Phil Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 1 hour ago, Jesse said: Looks decent through the first ten or so days then it kind of goes to hell. Luckily the period after day ten will always be the least accurate anyway. I don’t see significant differences between D5-10 and D10-15 which aren’t solely a consequence of widening ensemble spread at-range. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 This is my definition of paradise. 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 23, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 And we have hit 50F. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: And we have hit 50F. Up to 45 here with just light mist. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 4 hours ago, ShawniganLake said: La Niña has been put on hold. Pattern wise! Your country's model says snow flurries for the deep south in just over a week! Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 3 hours ago, Jesse said: November 2000 was one of our colder Novembers of recent decades. That one was crazy cold across the entire western half of the country, and really for the nation overall. DEN's second coldest November on record, behind only 1985. 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 7 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: You and Front Ranger remember this. I do not. It’s the only snow I don’t remember for some reason and it really bothers me! The one I remember in Silverton was actually not in 1999-00 (I was living in Tacoma area by then), it was in February 1999. Very minor event, just a sloppy inch or two. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Just now, Front Ranger said: The one I remember in Silverton was actually not in 1999-00 (I was living in Tacoma area by then), it was in February 1999. Very minor event, just a sloppy inch or two. Okay. I remember a lot of wet snow falls that didn't really amount to more than a dusting in 98-99 and 99-00, it is conceivable there were a couple of events which produced an inch or two in Silverton that didn't amount to much closer to Mt. Angel where I lived. Being up against the hills Silverton usually squeezes out heavier precip rates. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 23, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 I lived in Yamhill county at the time and in Dec 2000 there was a very sloppy 4" or so on the ground that caused havoc and they sent the kids home early lol. I remember playing football after lunch in the snow. Was one of the best experiences in school I ever had. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 7 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 4 years ago hope was beginning to build! Best Winter I have ever experienced living here in the PNW. Numerous snow events all Winter long. 🌨 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 49/42 0.09” today. Pretty typical late November day. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 23, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Druncle = 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 I remember the hints the models gave here and there starting around Thanksgiving weekend 2008 (as I was washing my vehicles while wearing shorts/T-shirt) Perhaps we will start seeing at least some eye candy in the models in a week or so. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 23, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 Patience 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted November 23, 2020 Report Share Posted November 23, 2020 4 hours ago, Jesse said: Looks like my reputation number just got cut in half. My heresy on the California thread has angered Fred. Was trying to stick up for Matt. You mean Mat. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 9 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said: You mean Mat. Brother, brother, where art thou???? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 00z GEFS from yesterday leans towards troughing starting mid-late December. Hell, better than the run before it. Keep the faith. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 59 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Expanding on the above, the latest ECMWF weeklies continue to show ridging for the first half of December but start to build heights over the Aleutians around mid-month. Perfect timing for white Christmas lovers. It's been pretty remarkably consistent on this pattern progression as well, FWIW. I think it is the 4th one in a row to show that. And goes along with Phil's ideas. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 24, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 It's gon' happen. Regional baby. 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: It's gon' happen. Regional baby. Don't think I can buy that, considering Alaska is cold too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Up to 7.63" for November. Disappointed at how the rest of the month is looking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 New Culver Josh, ehh? 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 36 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: Don't think I can buy that, considering Alaska is cold too. February 1989 would like a word with you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 2 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: February 1989 would like a word with you. True, but once in 31 years isn't a very good likelihood :). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 1 minute ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: True, but once in 31 years isn't a very good likelihood :). Almost 32 :). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 1 hour ago, hawkstwelve said: Who cares? Weren't you the one that said silly internet points don't really matter? Quick question. Are you ever not looking for a fight? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Ended up with a 50/41 spread here today. Lots of sunbreaks this afternoon following the morning rain and drizzle. Decent day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 17 hours ago, Phil said: 99/00 was actually the rare niña/+QBO fail. Only 2 fails with that combo since the end of WWII (the other one is 1975/76). Unsurprisingly, 1999/00 had a weird +IOD type signature (destructive interference between standing waves) and went super +EPO. IIRC, 1975/76 had that super +NAM regime ongoing (which had been present for several years). The great pacific climate shift immediately followed in 1976/77. Does this winter have the same weird +IOD type signature that 1999/2000 had? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 35 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: Almost 32 :). We should set up a zoom meeting with NWS and February 1989 to get to the bottom of this! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 *DISCLAIMER!! Incoming opinion Incoming opinion DISCLAIMER* Today was terrible. I didn’t mind the moderate rain of this morning but it turned into a gooey soaking cold drizzle the rest of the day and it’s still going. Currently 42 degrees. .46” so far on the day. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 2 hours ago, hawkstwelve said: Expanding on the above, the latest ECMWF weeklies continue to show ridging for the first half of December but start to build heights over the Aleutians around mid-month. Perfect timing for white Christmas lovers. It's been pretty remarkably consistent on this pattern progression as well, FWIW. It has been very consistent showing the PNA going negative around mid month. The control really gets things going good. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 8 minutes ago, MossMan said: *DISCLAIMER!! Incoming opinion Incoming opinion DISCLAIMER* Today was terrible. I didn’t mind the moderate rain of this morning but it turned into a gooey soaking cold drizzle the rest of the day and it’s still going. Currently 42 degrees. .46” so far on the day. I had a bit of the drizzles as well 45* Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 15 minutes ago, MossMan said: We should set up a zoom meeting with NWS and February 1989 to get to the bottom of this! BIG news regarding snow and cold on Christmas Eve 2020 will be discussed on the call. 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Picked up 0.10” today. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Another pretty chilly day with a high of only 45 here. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Another pretty chilly day with a high of only 45 here. You guys were lucky and stayed in the cool sector today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 A drizzly 40/44 day here. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 FWIW today's 0z CFS showed a massive blast for New Years. A lot of runs from that model have been excellent for January lately. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHawks Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Do you think they could move it up a week for Christmas? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 11 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 4 years ago hope was beginning to build! Nice. At just Day 13 too! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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