FroYoBro Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 I just let my parents know about the snow in the third week of December. I can’t wait. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: If I were a bookie it would be probly +100 on a regional lowland event. Most years for us it'd be like +550 or so. Apparently there’s a few sites where you can actually make bets on weather. betonweather.io is one of them, but I don’t know which one is the best one. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 Jim when do you think we see our big stuff? Phil any guesses? 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 6 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: I just let my parents know about the snow in the third week of December. I can’t wait. Probably best to let other people know too! Maybe we can get josh on an NWS call again so we can nail down specific dates and times. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 The BIG December 2008 Snowpocalypse kicked off with the arctic front on the 13-14th if I recall. That's 17-18 days away. The timeline with the potential pattern flip coming up with the Gulf of Alaska/Alaskan block is eerily similar. Just sayin'. C'MON!!!! 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 Please let something good happen for Jim. Please let something good happen for Jim. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 49/43 0.04” today. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 9 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: I just let my parents know about the snow in the third week of December. I can’t wait. I already measured it everywhere and PDX's official number looks a little low. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 Whatever snow does fall will melt. 1 1 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 27, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 Down to 38F. Can see Jupiter and Saturn. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 Yellowknife, NWT has 31/28 forecast next Wednesday, 12/2. The December average temp there is 0/-14. Probably a bit warmer since it’s 12/2 but still a pretty crazy departure. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 6 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Whatever snow does fall will melt. Thanks Tim. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 Day 7 (Past 4 runs) Certainly like the trend to build heights offshore, up to southwestern Alaska, and the Aleutian trough to dig southwestward. Keep a close eye on this trend the next 2-3 days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 27, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 2 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 Saw a snowplow driving around Federal Way! We’re ready! 43* 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall totals(Not much. More in Washington), Snowfall totals(Very little for Oregon Cascades. A few decent amounts in some locations for Washington Cascades) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 Great euro weeklies. Twl May get a white Christmas! 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 2 hours ago, Phil said: IPWP convection quickly becomes a cold west signal by the middle of December (it’s a warm signal now under +EAMT). Might regret this post later, but I’d honestly be surprised if the lower elevations don’t see accumulating snowfall during the third week of the month. In fact, the entire second half of December would appear to hold potential upon early extrapolation. Most interested I’ve been in a pattern since 2018/19. Are you suggesting a February 2019 pattern possible in the PNW during the third week of December? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 Fantasy shown on the CFS control run. Highly unlikely to verify but would be epic if by some miracle it did. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 00z also looks rijy. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: Fantasy shown on the CFS control run. Highly unlikely to verify but would be epic if by some miracle it did. It's not taking the Rockies in to account, they would block most of that cold air. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 3 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: Fantasy shown on the CFS control run. Highly unlikely to verify but would be epic if by some miracle it did. I just peed. A lot. Grabbing paper towels. Be back in a bit. 00z ECMWF in 28 minutes 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 Just now, GHweatherChris said: It's not taking the Rockies in to account, they would block most of that cold air. As I said, fantasy that is highly unlikely to verify. I just posted it for fun. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: It's not taking the Rockies in to account, they would block most of that cold air. As lovely as the Rockies are they need to go along with the Olympics 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 22 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: As lovely as the Rockies are they need to go along with the Olympics Although it would be something else that ends up fukking us over. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 33 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: Fantasy shown on the CFS control run. Highly unlikely to verify but would be epic if by some miracle it did. The ECMWF weeklies control looked similar. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 31 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: It's not taking the Rockies in to account, they would block most of that cold air. That block is where it was in Jan 1950. The Rockies didn't stop that. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 33 minutes ago, Deweydog said: 00z also looks rijy. Yup. The models are pretty confident it changes big time in mid December though. The major shift will probably begin around the 9th or 10th. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyperbolic Trendz Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 35 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: As I said, fantasy that is highly unlikely to verify. I just posted it for fun. He does not like fun. He is a realist, pragmatic to the core, and if we weren’t so naively silly we would see things his way and our lives would be easier, richer, less disappointing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 No doubt the 0z GFS shows fake cold galore. I'm not buying the longer duration of the ridge right over us yet though. The GFS is all over the place with the MJO piece of the puzzle on recent runs. How that plays out is going to be a big factor. The EPS has been much more consistent with its MJO forecast in recent day so I imagine it will look much the same as recent runs. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 11 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: That block is where it was in Jan 1950. The Rockies didn't stop that. You really need to quit taking every post seriously. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 5 minutes ago, Runtmc said: He does not like fun. He is a realist, pragmatic to the core, and if we weren’t so naively silly we would see things his way and our lives would be easier, richer, less disappointing. Ya, not even close buckaroo. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2020 Report Share Posted November 27, 2020 Right now this upcoming week looks like it's going to be a Crown Point special. I have been watching this stuff for years and have figured a couple of things out about these very high freezing level fake cold snaps. The big takeaway is that in spite of very strong cross Cascade pressure gradients the east winds have a hard time surfacing in places that it normally would with only a few exceptions. The Columbia River Gorge is one of those place and it ends up receiving an abnormally high percentage of the air attempting to cross the Cascades. Places like where I live are often shrouded in cold fog in spite of pressure gradients that would normally be giving me 40 mph winds. A really weird phenomenon. In short Crown Point should get blasted hard this coming week. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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