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November 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW


TigerWoodsLibido

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46 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Y'all are slacking :D Pick it up! C'MON!!!!

image.png

Do I need to start posting every frame of the ICON?

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Do I need to start posting every frame of the ICON?

The HRDPS actually.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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1607180400-WkoQFP4BfWg.png

 

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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18 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I wasn't saying I am rooting for the westerlies to break through. Just that is much more likely what will happen. 

Tongue in cheek. Hard to convey tone online.

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1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

The night shift made us the top 2 for now. Once something shows up in the longer-range then it'll be way more active.

Most certainly. That won't be too long from now and definitely well before Christmas.

 

1 hour ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Despite what I was looking at last night, you might be onto something.  Jay Albrecht, who would know the about MJO and the PNW than I do, has a couple of tweets today.

It looks boring (mild and drier than normal) next couple of weeks. But atmospheric changes in the tropics hint at possibility of colder weather around Christmas per the GEFS/ECMWF ensemble extended solutions. Notice cold and potential for snow in #Everett.
Replying to
Cold hinted at about Christmas isn't a sure bet. It will take tropical tstms now in the E Indian Ocean to move into the W Pac and very cold air to form in W Canada. The MJO forecast from the GFS and the ECMWF weeklies hint at such a possibility. #wawx #orwx #bcstorm We'll see.
Image
Image
 
 

 

Here we go! It's all coming together all the geese are lining up in a row.

 

52 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Do I need to start posting every frame of the ICON?

Yes. In thorough detail. It wouldn't hurt.

(I need to learn when the ICON initializes so I can add it to the model countdowns periodically.)

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1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said:

Most certainly. That won't be too long from now and definitely well before Christmas.

 

Here we go! It's all coming together all the geese are lining up in a row.

 

Yes. In thorough detail. It wouldn't hurt.

(I need to learn when the ICON initializes so I can add it to the model countdowns periodically.)

There is also the Korean model, which goes out 12 days.  It shows the same ridge every other model does.

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18z GEFS Day 12-16 GIF. The GEFS yet again toys with the idea of retrogression and for what its worth ($3.29?), this is the best signal for it yet. Even though the block shifts west, this obviously this isn't ideal with the block axis around ~140 W and no southeast US ridge. Still worth noting I suppose. C'MON!!!!
floop-gefs-2020112518.500h_anom_na.gif
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1 minute ago, TheNewCulverJosh said:

Model shift will start commencing by the 30th.  Just a hunch.

Multiple conference calls I'm assuming.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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12 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said:

Model shift will start commencing by the 30th.  Just a hunch.

Let us know what they say in the next zoom meeting please. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Wouldn’t be surprised to see a week of zonal flow before things get interesting. Just speculation. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Golly, I wonder how DJ manages to have the most posts on this topic. 🙃

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said:

Day 9'er

500h_anom.na.png

It’s an upside down smile. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Looks like we will end up with about 7” of rain this month roughly...About 1/2” above normal for this location. Currently at 6.63”. We’re also at +0.3F for the month so both numbers will be pretty close to normal. 

 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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3 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Anyone else see this on the page?

Screenshot_20201125-205554_Chrome.jpg

Not me

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Main noteable thing this month was it starting off pretty warm with 3 60+ days in a row early on. Had a 66/59 spread one of those days...then down into the low 40s a couple days later. Couple ups and downs in temps and a 14 day rainfall streak...which will be broken tomorrow. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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3 hours ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

I have no idea what the hell this means, but it sounds encouraging.  Phil?

 
r1lDOeOr_x96.jpg
 
The African standing wave is now breaking down as low-frequency tropical forcing slowly shifts eastward with time, moving towards more of a canonical La Nina forcing state.
image.png.ab4639533def52381ac32491194be6b8.png

Good news. That Africa/IO standing wave played a role in last winter’s super PV/+EPO torchfest. Getting rid of that would be nice.

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