November 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW

[bainbridgekid]

WRF shows a slot of 45 knot gusts South of PDX between 2 and 6 AM tomorrow.

[FroYoBro]

6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Mark Nelsen says he doesn’t know what the NWS is thinking. 

What else is new? 

[Blizzard777]

1 minute ago, dolt said:

What did he say/predict? He hasn't updated his blog yet.

Didn’t see his update either but on FB he has this.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4

[Meatyorologist]

Hi there...

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS moved heavily to the 12z EURO solution.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6

[Chewbacca Defense]

1 hour ago, mtep said:

Do you remember what year that would've been? Sounds like a real good time. The Atlanta shows from May 77 are some of my favorites.

 

We hit 89-90 (after I got my license summer of '88).  I also went in '88 with my brother (he went to tons of shows, he always made it to the Hampton, VA shows for whatever the reason that were his favorite).  My brother had hundreds of bootlegs, and I had 100-150 through him (they got destroyed by a burst water heater). 

He had 3 good friends who owned a stereo store. 1 would mind the store, the other 2 would follow the Dead and record the shows (they would rotate through the year).  They obviously had top of the line recording equipment, plus they were often able to plug into the soundboard.  Through bootleg trading they had recordings going all the way back to the beginning.  My brother would drop off a brick of blank Maxell XLII blanks and a few weeks later swing back by and pick up a bunch of bootlegs (he would give them a "toke"n of his appreciation of course).  My brother was a serious audiophile and got the "friend's and family discount" from these guys.  By the time he passed away his home audio system had a retail value in excess of $10k....I think he had $5k in amps alone.

 

'77 in Atlanta, that would have probably been in the Fox theater....that would have had awesome acoustics.  

[Blizzard777]

10 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Hi there...

Of course I’ll chase another carrot !

[seattleweatherguy]

11 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Hi there...

Way north for tues

[Gradient Keeper]

We must watch the trough axis position Monday-Tuesday very closely. That is a real deal MAJOR wind storm pattern.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8 is where everything gets wacky. Not surprised by that though.

[seattleweatherguy]

11 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

We must watch the trough axis position Monday-Tuesday very closely. That is a real deal MAJOR wind storm pattern.

Hope we can score on Tuesday 

[Jesse]

Nice to see the models backing off on the duration of the warm up early next week.

Pulled off a chilly 47/32 here today.

[Jesse]

Looking like a fairly strong storm tonight too. Currently 43 with rain here. Southerlies should warm things up toward 50 at some point overnight.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[umadbro]

Wouldn't be surprised if some thunder and lightning happened in the early morning hours. Between 2-5am most likely.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Hey, maybe we should do a night shift folks! Rob spinning the wax! (Hopefully the generator is handy for the turntables)!

[jakeinthevalley]

Wind Advisory up for the valley for gusts up to 50mph after 2am

[umadbro]

Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Hey, maybe we should do a night shift folks! Rob spinning the wax.

Tough to do when your day starts at 4:30 every morning.

[Dave]

Just now, jakeinthevalley said:

Wind Advisory up for the valley for gusts up to 50mph after 2am

They must be friends with Mark on facebook.

[Gradient Keeper]

5 minutes ago, umadbro said:

Wouldn't be surprised if some thunder and lightning happened in the early morning hours. Between 2-5am most likely.

That would kick a**. C'MON!!!!

[BLI snowman]

36 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

We must watch the trough axis position Monday-Tuesday very closely. That is a real deal MAJOR wind storm pattern.

Yeah, 100 miles or so further east and we're talking a classic SW'er.

[Gradient Keeper]

Long range GFS is NICE, mega Nina

[seattleweatherguy]

3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Yeah, 100 miles or so further east and we're talking a classic SW'er.

Ah so Tuesday is still an Oregon storm..

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Tuesday's storm as modeled is close to a very destructive event. A good wind storm is one thing but hurricane force strength is another!

[BLI snowman]

2 minutes ago, seattleweatherguy said:

Ah so Tuesday is still an Oregon storm..

More of an offshore storm right now. But it wouldn't take much of a shift in the trough position to make it a regional event, the classic type with a strong low paralleling the coastline e.g. 1995, 1981, 1962.

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

More of an offshore storm right now. But it wouldn't take much of a shift in the trough position to make it a regional event, the classic type with a strong low paralleling the coastline e.g. 1995, 1981, 1962.

Watching the constant flashing of the transformers tripping lighting up the loud dark night in 1995 was very memorable. 

[Gradient Keeper]

I just checked buoy data from Cape Flattery, WA down to off Astoria. Greatest pressure falls are off the Northern Oregon Coast.

[TacomaWaWx]

We’ve picked up 0.17” so far this evening. Light SW breeze and 43 nice November night. 

[MossMan]

Rain clouds flashing angrily on my weather station currently. 
Windy and 42 degrees. .02” so far on the day. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Raining with a very light breeze just beginning!!

[VancouverIslandSouth]

9 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Rain clouds flashing angrily on my weather station currently. 
Windy and 42 degrees. .02” so far on the day. 

Not much wind here, but looks like a very strong rain shadow signature to the south of here. It's absolutely pouring here now and has been the past few hours, up to 0.5" so far.

[mtep]

1 hour ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

We hit 89-90 (after I got my license summer of '88).  I also went in '88 with my brother (he went to tons of shows, he always made it to the Hampton, VA shows for whatever the reason that were his favorite).  My brother had hundreds of bootlegs, and I had 100-150 through him (they got destroyed by a burst water heater). 

He had 3 good friends who owned a stereo store. 1 would mind the store, the other 2 would follow the Dead and record the shows (they would rotate through the year).  They obviously had top of the line recording equipment, plus they were often able to plug into the soundboard.  Through bootleg trading they had recordings going all the way back to the beginning.  My brother would drop off a brick of blank Maxell XLII blanks and a few weeks later swing back by and pick up a bunch of bootlegs (he would give them a "toke"n of his appreciation of course).  My brother was a serious audiophile and got the "friend's and family discount" from these guys.  By the time he passed away his home audio system had a retail value in excess of $10k....I think he had $5k in amps alone.

 

'77 in Atlanta, that would have probably been in the Fox theater....that would have had awesome acoustics.  

Man that's awesome! Your brother sounds like he was a really interesting dude. Those were the years my dad was seeing shows, I believe he hit the Alpine run in '89. Sadly I missed the party, born in '97. I got to see some post-Jerry iterations of the band and Dead and Co though. I just listen to a whole lot of bootlegs haha. 

[rsktkr]

Considering my spot here in McMinnville I am thinking I will get an early look at this thing as it moves in. 

Nothing to report at the moment....just breezy.

 

[mtep]

Crazy how much better this fall has been interesting weather-wise compared to last. Got a good feeling about the next couple months. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

5 minutes ago, mtep said:

Crazy how much better this fall has been interesting weather-wise compared to last. Got a good feeling about the next couple months.