Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: You may be the most substantive poster on this forum. Thanks! Just glad to be able to share the maps. I will leave the analysis to those more knowledgeable 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 30, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 Here's the full EC ensemble run 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Here's the full EC ensemble run Hopefully improvement continues... 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 8 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: This is getting attention this morning in the Canadian forums, and since the maps therein show that the BC forecast will generally apply to WA and OR as well, figured it’s worth a share. https://www.theweathernetwork.com/ca/news/article/canada-2021-winter-forecast-snow-and-cold-temperature-predictions Good find. A snippet, like how they think the colder pattern locks in. BRITISH COLUMBIA A cold and stormy winter is expected to dominate across the province. While the first half of December will be rather mild, we expect a much colder pattern will develop during the second half of December and the cold pattern should continue through most of January and February. This will also bring a heightened risk for extended periods of frigid weather and heavy snow across the province, including in the Lower Mainland and Vancouver Island 1 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 It snowed tonight a year ago! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 41 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Here is the last half of the EPS. Also, the weeklies come out today, will be watching. Seems like it’s going somewhere toward the end if we pull out the extrapolation station. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 51 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Here is the last half of the EPS. Also, the weeklies come out today, will be watching. Exactly what I was expecting. Thanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 23 minutes ago, Deweydog said: It snowed tonight a year ago! It was a midnight snow! I remember I was in Tigard and stayed ups to enjoy the quick dusting 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 17 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Seems like it’s going somewhere toward the end if we pull out the extrapolation station. Is it hard to pull out? Does it require a CT scan or an MRI? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 Just now, Link said: Is it hard to pull out? Does it require a CT scan or an MRI? You need the Bob Ross easel, or borrow Dewey's. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Control model for right before Christmas Eve looks nice. This one doesn't look as good as the mean for January but I'll take the improvement in the nearer term over that. Might as well be the out-of-control-model 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 1 hour ago, Deweydog said: It snowed tonight a year ago! Not in my back yard! Though I did have a 22 degree low on 11/29/19! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 While it was pouring rain in Wilsonville and pretty much everywhere in the metro Christmas Eve 2015, I get a voicemail that our shed collapsed in K-Falls (it was an old one) and 18" inches of snow with icicles in the yard. One of the rainiest Decembers west of the cascades but one of the snowiest Decembers just right on over the other side. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 Here is the 5 day 500mb anamolies from the weeklies: 4 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 Looks like we finished the month -0.2F and 6.97” of rain for the month. 1/2” above average rainfall as well. Just one freeze this month and one freeze the whole fall. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 26 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: According to this (very) low resolution snowfall map, we are going to be buried for Christmas! Poor Sunnyside appears to live up to its name! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 We need Tim to book a vacation to Palm Springs to seal the deal! 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 9 minutes ago, MossMan said: We need Tim to book a vacation to Palm Springs to seal the deal! A Mark Nelsen vacation will add the icing to the cake. 1 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 29 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Looks like we finished the month -0.2F and 6.97” of rain for the month. 1/2” above average rainfall as well. Just one freeze this month and one freeze the whole fall. I'm both below average precipitation and below on snow. I couldn't get either category right. Didn't think it'd be this hard to get rain in late Fall. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 Pretty warm afternoon here as we avoided most of the showers in the area. Up to 53. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 Air stagnation advisory issued for the valley until Saturday. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Air stagnation advisory issued for the valley until Saturday. Nothing says "Winter!" like multi-day stagnant air, muck, and gloom. Thank God I live near the Gorge. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 Those Euro weeklies were something else. 2 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 1 hour ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Here is the 5 day 500mb anamolies from the weeklies: Would like to see a better signal sooner, but definitely gets there. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 30, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 TOUCHDOWN!!! 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 18z isn’t bad in the long range. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 30, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 1 1 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 Going to put the plow on the mower this weekend! 1 1 2 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 30, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 Last frame...it's coming 3 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 30, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 Druncle gives us some goodies in the clown range. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 30, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 Baby steps 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 Warning shot!!!! 2 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 30, 2020 Report Share Posted November 30, 2020 FWIW the Korean model has been consistently showing the change just before mid December/ 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted December 1, 2020 Report Share Posted December 1, 2020 51 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: FWIW the Korean model has been consistently showing the change just before mid December/ Amazing. I am amazed how accurate my forecast was (so far). Come on...snooooooow!!! 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted December 1, 2020 Report Share Posted December 1, 2020 Couple more showers moved through later today total up to 0.44". Glad to see the end of this dry spell coming into sight. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted December 1, 2020 Report Share Posted December 1, 2020 .60 today. Looks like I'm going to end the month with 8.86". Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 1, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 1, 2020 GFS ensemble. End of the run looks like it's picking up something brewing. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 1, 2020 Report Share Posted December 1, 2020 26 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: GFS ensemble. End of the run looks like it's picking up something brewing. The RRR seems to be making a comeback. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted December 1, 2020 Report Share Posted December 1, 2020 There was a downpour when I woke up this morning, so I was not expecting the evening to turn out this way. 4 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted December 1, 2020 Report Share Posted December 1, 2020 11 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: The RRR seems to be making a comeback. How fast does she go down the line if you maximize your coal usage and gradients.etc? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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