November 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW

[Gradient Keeper]

6 minutes ago, Requiem said:

What are your thoughts right now? GFS doesn’t show this sort of scenario even on the latest run...

I'm thinking the low should turn more sharply to the north soon and exit jet energy should weaken some leading to the low to peak out fairly soon and perhaps weaken as it moves north of ~45 N. I guess we'll see....

[Requiem]

1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said:

I'm thinking the low should turn more sharply to the north soon and exit jet energy should weaken some leading to the low to peak out fairly soon and perhaps weaken as it moves north of ~45 N. I guess we'll see....

Still should result in some gusty winds, especially seeing how much stronger the low is than modeled (if I’m understanding that correctly).

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Up to +1.3F on the month so far. Anybody else above that?

[Tyler Mode]

Just now picking up an east wind.  29.38" and falling but slowly.  Interesting map this morning showing 62 degrees with an east wind at 1,500' on Larch Mountain, meanwhile it's 41 here.

[The Blob]

KPTV finally saying something about the wind.

[Blizzard777]

The Weather Channel also acknowledging the wind storm for PNW.

Even mentioned PDX possible 50 mph gust 

44* and pressure falling rapidly once again 992.8

[jakerepp]

6 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

What are we guessing for wind speeds boys

My conservative guess is 110 kts sustained, gusting to 150. Some of the smaller, regional jets are going to be dark horse picks for those STOL competitions and we all go to our Tornado shelters and eat our SHTF rations that we've been hoarding since March. 

[TT-SEA]

57 here... and a possible beautiful sunrise brewing.

[The Blob]

Sunrise is a dud here

[FroYoBro]

The wind is still pretty much calm here. I see the easterly gradient through the gorge is weakening though, so maybe some southerly winds are about to start up. Fairly cool 44 degrees right now from a easterly breeze.  

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, The Blob said:

Sunrise is a dud here

Ended up a dud here too.

[Blizzard777]

Barometer now steady and rising a notch 993.9

[FroYoBro]

The storm this morning. 

[Timmy Supercell]

Been a gusty morning! It even started a bit before my wind advisory went into effect (12:30-1am).

My loudest gusts I'd say were between 1:00-2:00am. There appears to be a difference in gusts from up here to KLMT, as they are just now getting the 55mph memo from 36mph hours ago. Seems to be the opposite at the house as I would say things toned down a notch or two since the start of the event.

No power blinks or anything so far... so I must have been under the 60 mark. There will probably be isolated reports of limbs down in sections. There can easily be another wave of strong gusts through the afternoon. The front isn't even here yet.

[Skagit Weather]

I assume the sustained 101 mph, gusts to 118 mph at Cape Disappointment is just an equipment error?

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=82SW1&num=72&banner=gmap&raw=0&w=325

[The Blob]

28 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Ended up a dud here too.

It had potential.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

My brother down in Coos County said it got pretty windy around 3a. Cloudy, calm and 47 here. 

[seattleweatherguy]

so far nothing here but action will pick up in the next couple hours i hope

[MossMan]

The calm before the big windstorm...Or the calm before the dud...Time will tell. 

[Blizzard777]

Good thing nothing currently here otherwise waves would be breaking over the sea wall.  The Sound will awake soon! 

 

 

[MossMan]

According to FB we had a big blow 5yrs ago today. If I remember correctly it was the westerly surge that got us. 2 days without power at our old place which was rare for that location. 

[Blizzard777]

18 minutes ago, MossMan said:

The calm before the big windstorm...Or the calm before the dud...Time will tell. 

Exactly!

[TacomaWaWx]

Just a slight S breeze this morning. Coast is getting hit hard. 

[AlTahoe]

22 minutes ago, MossMan said:

The calm before the big windstorm...Or the calm before the dud...Time will tell. 

Wind storm has started in my area. Gust to 50mph in town so far and it is supposed to last 12 hours or so. Damaging gust up to 75mph expected around lunch time. 

[jakerepp]

4 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Just a slight S breeze this morning. Coast is getting hit hard. 

Sistek followed up by saying surface obs on VI are down to 968. 

[RentonHill]

7 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Just a slight S breeze this morning. Coast is getting hit hard. 

I thought there were supposed to be two lows? Is the south low shown here or the original?

[TacomaWaWx]

1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

I thought there were supposed to be two lows? Is the south low shown here or the original?

I think the southern low is somewhere off the WA/OR coast currently if I’m not mistaken. Just not displayed on this map. 

[RentonHill]

Just now, TacomaWaWx said:

I think the southern low is somewhere off the WA/OR coast currently if I’m not mistaken. Just not displayed on this map. 

thx

[TacomaWaWx]

I’d charge my phones if I were y’all. Gonna get windy in the next 2 hours. Especially for anyone up north. This is the first decent wind event of the season so wouldn’t be surprised if this knocked out power to a lot of people as this is the first decent south wind in awhile. Even in the central and south sound. 

[MossMan]

Weird vibes going on outside. My highest trees are blowing up top but calm at ground level. Getting dark as well. Chainsaw coming with me today in case I have to cut my way back home. 

[TacomaWaWx]

36 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Good thing nothing currently here otherwise waves would be breaking over the sea wall.  The Sound will awake soon! 

 

 

Im thinking I might go to the narrows today to titlow beach to see the wind.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Reached a peak gust of 28mph. The most recent significant weather event for here remains the Labor Day firestorm.

[TacomaWaWx]

Was no wind here and 49 degrees at 8am. Temp is now up to 56 with gusts about 20mph out of the south 45 minutes later. 

[Timmy Supercell]

48 minutes ago, MossMan said:

According to FB we had a big blow 5yrs ago today. If I remember correctly it was the westerly surge that got us. 2 days without power at our old place which was rare for that location. 

2015 definitely ended on a stormy note.. Unrelated but I remember Keno reporting a gust near 90mph early that December. Probably just localized conditions made that possible as I had nothing higher than 67mph (01/19/2016 squall t'storm) over the last several years. Keno neighbors my town just a bit to my SW. They're close enough that I can hear their thunderstorms from my place. I think it's incredible they can have gusts like that and I have only under 60.

Willamette Valley floods, and snow burying Klamath County nearly that entire December. Crater Lake NP breaks a 1940's record monthly snowfall.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I remember absolutely nothing about weather in 2015 or the 15-16 winter.

It was one of those years like 96-97 and 97-98 where pretty much nothing of interest happened in the south valley.

[Fircrest]

Wind really starting to pick up here in Fircrest/East UP.  I don't have a good weather station so not sure of speeds. What is a good site for wind speeds/gusts?

[Timmy Supercell]

1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I remember absolutely nothing about weather in 2015 or the 15-16 winter.

Other than the December snowfall, and the ultra rare squall on Jan 19, I think not much exciting happened rest of the winter down here. Late winter was pretty mild.

Did have the snowiest Dec since the 1990's.

[seattleweatherguy]

24 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

I’d charge my phones if I were y’all. Gonna get windy in the next 2 hours. Especially for anyone up north. This is the first decent wind event of the season so wouldn’t be surprised if this knocked out power to a lot of people as this is the first decent south wind in awhile. Even in the central and south sound. 

central sound not sure but there is hope

[Timmy]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

The calm before the big windstorm...Or the calm before the dud...Time will tell. 

Can’t be a dud if it was only supposed to be great by a few amateurs on a weather forum.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I'd like to see gusts over 100. Maybe get some of that free lawn furniture Dewey got a couple years ago!