TT-SEA Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Max wind gusts through Saturday morning per the 12Z GFS... would be basically a non-event for the Seattle area northward with that track. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Heaviest frost of the season so far. Now 31°F after an overnight low of 28. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Pineapples take over after Day 4 with milder flow/850s. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 18 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: High Wind Watches issued after full suite or 12z runs come out? I think so. For Oregon no question. Glad to see you guys get into the wind action Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Wow, the strength and landfall of the low is starting to look pretty impressive. I might end up being in the perfect location for a good old fashioned windstorm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said: 12z NAM 972mb North Washington Coast. Really NAM, REALLY? ****, I hope I'm wrong 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 GFS gets gross in the mid-range again. Small details between nice mountain snows and major torching early next week. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 3 hours ago, Jesse said: The night shift dropped the ball. Watched pot never bombs into a 970mb storm! 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 12z GEM is now weaker? 989mb off North Washington Coast. We are 48hours out and not seeing very good model agreement with 12z ICON, GFS, NAM, and now the GEM. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Just now, DJ Droppin said: 12z GEM is now weaker? 989mb off North Washington Coast. We are 48hours out and not seeing very good model agreement with 12z ICON, GFS, NAM, and now the GEM. I have noticed over the past 20 years. If a wind storm has an opportunity to bust, it will, unless it is an offshore wind event which destroys half of Oregon. Then it will over achieve. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 6 minutes ago, Jbolin said: Really NAM, REALLY? ****, I hope I'm wrong Nam is terrible with low strength when it counts. I wouldn’t put any stock in it 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 2 hours ago, FroYoBro said: Why didn’t you text me?!?!?? That map from the 06z euro almost looks scary for some areas. Wow. Cell towers must be down already in anticipation of the coming megastorm. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 12z GEM is now weaker? 989mb off North Washington Coast. We are 48hours out and not seeing very good model agreement with 12z ICON, GFS, NAM, and now the GEM. A lot of missing data due to lack of marine traffic but esp air traffic. A lot of derived data comes from international flights, as we know that aspect has taken a major hit. I suspect we are experiencing that to an extent. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Corvallis reporting 30 on the hour. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Sucks how the 12z GFS keeps Oregon torchy the first half of next week. Looks like it may be temporary though. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Sucks how the 12z GFS keeps Oregon torchy the first half of next week. Looks like it may be temporary though. Good edit Andrew Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Day 8-9 mega jet and big trough digging in Gulf of Alaska. A November to remember. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 3 minutes ago, Jesse said: Good edit Andrew The system this weekend looks like a mountain snow bonanza too. So that is very positive news. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 12z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 So fun to finally have a wet and active November. Timing couldn't have worked out better since I was out of town for the five days of dullsville at the beginning of the month, too. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 6 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Most 12z GFS ensemble members showing landfall somewhere along the WA coast. Yesterday they were all mostly showing Vancouver Island, so definitely an overall southward shift. Starting to look like it’s going to hit the central WA coast. Probably won’t be much north of Seattle but south of Seattle and down through Oregon are very much still in play. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Partly sunny and a low of 38 here this morning. Ended up with a seasonably cool 50/39 spread yesterday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 00Z EPS... 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 If you're squeamish at all and do not presently have a barf bag handy, do not look at the 12z GEM. 500mb pattern U G L Y. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 6 minutes ago, Jesse said: So fun to finally have a wet and active November. Timing couldn't have worked out better since I was out of town for the five days of dullsville at the beginning of the month, too. Good thing you got back in time to enjoy the sloppy weather you can’t really go outside and enjoy! 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Looks like EUG only made it down to 33. The 5 minute obs seem to be back again. Santiam Pass reporting 34", with 17" new. However, I'm guessing that ob was probably made rather unscientifically by an ODOT worker. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Just now, Timmy said: Good thing you got back in time to enjoy the sloppy weather you can’t really go outside and enjoy! Nah. Just bundle up. Can still go mud hiking.... We can always dry off/warm up later. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Got down to 33F overnight. Was hoping we could sneak a freeze in there. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 6 minutes ago, Timmy said: Good thing you got back in time to enjoy the sloppy weather you can’t really go outside and enjoy! Have gone walking every day and hiked Hamilton Mountain in the Gorge since I've been back. Might be time to nut up a little. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 7 minutes ago, Jesse said: Have gone walking every day and hiked Hamilton Mountain in the Gorge since I've been back. Might be time to nut up a little. I've only hiked Hamilton once years ago. The east winds nearly blew us off the mountain. Loved that hike! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Jesse Posted November 11, 2020 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 8 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: I've only hiked Hamilton once years ago. The east winds nearly blew us off the mountain. Loved that hike! We went on Monday so it was chilly but there was a strong NW wind. There was some fresh snow on top of Table Mtn to the NE, and some very cool cloud formations ahead of the incoming system. 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 6 minutes ago, Jesse said: We went on Monday so it was chilly but there was a strong NW wind. There was some fresh snow on top of Table Mtn to the NE, and some very cool cloud formations ahead of the incoming system. Those standing Lenticular's are fantastic 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 27 minutes ago, Jesse said: So fun to finally have a wet and active November. Timing couldn't have worked out better since I was out of town for the five days of dullsville at the beginning of the month, too. If I had to guess, I would say most Willamette Valley stations will end up fairly close to normal with precip this month. PDX probably pushes above normal. To date: EUG: 0.47" -1.68 SLE: 0.69" -1.17 PDX: 1.42" -0.27 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 When COVID is over or highly manageable, I'm coming down to PDX and buying Rob, Jesse, Tiger, Fro and a couple others drinks. We're all gonna ******* need 'em 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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