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November 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW


TigerWoodsLibido

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1 hour ago, Jesse said:

Looks decent through the first ten or so days then it kind of goes to hell. Luckily the period after day ten will always be the least accurate anyway.

I don’t see significant differences between D5-10 and D10-15 which aren’t solely a consequence of widening ensemble spread at-range.

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And we have hit 50F.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

And we have hit 50F.

Up to 45 here with just light mist. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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7 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

You and Front Ranger remember this. I do not. It’s the only snow I don’t remember for some reason and it really bothers me!

The one I remember in Silverton was actually not in 1999-00 (I was living in Tacoma area by then), it was in February 1999. Very minor event, just a sloppy inch or two.

A forum for the end of the world.

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Just now, Front Ranger said:

The one I remember in Silverton was actually not in 1999-00 (I was living in Tacoma area by then), it was in February 1999. Very minor event, just a sloppy inch or two.

Okay. I remember a lot of wet snow falls that didn't really amount to more than a dusting in 98-99 and 99-00, it is conceivable there were a couple of events which produced an inch or two in Silverton that didn't amount to much closer to Mt. Angel where I lived. Being up against the hills Silverton usually squeezes out heavier precip rates. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I lived in Yamhill county at the time and in Dec 2000 there was a very sloppy 4" or so on the ground that caused havoc and they sent the kids home early lol. I remember playing football after lunch in the snow. Was one of the best experiences in school I ever had.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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Druncle =DK Fail.gif

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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I remember the hints the models gave here and there starting around Thanksgiving weekend 2008 (as I was washing my vehicles while wearing shorts/T-shirt) Perhaps we will start seeing at least some eye candy in the models in a week or so. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Patience

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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gfs-ens_T850a_namer_137.png

00z GEFS from yesterday leans towards troughing starting mid-late December. Hell, better than the run before it. Keep the faith.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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59 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Expanding on the above, the latest ECMWF weeklies continue to show ridging for the first half of December but start to build heights over the Aleutians around mid-month. Perfect timing for white Christmas lovers.

It's been pretty remarkably consistent on this pattern progression as well, FWIW.

ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-z500_anom-1606089600-1606953600-1610064000-80.gif

I think it is the 4th one in a row to show that.  And goes along with Phil's ideas.

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It's gon' happen. Regional baby.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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17 hours ago, Phil said:

 

99/00 was actually the rare niña/+QBO fail. Only 2 fails with that combo since the end of WWII (the other one is 1975/76).

Unsurprisingly, 1999/00 had a weird +IOD type signature (destructive interference between standing waves) and went super +EPO. 

IIRC, 1975/76 had that super +NAM regime ongoing (which had been present for several years). The great pacific climate shift immediately followed in 1976/77.

Does this winter have the same weird +IOD type signature that 1999/2000 had?

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35 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said:

Almost 32 :).

We should set up a zoom meeting with NWS and February 1989 to get to the bottom of this! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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*DISCLAIMER!! Incoming opinion Incoming opinion DISCLAIMER*
Today was terrible. I didn’t mind the moderate rain of this morning but it turned into a gooey soaking cold drizzle the rest of the day and it’s still going. Currently 42 degrees. 
.46” so far on the day. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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2 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

Expanding on the above, the latest ECMWF weeklies continue to show ridging for the first half of December but start to build heights over the Aleutians around mid-month. Perfect timing for white Christmas lovers.

It's been pretty remarkably consistent on this pattern progression as well, FWIW.

ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-z500_anom-1606089600-1606953600-1610064000-80.gif

It has been very consistent showing the PNA going negative around mid month.  The control really gets things going good.

 

cold.png

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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8 minutes ago, MossMan said:

*DISCLAIMER!! Incoming opinion Incoming opinion DISCLAIMER*
Today was terrible. I didn’t mind the moderate rain of this morning but it turned into a gooey soaking cold drizzle the rest of the day and it’s still going. Currently 42 degrees. 
.46” so far on the day. 

I had a bit of the drizzles as well

45*

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15 minutes ago, MossMan said:

We should set up a zoom meeting with NWS and February 1989 to get to the bottom of this! 

BIG news regarding snow and cold on Christmas Eve 2020 will be discussed on the call. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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FWIW today's 0z CFS showed a massive blast for New Years.  A lot of runs from that model have been excellent for January lately.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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