Chewbacca Defense Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Got down to 30 last night. Had to use the ice scraper this morning, first “real” frost of the year for me. 1 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Jesse is not going to be surprised by this, but I really like the long range GFS. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 12z WRF 4km Simulated IR Satellite This has "wind storm" written all over it! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Jesse is not going to be surprised by this, but I really like the long range GFS. Jesse 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Jesse is not going to be surprised by this, but I really like the long range GFS. Wowzers. GFS says it looks to be the stormiest November in quite awhile. Very active, rainy, windy, mountain snow, atmospheric river. Yikes. Glad I cleaned the gutters. 2 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Jesse is not going to be surprised by this, but I really like the long range GFS. I really like the long range GFS too. 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 13 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: Got down to 30 last night. Had to use the ice scraper this morning, first “real” frost of the year for me. Air must have been too dry for frost with all the other freezes. We had a couple like that here too last week of October. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 NAM looking very good. 973mb low in the strait of Juan de Fuca with potential -10mb PDX-EUG. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 1 minute ago, Omegaraptor said: I really like the long range GFS too. Pretty rare for Redding to see that sort of weather...might want to reconsider your stance on this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, Jesse said: Pretty rare for Redding to see that sort of weather...might want to reconsider your stance on this. 1st year Niña = not split flow hell 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Don't forget that often(but not always) models are notorious for being 3-6mb too weak on depth(mb). We have to factor that into the equation for Friday. 12z ECMWF in 10 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 1 minute ago, Omegaraptor said: 1st year Niña = not split flow hell This is probably the first one you are old enough to appreciate. They can be a lot of fun. I know I am in a minority here but I really enjoyed 2007-08. Especially considering how rare the default weather we saw that winter had been in the several years preceding. 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 9 minutes ago, Jesse said: Air must have been too dry for frost with all the other freezes. We had a couple like that here too last week of October. That’s how my first freeze was a couple of weeks ago. There were frozen puddles but no frost anywhere. Outflow winds were blowing and dew point was in the teens. I’ve had several frosts since then, but last night’s was by far the heaviest. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said: That’s how my first freeze was a couple of weeks ago. There were frozen puddles but no frost anywhere. Outflow winds were blowing and dew point was in the teens. Sort of a rare way to get a first freeze around here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Just now, Jesse said: Sort of a rare way to get a first freeze around here. Less rare for Whatcom County. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Almost EC time. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 13 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Less rare for Whatcom County. I foresaw this sort of response. Probably much more common for Whatcom to see their first freeze thanks to radiational cooling. First freeze thanks to a well mixed modified arctic airmass is rare even up there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 5 minutes ago, Jesse said: This is probably the first one you are old enough to appreciate. They can be a lot of fun. I know I am in a minority here but I really enjoyed 2007-08. Especially considering how rare the default weather we saw that winter had been in the several years preceding. 2007-08 looks like a very enjoyable winter, best snow year in the Cascades since 98-99. Had two windstorms (although one was in November and not in met winter) and a ton of cold fronts. As a skier I probably would have enjoyed it. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 12z ECMWF Day 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 9 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: 2007-08 looks like a very enjoyable winter, best snow year in the Cascades since 98-99. Had two windstorms (although one was in November and not in met winter) and a ton of cold fronts. As a skier I probably would have enjoyed it. You would've lost your s*** skiing in the Cascades, esp the Wa Cascades in '98 - '99. I hit D**n near every ski resort from baker to Bachelor that winter. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 And of course WB is down 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 What the heck. EURO is MUCH weaker than previous just an open wave thus far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Lame Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 This Euro run is already weird AF Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 15 minutes ago, Jesse said: I foresaw this sort of response. Probably much more common for Whatcom to see their first freeze thanks to radiational cooling. First freeze thanks to a well mixed modified arctic airmass is rare even up there. Arctic blasts are colder up this way. We had a 19/13 day last January. That was definitely cold, but not as anomalous as a similar readings would be in Portland. This applies even to early-season “arctic” blasts. It should not be a surprise that a blast that fails to drop below freezing in most places except if the wind dies down and allows the atmosphere to decouple can freeze up here even if the wind persists. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 12z UKMET 975mb rapidly deepening as it moves north of Ocean Shores. GEM, GFS, EURO, UKMET operational runs all vastly different. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: 12z UKMET 975mb rapidly deepening as it moves north of Ocean Shores. GEM, GFS, EURO, UKMET operational runs all vastly different. WTF was that garbage? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Arctic blasts are colder up this way. We had a 19/13 day last January. That was definitely cold, but not as anomalous as a similar readings would be in Portland. This applies even to early-season “arctic” blasts. It should not be a surprise that a blast that fails to drop below freezing in most places except if the wind dies down and allows the atmosphere to decouple can freeze up here even if the wind persists. That wasn't his point. He was saying getting your first freeze of the season that way was very unusual. 1 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Not bad 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Just now, Jbolin said: WTF was that garbage? Yeah what are the models having problems with? I dunno... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Just now, DJ Droppin said: Yeah what are the models having problems with? I dunno... Must be that Taco Time they ate last night. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 5 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: That wasn't his point. He was saying getting your first freeze of the season that way was very unusual. And I am saying that it is not unusual for a blast doesn’t drop below freezing in most places to do so here. So far as the first freeze being the result of a blast, I saw that happen (a bit later in the season) when I lived in Seattle and Portland, too. It is not the norm, but it is not “very unusual,” either. 1 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Just now, Jesse said: Must be that Taco Time they ate last night. Those crunchy burritos... 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 1 minute ago, Jesse said: Must be that Taco Time they ate last night. You're thinking of Taco Bell. Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 1 minute ago, Jesse said: Must be that Taco Time they ate last night. HEY, the chicken soft taco combo is ******* delicious alright! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Day 5 Ugly ridge, but that trough is really digging southwestward a bit more sharply. Would be nice if it cut-off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 11, 2020 Report Share Posted November 11, 2020 Be back shortly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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