SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2020 Report Share Posted November 25, 2020 46 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Y'all are slacking Pick it up! C'MON!!!! Do I need to start posting every frame of the ICON? 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 25, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 25, 2020 16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Do I need to start posting every frame of the ICON? The HRDPS actually. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 25, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 25, 2020 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 25, 2020 Report Share Posted November 25, 2020 18 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I wasn't saying I am rooting for the westerlies to break through. Just that is much more likely what will happen. Tongue in cheek. Hard to convey tone online. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2020 Report Share Posted November 25, 2020 1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: The night shift made us the top 2 for now. Once something shows up in the longer-range then it'll be way more active. Most certainly. That won't be too long from now and definitely well before Christmas. 1 hour ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Despite what I was looking at last night, you might be onto something. Jay Albrecht, who would know the about MJO and the PNW than I do, has a couple of tweets today. NWWashingtonWX @wx_washington It looks boring (mild and drier than normal) next couple of weeks. But atmospheric changes in the tropics hint at possibility of colder weather around Christmas per the GEFS/ECMWF ensemble extended solutions. Notice cold and potential for snow in #Everett. NWWashingtonWX @wx_washington · 1h Replying to @wx_washington Cold hinted at about Christmas isn't a sure bet. It will take tropical tstms now in the E Indian Ocean to move into the W Pac and very cold air to form in W Canada. The MJO forecast from the GFS and the ECMWF weeklies hint at such a possibility. #wawx #orwx #bcstorm We'll see. Here we go! It's all coming together all the geese are lining up in a row. 52 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Do I need to start posting every frame of the ICON? Yes. In thorough detail. It wouldn't hurt. (I need to learn when the ICON initializes so I can add it to the model countdowns periodically.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said: Most certainly. That won't be too long from now and definitely well before Christmas. Here we go! It's all coming together all the geese are lining up in a row. Yes. In thorough detail. It wouldn't hurt. (I need to learn when the ICON initializes so I can add it to the model countdowns periodically.) There is also the Korean model, which goes out 12 days. It shows the same ridge every other model does. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 49/41 0.03” today. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 So much better to have these warm anomalies now as opposed to late Dec, into Jan/Feb. Of course if it was cold and snowy now, everyone would be talking about how we are blowing our load too early :). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 18z GEFS Day 12-16 GIF. The GEFS yet again toys with the idea of retrogression and for what its worth ($3.29?), this is the best signal for it yet. Even though the block shifts west, this obviously this isn't ideal with the block axis around ~140 W and no southeast US ridge. Still worth noting I suppose. C'MON!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 I have no idea what the hell this means, but it sounds encouraging. Phil? MJVentrice @MJVentrice · 3h The African standing wave is now breaking down as low-frequency tropical forcing slowly shifts eastward with time, moving towards more of a canonical La Nina forcing state. 1 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Model shift will start commencing by the 30th. Just a hunch. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 26, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 1 minute ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: Model shift will start commencing by the 30th. Just a hunch. Multiple conference calls I'm assuming. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 12 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: Model shift will start commencing by the 30th. Just a hunch. Let us know what they say in the next zoom meeting please. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Wouldn’t be surprised to see a week of zonal flow before things get interesting. Just speculation. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 holy sh*t christmas in the pipeline 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 I think something might happen in a week or so. 1 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 00z GFS Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 3 (Past 8 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 4 (Past 8 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 5 (Past 8 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 6 (Past 8 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 7 (Past 8 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Golly, I wonder how DJ manages to have the most posts on this topic. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 9'er It’s an upside down smile. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Something done to this site within the past day or so has broken my ability to use Firefox to access it. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall Totals (Not much), Snowfall totals (Scant amounts) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Golly, I wonder how DJ manages to have the most posts on this topic. Right? 00z ECMWF in 59 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Anyone else see this on the page? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Looks like we will end up with about 7” of rain this month roughly...About 1/2” above normal for this location. Currently at 6.63”. We’re also at +0.3F for the month so both numbers will be pretty close to normal. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 3 minutes ago, The Blob said: Anyone else see this on the page? Not me Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Main noteable thing this month was it starting off pretty warm with 3 60+ days in a row early on. Had a 66/59 spread one of those days...then down into the low 40s a couple days later. Couple ups and downs in temps and a 14 day rainfall streak...which will be broken tomorrow. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Thinking the pattern changes around the 10th, give or take a day. Probably in the form of some PAC action. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 Probably best to give model posts a break for the next 4.75 days. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2020 Report Share Posted November 26, 2020 3 hours ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: I have no idea what the hell this means, but it sounds encouraging. Phil? MJVentrice @MJVentrice · 3h The African standing wave is now breaking down as low-frequency tropical forcing slowly shifts eastward with time, moving towards more of a canonical La Nina forcing state. Good news. That Africa/IO standing wave played a role in last winter’s super PV/+EPO torchfest. Getting rid of that would be nice. 2 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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