Snow 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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39 minutes ago, jakeinthevalley said:

Planned on one of the last lawn mowing of the year and the starter cord decided to snap.

Too late in the day to replace it.

Pacific Standard Time sucks.

If you pulled the debris cover, and the recoil off to expose the flywheel, then put your cordless (or corded) drill on the flywheel bolt and crank that puppy over until it starts, and wham you are in business! Get the flashlight and go for it! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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13 minutes ago, MossMan said:

If you pulled the debris cover, and the recoil off to expose the flywheel, then put your cordless (or corded) drill on the flywheel bolt and crank that puppy over until it starts, and wham you are in business! Get the flashlight and go for it! 

This is the second time it has broken in the last several months. You mentioned that advise before and I am still too chicken to try it!!!

I just had to replace the starter in my daughter's car last week (after a hefty tow bill) so I guess internal combustion engines are conspiring against me this year!!

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Just now, DJ Droppin said:
I think I'm seeing a similar trend with the trough 'narrowing' at 160 W between the strengthening Aleutian ridge and our flat offshore ridge.

Still somewhat newish to the weather game. Does this mean that we get colder air and does not slide the east or...

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1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Still somewhat newish to the weather game. Does this mean that we get colder air and does not slide the east or...

Cold air wouldn't dump south off Alaska with the trough well offshore as models have been showing the past few days. It would come down more from the northwest/north-northwest perhaps just off the BC Coast.

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