Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Call me crazy, but I am seeing subtle signs of retrogression mainly on the ensembles. Nothing exciting, but the ridge axis clearly shifts westward. Also, some operational runs show building heights offshore. We'll have to be patient and trudge through what looks like a probable-likely ridge, inversion, fake cold regime. This won't be until we're moving through the 2nd week of December. C'MON!!!! 00z GFS in 1 hour 6 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 I’m all in on a Christmas blizzard. Save 2020 Santa! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 14 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Nice. At just Day 13 too! My first snow up here was on the 3/4th of December 2016. We picked up about 4.5". Then on the 7th we got about 1" in Salem while I was at work. I believe PDX had a little snow and there was some ZR too with that. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: My first snow up here was on the 3/4th of December 2016. We picked up about 4.5". Then on the 7th we got about 1" in Salem while I was at work. I believe PDX had a little snow and there was some ZR too with that. That dang warm nose/tongue thing! 00z ECMWF in 3 hours 2 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 11 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: I’m all in on a Christmas blizzard. Save 2020 Santa! Did Santa eat the turkey? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 1 hour ago, Jesse said: Ended up with a 50/41 spread here today. Lots of sunbreaks this afternoon following the morning rain and drizzle. Decent day. Zero sunshine here today, just rainy and then cloudy after the rains ceased. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Brettrogression Favre. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: FWIW today's 0z CFS showed a massive blast for New Years. A lot of runs from that model have been excellent for January lately. That would be OUTSTANDING! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 9 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Brettrogression Favre. Bringer of snow! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 38 minutes ago, luminen said: Zero sunshine here today, just rainy and then cloudy after the rains ceased. Yeah you guys really lucked out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 8 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Bringer of snow! I believe that's the only time the Seahawks have hosted a snow game. Back in 2013 or 14 we hosted a delayed thunderstorm game in September as well, and not just a passing cold core shower, but solid mid level convection at the tail end of a heat wave with extremely frequent lightning. IIRC there were musings that the NWS thought about giving Seattle proper a warning for a particularly nasty cell, though it ended up weakening slightly before making it into the city. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 7 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Bringer of snow! Holmgren didn’t seem to be all that enchanted by the winter wonderland. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: FWIW today's 0z CFS showed a massive blast for New Years. A lot of runs from that model have been excellent for January lately. It makes me think of the end of 03, into 04. Snowed for like a week after Christmas. Ended with an overrunning event and freezing rain. Then winter was pretty much over lol. Good times though. I had an additional 3 days of winter break. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 6 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: I believe that's the only time the Seahawks have hosted a snow game. Back in 2013 or 14 we hosted a delayed thunderstorm game in September as well, and not just a passing cold core shower, but solid mid level convection at the tail end of a heat wave with extremely frequent lightning. IIRC there were musings that the NWS thought about giving Seattle proper a warning for a particularly nasty cell, thought it ended up weakening slightly before making it into the city. They also had this one on 12/21/2008. Back bent occlusion of that sweet sucker moved in during the game and I picked up about 2" while it was on. Favre was also the opposing QB! Seahawks do host the Jets on December 13 this year..... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 00z GFS Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 13 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: They also had this one on 12/21/2008. Back bent occlusion of that sweet sucker moved in during the game and I picked up about 2" while it was on. Favre was also the opposing QB! Seahawks do host the Jets on December 13 this year..... Best analog I've seen. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 C'MON! Ya gotta believe! Day 8+ major block. Day 10+ Retrogression! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: C'MON! Ya gotta believe! Day 8+ major block. Day 10+ Retrogression! I don't believe a thing on the models until it's under 1 day. I've been burned way to much. 2 1 1 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Just now, umadbro said: I don't believe a thing on the models until it's under 1 day. I've been burned way to much. Haha. Me too. UNLESS it's like December 2008 when somehow they miraculously were in agreement an astonishing 7-8 days out nearly in total lock-step. We've never seen anything like that since. Maybe 4 out, but not 7-8. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Day 6 Ugly as S*** so far Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: My first snow up here was on the 3/4th of December 2016. We picked up about 4.5". Then on the 7th we got about 1" in Salem while I was at work. I believe PDX had a little snow and there was some ZR too with that. I had forgotten about that snow in PDX, it was followed by freezing rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Day 8 What a beautiful run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 8 What a beautiful run I see a pair of eyes and nostrils. 1 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Just now, Phil said: I see two eyes and two nostrils. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Fred needs to add a laughing emoticon. 1 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 1 minute ago, Phil said: Fred needs to add a laughing emoticon. 100% agreed. @iFred 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 56 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: I believe that's the only time the Seahawks have hosted a snow game. Back in 2013 or 14 we hosted a delayed thunderstorm game in September as well, and not just a passing cold core shower, but solid mid level convection at the tail end of a heat wave with extremely frequent lightning. IIRC there were musings that the NWS thought about giving Seattle proper a warning for a particularly nasty cell, though it ended up weakening slightly before making it into the city. I remember going to my dads dark house house after 13hrs of snow removal at my former job. No source of heat without power at our family lake house where I was living at the time so I stayed at my dads since he had a wood burning insert stove. He had a old tiny black and white tv from the 80’s that ran off of several D batteries. We watched the Seahawks snow game on that tiny thing with only lanterns for light. Oh the memories of 2006! More people were using snowmobiles and Quads for transportation around the area than vehicles. Sooo many downed trees from the weight of the snow. 2 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 1 hour ago, Deweydog said: Holmgren didn’t seem to be all that enchanted by the winter wonderland. Pete would have been doing snow angels! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 32 minutes ago, The Blob said: I had forgotten about that snow in PDX, it was followed by freezing rain. Yeah it wasn’t much, but it reminded me a bit of the early December 1992 event. When it happened I legitimately took it as a great sign for the winter. The event about a week later definitely overshadowed it though. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 A lot of east wind on this run. Better than nothing. Looks like the GEM is having problems running on Pivotal and Tidbits. At least for me.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: A lot of east wind on this run. Better than nothing. Looks like the GEM is having problems running on Pivotal and Tidbits. At least for me.... I only look at the GEM when it shows arctic blasts. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2020 Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I only look at the GEM when it shows arctic blasts. That's a great idea. How well is that working out thus far? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 24, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 24, 2020 7 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: A lot of east wind on this run. Better than nothing. Looks like the GEM is having problems running on Pivotal and Tidbits. At least for me.... It's stuck at hr 36 on WB. 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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