November 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8 Meh

[Blizzard777]

35 mph gust here as well!

46* 

[Blizzard777]

11 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Looks like at least a 60mph surge down the strait this morning. Probably gusting 45+ here. 

Hrrr saw that coming.....took this shot last night for a friend inquiring about how bad the winds would be. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 9'er

[MossMan]

It was very windy here at around 4am, and the rain just ended. Last time I looked at my weather station before leaving for work I was at .25”. 

[MossMan]

Down! Get down there!! Down boy down!!!!!

[Timmy Supercell]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Down! Get down there!! Down boy down!!!!!

Not as Gumby ish.

[Gradient Keeper]

12z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[Timmy Supercell]

I may end November with only 0.10" snow looks like. That's the least since, well have I ever had it that low?

[Gradient Keeper]

Patience (c) @TigerWoodsLibido

12z ECMWF in 1 hour 7 minutes

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Picked up a quick 0.40" this morning. Pushed us over the 10" mark on the month.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Better runs ahead! I hope!

[ShawniganLake]

54 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Hrrr saw that coming.....took this shot last night for a friend inquiring about how bad the winds would be. 

Looks like Trial island is gusting around 75mph currently. Hrrr is doing pretty well. 

[Skagit Weather]

Nice fat westerly surge just took out the power. Looks like gusts are only up near 40 mph here, but that seems like enough. Can’t remember the last time we lost power and we’ve certainly had stronger storms so there must have just been a dead tree or something over the lines.

[Skagit Weather]

On the other hand the sunset last night at the mouth of the Skagit was stunning.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said:

How so? This was stuff he posted earlier this morning.

I was joking around.

[Gradient Keeper]

9 minutes ago, Phil said:

I was joking around.

Ahhh. Alrighty. No worries.

[MossMan]

12 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

Nice fat westerly surge just took out the power. Looks like gusts are only up near 40 mph here, but that seems like enough. Can’t remember the last time we lost power and we’ve certainly had stronger storms so there must have just been a dead tree or something over the lines.

Meanwhile just a few miles south there is hardly a breeze. 

[Timmy Supercell]

November snowfall totals since 2010 from most to least. So there was one drier than this year.
2014 had only a trace.

2010: 17.00"
2019: 6.50"
2011: 5.30"
2015: 4.00"
2016: 1.20"
2012: 0.70"
2017: 0.30"
2013: 0.30"
2018: 0.20"
2020: 0.10"
2014: T"

Pretty wild mixture of treatment November has had here in the 2010's. 
I'll pull up a March list and it probably will average more. Interesting that March only averages 2.5" and Nov 4.0". I wonder if the new 1991-2020 averages switch these two around for my place. Believe it or not I have actually seen more snowstorms in March than in November in the time I've lived here.

[BLI snowman]

30 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Better runs ahead! I hope!

Hard to do worse!!! LOL!

[Gradient Keeper]

12z GEFS Day 8-12 yet again proves the Op run beyond Day 5.5 to 6 is worthless. A clear retrogression signal is evident. Obviously not ideal, not yet, but retrogression nonetheless.

[Jesse]

Looks like the mountains are doing well again this morning. Probably the last snow up there for a little while.

[Gradient Keeper]

12z ECMWF Day 1

[ShawniganLake]

Wind has calmed here now as the flow has turned more NW. Still very windy in the city of Victoria. Gusting 55-63mph at official stations in the city. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 2

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5

[Gradient Keeper]

12z CMCE also shows solid retrogression potential.

18z GFS in 3 hours 7 minutes

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7

[Deweydog]

I wonder what Jack Capell would think about the current situation.

[Timmy Supercell]

1 hour ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

November snowfall totals since 2010 from most to least. So there was one drier than this year.
2014 had only a trace.

2010: 17.00"
2019: 6.50"
2011: 5.30"
2015: 4.00"
2016: 1.20"
2012: 0.70"
2017: 0.30"
2013: 0.30"
2018: 0.20"
2020: 0.10"
2014: T"

Pretty wild mixture of treatment November has had here in the 2010's. 
I'll pull up a March list and it probably will average more. Interesting that March only averages 2.5" and Nov 4.0". I wonder if the new 1991-2020 averages switch these two around for my place. Believe it or not I have actually seen more snowstorms in March than in November in the time I've lived here.

March since 2011. (No personal snowfall info before Nov 2010)

2012: 15.20"
2019: 9.00"
2017: 5.60"
2011: 5.50"
2018: 4.80"
2020: 4.75"
2016: 3.10"
2013: 1.00"
2015: T"
2014: Wet"

Not only have I had more snowfall in March overall compared to November, there are a far higher number of days which I observe flakes falling or snow sticking. Impressive ones like 2011 seeing around 20 days, whether the snow was wet or solid.

March 2019 and 2012 featured a day where 6+ inches fell. On 03/10/2019 city schools actually closed, it's very rare for K-Falls schools to do that, the previous time that happened was 01/04/2017 when we had almost 2 feet on the ground.

Sometimes I think March is just getting snowier. November getting drier.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 9'er

[Gradient Keeper]

12z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[Gradient Keeper]

I suspect the 12z EPS will show a bit more in the way of retrogression, but not yet ideal.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

45 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

I suspect the 12z EPS will show a bit more in the way of retrogression, but not yet ideal.

Here is the last half of the EPS.  Also, the weeklies come out today, will be watching.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Here is the last half of the EPS.  Also, the weeklies come out today, will be watching.

 

You may be the most substantive poster on this forum. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

This is getting attention this morning in the Canadian forums, and since the maps therein show that the BC forecast will generally apply to WA and OR as well, figured it’s worth a share.

https://www.theweathernetwork.com/ca/news/article/canada-2021-winter-forecast-snow-and-cold-temperature-predictions