Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 41 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Who's ready for tonight's runs!!!!! Haha. I just watched that movie, for the 93rd time. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Haha. I just watched that movie, for the 93rd time. Heck yea 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 A MUCH drier run for PDX. Through Day 6 Rainfall totals just .80" so far. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 7 Little run to run consistency continues 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 6-10 turned considerably wetter/snowier. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 1 hour ago, Weather1011 said: Yeah but most people are not going to get super excited over typical November weather is the point. Why not. This is a weather forum and “typical” November weather hasn’t been all that typical lately. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 53/44 currently 47* My relative the ICON wants to give us some lightning Tuesday 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Nice little breeze but getting less windy with each run 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 12z EPS members were windier, but it's only really a 40% chance whether we get to 50mph. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Just now, Meatyorologist said: 12z EPS members were windier, but it's only really a 40% chance whether we get to 50mph. Post them pls? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: Post them pls? https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/washington/gusts-3h-mph/20201116-0600z.html 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Think the theme for the central sound is 40 too 50 so far and thats the best we can hope for 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Euro a little more south so far... 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Euro a little more south so far... south would affect the puget sound more or less? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 2 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 This will actually likely be a less windy run from its 12z counterpart despite the much closer main low placement. This is because it consolidates its energy more into a more closed low form, rather than the weird height falls to the SE of the low center that would spawn the quick wind burst. Low is closer, but still miles offshore. If the Euro ensemble members pick up on a closer low but continue the extraneous height falls, there could be a higher % of windy members. Or maybe they consolidate around the main. We'll find out soon enough. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, seattleweatherguy said: south would affect the puget sound more or less? Remains to be seen (meant to reply to this one) Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Not bad. A little stronger in the Puget Sound region due to random mesoscale features that won't be ironed out until the few hours preceding it. Overall a very similar run. Still high uncertainty with this system. 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Through Day 3 the EURO is around 2" Rainfall for PDX which is more than twice as much as the GFS at Day 6. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 7 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Not bad. A little stronger in the Puget Sound region due to random mesoscale features that won't be ironed out until the few hours preceding it. Overall a very similar run. Still high uncertainty with this system. I’m in the red! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 5 Skinny, amplified ridge and narrow, deep trough. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 9'er Cold, deep trough. Very nice. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Tonight's GFS wasn't bad at all. A lot of action and some unusually strong surface lows well SE of where you would normally see them. If we're going to get a big windstorm I'm betting it will be between now and when the serious blocking sets up later on. It would be surprising if we don't see a good one sometime this month IMO. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 9'er Cold, deep trough. Very nice. That period is starting to look interesting. The GFS has something similar around day 10. 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 Day 10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 9 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 9'er Cold, deep trough. Very nice. .....I like it 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather1011 Posted November 16, 2020 Report Share Posted November 16, 2020 2 hours ago, Jesse said: Why not. This is a weather forum and “typical” November weather hasn’t been all that typical lately. Do you always have to put your 2 cents into everything ? I was just saying that it would make sense why the forum isn't really busy right now it's not surprising at all. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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